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Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona — predictions and result

Paris Saint Germain
90-minute result4–2
Barcelona
League Stage - 3Parc des Princes

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H41%D25%A34%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H44%D26%A30%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H42%D26%A32%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–2
H38%D26%A36%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–2
H42%D28%A30%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral3–2
H40%D25%A35%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H42%D26%A32%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–2
H35%D30%A35%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H42%D25%A33%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–2
H38%D25%A37%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI3–2
H44%D24%A32%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–3
H29%D27%A44%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–2
H34%D27%A39%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

PSG's home advantage and European pedigree give the defending champions a slight edge over an in-form Barcelona side missing defenders, but both attacks are elite and neither has been keeping clean sheets, so a high-scoring, tight contest with real draw potential is likely.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

PSG's home advantage, rested key starters and Barcelona's defensive absences tilt a likely high-scoring contest toward the holders, while Barcelona's in-form attack should score but fall just short.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Both sides possess immense attacking firepower in top form, but Paris Saint-Germain hold a slight advantage on home turf against a Barcelona defence dealing with key absences.

Muse Spark 1.2

PSG's home advantage as defending champions is offset by Barcelona's outstanding attacking form (Yamal, Raphinha, Gabriel Jesus) and PSG's ability to exploit Barcelona's defensive absences with Dembele/Kvaratskhelia; both have just one clean sheet recently, pointing to an open high-scoring BTTS game.

MiniMax M3

PSG hold a slight edge as defending champions with home advantage, but Barcelona arrive as arguably Europe's most in-form attack (with Yamal, Olmo and Gabriel Jesus firing in a 5-goal display plus a 4-1 win over Galatasaray). Both sides have only one recent clean sheet and are built around high-tempo attacking football, so a goal-for-goal thriller with the draw a very live outcome is the most plausible single scoreline.

Mistral Large 3

Both PSG and Barcelona are in exceptional attacking form, with key players like Yamal, Raphinha, Dembélé, and Kvaratskhelia capable of exploiting defensive vulnerabilities. PSG’s home advantage and European pedigree slightly edge them, but Barcelona’s attacking prowess makes them strong contenders for a high-scoring, open match.

Kimi K3

Two elite, unbeaten attacks meet: Barcelona arrive in scintillating form (4-1 vs Galatasaray, Yamal in devastating shape) but carry defensive absences that Dembélé and Kvaratskhelia can exploit. PSG's home advantage and defending-champion pedigree tip a near-even contest slightly their way, though with both sides managing just one recent clean sheet, goals and a live draw are expected.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Both teams are in exceptional attacking form with defensive vulnerabilities (one clean sheet each recently); Barcelona's 5-goal showing and PSG's home pedigree point to a high-scoring, closely contested match where a draw is a strong possibility.

GPT-5.6 Sol

PSG’s home advantage and potent front three give them a narrow edge in an evenly matched contest. Barcelona’s outstanding attacking form should create chances, but their defensive absences may prove decisive.

Qwen3.7 Plus

PSG's home advantage and European pedigree as defending champions are offset by Barcelona's outstanding attacking form (recent 5-0 and 4-1 wins) and both teams' defensive vulnerabilities (only one clean sheet each recently). With Yamal, Dembélé, Kvaratskhelia, and Gabriel Jesus all capable of punishing mistakes, an open, high-scoring draw is the most likely single outcome in this evenly-matched blockbuster.

Grok 4.5

Both sides are perfect in the league phase and in rampant scoring form, but Barcelona travel with a severely depleted defence (Koundé, Eric García and Christensen all out) while PSG host with rested attackers and recent H2H dominance. Expect an open, high-scoring contest that the champions edge at the Parc des Princes.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Barcelona's extraordinary attacking form (48 goals in 11 consecutive wins) and strong recent record in Paris (W2, D1 in last 4 H2H visits) gives them a slight edge, though PSG's home UCL dominance and defending champion status keeps this extremely tight; both teams' defensive fragility points to a high-scoring affair with Barcelona edging it.

GLM-5.2

Barcelona arrive in outstanding attacking form (9 goals across their last two UCL matches) with Yamal and Raphinha in devastating touch, but PSG's home advantage as defending champions and their own firepower from Dembélé and Kvaratskhelia make this a tightly contested, high-scoring affair where a draw is highly plausible.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeParis Saint Germain
2.50
DrawLevel at 90′
4.29
AwayBarcelona
2.49