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Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig — predictions and result

Real Madrid
90-minute result4–1
RB Leipzig
League Stage - 3Santiago Bernabéu Stadium

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H62%D21%A17%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H58%D23%A19%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H62%D22%A16%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H61%D22%A17%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H62%D22%A16%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H55%D25%A20%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H58%D23%A19%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H50%D25%A25%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H63%D21%A16%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H52%D24%A24%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI3–1
H62%D23%A15%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H63%D20%A17%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H60%D22%A18%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Real Madrid are in strong form and the Bernabéu remains a formidable venue, while Leipzig have been leaky against elite opposition and may set up cautiously. Leipzig's pace in Nusa, Gruda and Nkunku should produce a goal, but Madrid's home quality makes a narrow win the likeliest outcome.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Real Madrid's Bernabeu strength and four-match winning run make them clear favourites, while Leipzig have enough attacking quality to make it competitive but are vulnerable against elite opponents.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Real Madrid enter the Bernabéu fixture in strong form aiming for a fourth consecutive victory, while Leipzig have shown defensive vulnerability against elite opposition despite their potent attacking threat.

Muse Spark 1.2

Real Madrid's four-game winning run and unbeaten H2H edge (2W 1D 1L) at the Bernabeu outweighs Leipzig's threat from Nusa/Gruda/Nkunku, with Leipzig conceding heavily against bigger opponents and likely to sit deep.

MiniMax M3

Real Madrid at the Bernabéu carry strong home advantage and are on a four-match winning run across competitions, while historical H2H also favors them (2W-1D-1L). Leipzig have attacking quality through Nkunku, Nusa, and Gruda but tend to set up more cautiously against elite opponents and have leaked goals versus top sides, making a narrow Madrid win the most probable 90-minute outcome.

Mistral Large 3

Real Madrid's strong home form, attacking prowess, and historical dominance in head-to-head matches against RB Leipzig make them clear favorites. However, Leipzig's tactical discipline and experience in big matches, combined with their ability to exploit defensive vulnerabilities, justify a non-negligible draw probability and a competitive scoreline.

Kimi K3

Real Madrid arrive on a three-game winning streak and hold a slight historical edge over Leipzig (2W-1D-1L), plus home advantage at the Bernabéu. Leipzig attack well (2.6 goals/game) but have conceded heavily against elite opponents this season, so Madrid should edge it while Leipzig's quality keeps an upset or draw live.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Real Madrid's formidable home record and current winning run meet an RB Leipzig side that scores heavily (2.6 goals/game) but concedes against top-tier opponents and shows a low BTTS rate, suggesting a decisive home win with both teams likely to score.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Real Madrid's home advantage and stronger overall squad make them clear favourites, especially with Leipzig reportedly vulnerable defensively against elite opponents. Leipzig retain enough attacking quality to score and keep the contest competitive.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Real Madrid are in strong form with four consecutive wins and enjoy a significant home advantage at the Bernabéu, while Leipzig have shown defensive vulnerabilities against top opponents this season and may adopt a cautious setup. However, Leipzig possess quality attacking threats in Nkunku, Nusa, and Gruda, and the historically tight H2H (5-5 goals across four meetings) suggests they are capable of finding the net, making a narrow Madrid win the most likely outcome.

Grok 4.5

Real Madrid sit unbeaten with two UCL wins and strong recent form (4-1 Sevilla, comeback 4-3 Roma) at the Bernabeu behind Mbappe, Vinicius and Bellingham. Leipzig are leaky away (lost all three Bundesliga road games heavily, 4-1 at Como) and arrive shell-shocked after a 6-1 thrashing by Bayern, making a home win the clear most likely outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Real Madrid are in strong form with four straight wins and host a Leipzig side that has leaked goals against stronger opponents this season, while the head-to-head is tight but favors Madrid; Leipzig's attacking quality (Nkunku, Nusa, Gruda) still makes a Madrid clean sheet unlikely, pointing to a 2-1 home win.

GLM-5.2

Real Madrid are at the Bernabéu in strong form seeking a fourth consecutive win, while Leipzig have shown defensive vulnerabilities against stronger opposition despite possessing quality attackers like Nkunku and Gruda. Madrid's home advantage and superior squad depth should edge a competitive match where both sides are likely to score.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeReal Madrid
1.25
DrawLevel at 90′
7.18
AwayRB Leipzig
9.61