Shakhtar Donetsk
AEK Athens FC| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H44%D29%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H33%D30%A37% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H48%D28%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H46%D27%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H34%D33%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H45%D29%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H44%D26%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H34%D37%A29% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Shakhtar's young, high-tempo side is strong in their European home environment and should edge possession and chances, but AEK Athens are organised, defensively compact and arrived in good form after an opening clean-sheet win. A tight, low-scoring game with a real chance of parity is the most sensible expectation.
Both sides are in excellent form, but AEK's stronger recent European record and Shakhtar's long injury list give the visitors a slight edge; with both defences conceding very few, the likeliest single scoreline is 1-1.
Shakhtar Donetsk possess superior European pedigree and attacking depth, giving them the edge on home soil despite AEK Athens arriving in solid form.
Shakhtar's nominal home advantage is diluted by exile and AEK arrive in stronger recent form (WWDWW vs WDWLW) with a 1-0 opening win vs Shakhtar's 1-1 draw, suggesting a tight, low-scoring contest where Shakhtar are slight favourites but a draw is highly likely.
AEK Athens enter with clearly superior recent form (WWDWW vs Shakhtar's WDWLW) and a winning 1-0 opener, suggesting defensive solidity, while Shakhtar have home advantage and a point from their1-1 draw in matchday one. The clash of AEK's momentum against Shakhtar's home advantage points to a tight, low-scoring affair most likely ending level.
Both teams have shown strong recent form, with AEK Athens slightly more consistent in results. Shakhtar Donetsk's home advantage is balanced by AEK's solid defensive and attacking displays, making a draw the most likely single outcome.
Both sides arrive in strong form (Shakhtar WDWLW, AEK unbeaten at WWDWW), so this profiles as a tight contest between well-matched teams. Shakhtar's superior European pedigree and squad depth give them a slight edge as the designated home side, but with their home games staged at neutral venues and AEK yet to lose in five, the draw and an away upset carry real weight.
Shakhtar have won four straight domestic matches with four clean sheets but drew their UCL opener; AEK are unbeaten in 20 UEFA games (12 wins) and won their opener 1-0. Both sides are missing key attackers (Eguinaldo, Varga) but retain dangerous forwards (Kaua Elias, Jovic). Shakhtar's historical edge vs Greek sides (W1 D4) and AEK's European resilience point to a tight, low-scoring draw.
Shakhtar's greater European pedigree and nominal home advantage make them slight favorites, but AEK's stronger recent form and winning start suggest a tight contest. A low-scoring draw is the most plausible exact scoreline.
Both sides are in strong form with three straight wins, but the neutral venue at Stamford Bridge removes any true home advantage for Shakhtar. AEK's loss of top scorer Barnabas Varga (8 goals in 9 apps) is significant, yet Shakhtar are also missing five players to suspension; with Shakhtar historically drawing most of their matches against Greek opposition (1W, 4D in last 5), a tight, low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome.
Both sides enter in strong domestic form with Shakhtar topping the UPL and AEK second in Greece unbeaten in league; Shakhtar's CL experience and unbeaten H2H vs Greeks edge them slightly at their Stamford Bridge base, but AEK's solid UEFA record and recent clean sheets make a low-scoring draw the clearest single outcome, especially with Varga absent.
Shakhtar have won four straight domestic league games with clean sheets and have home advantage, but AEK Athens sit top of the Greek Super League (W4 D2 L0) and already won their UCL opener 1-0 vs LASK; AEK's injuries to Varga and Strakosha slightly tip the balance toward the hosts in what should be a competitive match.
A neutral venue, Shakhtar's draw-heavy record against Greek opposition (4 draws in 5 meetings), and AEK missing top scorer Varga all point to a tight, low-scoring affair with the draw as the most likely single outcome.
Shakhtar DonetskAEK Athens FC