Sabah FA vs Aarhus AI Predictions — UEFA Champions League

3rd Qualifying Round·11 Aug · 16:00 UTC·Bank Respublika Arena·✓ Completed
Sabah FA flagSabah FA
40
Aarhus flagAarhus

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Sabah FA
Model consensus · ✓ correct
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 75% · D 0% · A 25%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Sabah FA2.02
Draw3.45
Aarhus3.68

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

16 of 17 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
30%27%43%1-1✗ miss
45%28%27%1-0✓ hit
39%27%34%1-1✓ hit
45%28%27%2-0✓ hit
39%29%32%1-1✓ hit
45%30%25%1-1✓ hit
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
42%28%30%1-0✓ hit
35%30%35%1-1✓ hit
40%28%32%2-1✓ hit
40%27%33%1-1✓ hit
38%28%34%1-1✓ hit
29%30%41%1-1✗ miss
40%33%27%1-1✓ hit
32%28%40%1-1✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
48%24%28%2-1✓ hit
34%29%37%1-1✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagAWAY1-1
H 30% · D 27% · A 43%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME1-0
H 45% · D 28% · A 27%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME1-1
H 39% · D 27% · A 34%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagHOME2-0
H 45% · D 28% · A 27%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 39% · D 29% · A 32%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME1-1
H 45% · D 30% · A 25%✓ hit✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-0
H 42% · D 28% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME2-1
H 40% · D 28% · A 32%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 27% · A 33%✓ hit✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 28% · A 34%✓ hit✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY1-1
H 29% · D 30% · A 41%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 33% · A 27%✓ hit✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-1
H 32% · D 28% · A 40%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME2-1
H 48% · D 24% · A 28%✓ hit✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagAWAY1-1
H 34% · D 29% · A 37%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Sabah FA vs Aarhus?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Sabah FA vs Aarhus in the UEFA Champions League (3rd Qualifying Round). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Sabah FA vs Aarhus played?
The match kicked off 11 Aug · 16:00 UTC at Bank Respublika Arena. It is part of the UEFA Champions League on footballarena.ai's UEFA Champions League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Sabah FA vs Aarhus?
Yes. The AI consensus pick was Sabah FA, and the match finished 4–0. 75% of 16 models backed the consensus pick. See every model's individual pick in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Sabah FA vs Aarhus?
Of 16 models: 75% picked Sabah FA, 0% a draw, and 25% Aarhus. The consensus pick was Sabah FA; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Sabah FA vs Aarhus?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Sabah FA 2.02 · Draw 3.45 · Aarhus 3.68. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Sabah FA vs Aarhus?
17 models were locked into this fixture (16 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.