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PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk — predictions and result

PSV Eindhoven
90-minute result1–1
Shakhtar Donetsk
League Stage - 1Philips Stadion

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic3–1
H63%D21%A16%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H60%D22%A18%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H62%D22%A16%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H62%D21%A17%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–0
H62%D22%A16%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H55%D25%A20%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–0
H62%D21%A17%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H58%D26%A16%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H63%D21%A16%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–0
H60%D22%A18%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H52%D25%A23%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H52%D24%A24%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–0
H63%D21%A16%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

PSV are a strong, high-tempo home side under Bosz with plenty of attacking depth, while Shakhtar are a young, rebuilt team missing several attackers (Pedrinho, Marlon, Eguinaldo) and have been vulnerable when their build-up is pressed. Expect PSV to control the game at the Philips Stadion, though Shakhtar's counter-attacking threat should get them a goal.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

PSV's high-scoring home attack and strong Eredivisie form give them the edge, but their depleted/leaky defence and Shakhtar's counter-attacking quality make a close, likely both-teams-score contest probable.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

PSV's high-pressing, dynamic attack at the Philips Stadion should prove too overwhelming for a Shakhtar side missing several key players and struggling for defensive consistency away in Europe.

Muse Spark 1.2

PSV's aggressive high-press and varied attack (Pepi, Perisic, Til, van Bommel) at home meets a depleted Shakhtar missing Pedrinho, Marlon, Eguinaldo and Fesyun, with 50% losses in last 30 UCL games and vulnerability when first build-up is broken.

MiniMax M3

PSV at home under Peter Bosz deploys an aggressive, high-tempo attack featuring de Jong, Pepi, Bakayoko and Lang, while Shakhtar arrive weakened by multiple injuries (Fesyun, Pedrinho, Marlon, Eguinaldo) and with a poor recent UCL record (50% loss rate, 40% of last 10 lost by 2+ goals) under a still-developing Arda Turan setup; home advantage, squad depth and Shakhtar's road fragility make a comfortable PSV win the most likely outcome.

Mistral Large 3

PSV Eindhoven's high-tempo, aggressive attacking style and home advantage make them favorites, while Shakhtar Donetsk's injury concerns and defensive vulnerabilities increase the likelihood of PSV securing a narrow win. However, Shakhtar's resilience in Europe and PSV's occasional defensive lapses justify a significant draw probability.

Kimi K3

PSV's aggressive, high-tempo attack under Peter Bosz at home (Pepi, Perisic, Til, van Bommel) faces a Shakhtar side depleted by injuries to Fesyun, Pedrinho, Marlon and Eguinaldo; Shakhtar have lost 50% of their last 30 Champions League games, with 40% of their last 10 defeats coming by 2+ goals.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

PSV's aggressive high-tempo home style under Bosz, multiple attacking outlets (Pepi, Perisic, Til, De Jong), and Shakhtar's significant injury absences (Fesyun, Pedrinho, Marlon, Eguinaldo) combined with their poor recent UCL road record (50% loss rate, 40% multi-goal defeats) point to a home win, though Shakhtar's counter-attacking quality (Sudakov, Zubkov, Brazilian forwards) keeps the draw and away upset plausible.

GPT-5.6 Sol

PSV’s aggressive pressing, varied attack and home advantage should expose Shakhtar’s build-up and defensive vulnerabilities. Shakhtar retain enough direct attacking threat to score, but their injury issues and poor Champions League defeat rate favor PSV.

Qwen3.7 Plus

PSV's aggressive high-tempo home style under Bosz, combined with Shakhtar's significant injury list (Pedrinho, Marlon, Eguinaldo, Fesyun) and poor UCL record (50% losses in last 30, 40% by 2+ goals in last 10), points to a comfortable PSV victory. Shakhtar's vulnerability in build-up play should be exploited by PSV's counter-press and attacking depth through Pepi, Bakayoko, and Lang.

Grok 4.5

PSV enter in strong Eredivisie form with potent attack (Pepi, Til, Perisic, van Bommel) under Bosz's high-tempo style and home edge, while Shakhtar miss key players (Pedrinho, Marlon, Eguinaldo) and have been vulnerable away in Europe; prior 3-2 meeting and domestic momentum favor a narrow PSV win despite their poor recent UCL home/MD1 record.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

PSV's exceptional recent form (4 wins in 5, 18 goals scored) and Peter Bosz's high-pressing system should exploit Shakhtar's depleted squad missing key players (Fesyun, Pedrinho, Marlon, Eguinaldo). Shakhtar's poor UCL away record (50% loss rate in last 30) further tilts this toward the hosts.

GLM-5.2

PSV's aggressive Bosz system and deep attacking bench (Pepi, Perisic, Til, Tillman) should overwhelm a Shakhtar side missing several key players to injury and carrying a poor recent Champions League record (50% losses in last 30 competition games). Shakhtar's vulnerability to high-pressing sides and PSV's home advantage point to a comfortable home win, though Shakhtar's counter-attacking threat keeps the draw alive.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomePSV Eindhoven
1.43
DrawLevel at 90′
5.28
AwayShakhtar Donetsk
6.61