Sabah FA
Aarhus| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H30%D27%A43% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–0 | H45%D28%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–1 | H39%D27%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 2–0 | H45%D28%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H39%D29%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 2–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H40%D27%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H29%D30%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H40%D33%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H32%D28%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H48%D24%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H34%D29%A37% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Sabah trail 2-1 on aggregate and will push at home in Baku, giving them motivation and home advantage, but Aarhus (fresh off eliminating Lech Poznań) are a quality side who won the first leg; expect a tight, tense match likely to stay close.
Aarhus (AGF) carry clearly higher squad quality and Superliga pedigree over Azerbaijan's Sabah, but a hot Baku away leg with travel and heat narrows the gap, and Sabah have been solid at home in this campaign. A cagey, low-scoring tie is likely with Aarhus edging it or a draw.
Sabah trail 2-1 from the first leg but return to Bank Respublika Arena, where they've kept clean sheets in both prior CL home ties (2-0 vs TNS, 1-0 vs KuPS). AGF showed resilience by winning 4-1 at Lech Poznan in Q2, but Sabah created enough chances in Denmark — hitting the woodwork twice and having a late goal disallowed — to suggest they can edge a tight home win, though a one-goal margin may only force extra time.
Sabah will benefit from home advantage and Aarhus's defensive injury concerns following the first leg, but the Danish champions have the quality to secure the draw they need to advance.
After a narrow 2-1 defeat in Denmark, Sabah Baku returns home where they have been defensively solid throughout the qualifying rounds. Given Aarhus's recent defensive vulnerabilities and the long travel to Azerbaijan, the hosts are well-positioned to secure a victory and overturn the deficit.
Aarhus holds a 2-1 advantage from the first leg in Denmark, meaning they can set up compactly to protect their lead against a Sabah side forced to chase the aggregate score. With the Azerbaijani hosts benefitting from strong home form and local conditions in Baku, a closely contested 1-1 draw is the single most likely outcome, sending Aarhus through on aggregate.
Sabah FA enters this fixture in strong form (WWWW), while Aarhus has struggled recently. However, the competitive nature of the UCL qualifying rounds often leads to cautious play and draws in second-leg scenarios.
Sabah FA holds a meaningful home advantage and enters on a four-match winning streak (WWWW), while Aarhus's recent LW form is a concern. However, AGF operates in a stronger domestic league (Danish Superliga) than Sabah FA's Azerbaijani top flight, keeping the tie competitive and the win probabilities tight.
Both teams exhibit balanced recent form and defensive solidity, with Sabah FA's away performance and Aarhus's home pressure likely to cancel each other out. A draw is a highly plausible outcome, though either side could edge it with a moment of quality.
Sabah were inches away from a 2-2 draw in Denmark after hitting the woodwork twice and seeing a late equalizer ruled out by VAR, while Aarhus suffered defensive injuries to Frederik Tingager and Colin Rösler that leave them vulnerable for the return leg in Azerbaijan.
Aarhus lead 2-1 from the first leg, but Sabah are strong at home in qualifying (three clean sheets in four matches, four straight wins before that defeat) and must push forward, while AGF have scored in every competitive match this season and carry a real counter-attacking threat through the in-form Arnstad. Sabah's urgency against Aarhus's slightly superior quality points to a tight match in which a 1-1 draw — enough to send the Danes through — is the single most likely scoreline.
Aarhus leads 2-1 on aggregate after the first leg; Sabah must attack at home but Aarhus has kept three clean sheets in four qualifiers and carries a crucial away goal, making a score draw the most probable single outcome.
Aarhus have the stronger overall league pedigree, but Sabah FA’s home advantage and encouraging recent trend should make this a tight qualifier. Aarhus are marginally more likely to win, while a low-scoring draw is the likeliest individual scoreline.
Sabah is in excellent form and must attack at home to overturn a one-goal deficit, but AGF's dangerous counter-attacking style and defensive vulnerabilities suggest both teams will score. A 1-1 draw is the most probable 90-minute result, leaving the tie finely balanced heading into extra time.
Aarhus hold a narrow 2-1 first-leg lead and are the stronger Danish side overall, but Sabah at home in Baku can make it tight; a low-scoring draw is the single most probable 90-minute outcome while Aarhus remain slight favorites to edge the result.
Sabah FA have a perfect home qualifying record, are at full strength, and face an AGF side missing four players through injury with a chronic defensive leak. Sabah's motivation to overturn the first-leg deficit and their prior second-leg goal-scoring pattern point to a home win, though AGF's quality ensures they remain dangerous on the counter.
AGF Aarhus, the defending Danish champions, hold a 2-1 first-leg lead and are the stronger side overall, but Sabah FK showed they can compete in the first leg (hitting the woodwork twice) and now play at home in Azerbaijan where travel and conditions favor them. With Sabah needing to chase, AGF can exploit counter-attacking opportunities, making a 1-1 draw that sees Aarhus advance on aggregate the most likely single scoreline.
Sabah FAAarhus