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RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven — predictions and result

RB Leipzig
90-minute result1–0
PSV Eindhoven
League Stage - 2Leipzig Red Bull Arena

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H45%D25%A30%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–0
H50%D26%A24%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H52%D24%A24%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H48%D24%A28%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H48%D28%A24%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H45%D30%A25%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H55%D24%A21%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H45%D28%A27%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H48%D25%A27%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H47%D25%A28%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H52%D25%A23%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H46%D24%A30%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H48%D26%A26%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Leipzig's home record and attacking form (6-0 over Frankfurt, Nkunku in hat-trick mood) give them the edge, though PSV's possession control and superior recent points-per-game keep this close, especially with their centre-forward injuries blunting the away threat only slightly.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Leipzig have been dominant at home with three straight wins, 14 goals scored and none conceded, while PSV are missing several centre-forwards; PSV's strong domestic form keeps a draw/away result plausible.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

RB Leipzig bring potent attacking momentum and strong home form into this clash following a resounding domestic victory. PSV remain competitive in possession but injuries in their forward line give Leipzig the decisive edge at Red Bull Arena.

Muse Spark 1.2

Leipzig's dominant home winning streak and 6-0 momentum vs Frankfurt gives them a narrow edge at the Red Bull Arena, but PSV's stronger recent points-per-game (2.17 vs 1.5) and possession control offsets it, with PSV's depleted centre-forward department tilting a tight game toward a one-goal home win.

MiniMax M3

Leipzig's emphatic 6-0 demolition of Frankfurt — featuring an Nkunku hat-trick — combined with their dominant home record against PSV and three clean sheets in their last six, gives them a clear edge despite PSV's superior underlying metrics (2.17 ppg vs 1.5). PSV's depleted centre-forward corps limits their ceiling away from home, though their control-oriented4-3-3 under Bosz should still produce chances, hence a narrow home win rather than a shutout.

Mistral Large 3

RB Leipzig's strong home form, recent emphatic win, and attacking prowess (e.g., Nkunku's hat-trick) give them an edge, but PSV's consistent away form and tactical discipline make them a threat. The draw is a significant possibility given both teams' balanced strengths.

Kimi K3

Leipzig are formidable at the Red Bull Arena — three home wins from three with 14 goals scored and none conceded, fresh off a 6-0 demolition of Frankfurt — while PSV travel with a gutted attack (Pepi, Pléa, Lammers, Wanner, Sildillia all out, Geertruida doubtful) and a coach in Bosz who has never beaten Leipzig in six attempts. PSV's nine-game scoring run and strong domestic form keep them dangerous, so a narrow home win rather than a rout is the call.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Leipzig's emphatic 6-0 home win over Frankfurt showcases potent attacking form (Nkunku hat-trick) and a strong home record vs PSV, while PSV's depleted centre-forward options limit their threat despite superior recent underlying form metrics.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Leipzig’s strong home record and emphatic 6-0 preparation give them a narrow edge. PSV’s better overall recent form and possession quality should keep the match competitive, though their depleted centre-forward options may limit them.

Qwen3.7 Plus

RB Leipzig are in emphatic home form, coming off a 6-0 demolition of Frankfurt and holding a dominant home winning streak against PSV, while PSV's depleted centre-forward options limit their attacking threat. However, PSV's strong overall form and possession-based style under Peter Bosz keep them competitive enough to likely find the net, making a narrow Leipzig win the most probable outcome.

Grok 4.5

Leipzig are unbeaten at home with three wins, 14 goals scored and none conceded, fresh off a 6-0 Nkunku-inspired thrashing of Frankfurt, while PSV arrive with a lengthy injury list and depleted centre-forward options despite strong Eredivisie form.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Leipzig carry massive momentum into this fixture after a 6-0 demolition of Frankfurt and boast a dominant home record, while PSV's stronger recent form is tempered by a depleted centre-forward department that could blunt their attacking threat in a hostile environment.

GLM-5.2

Leipzig enter in scintillating home form after a 6-0 demolition of Frankfurt with Nkunku hat-trick, and hold a strong home record against PSV, while PSV's superior season form is tempered by a depleted striker department that could limit their threat on the road.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeRB Leipzig
1.75
DrawLevel at 90′
4.75
AwayPSV Eindhoven
3.95