Olympiakos Piraeus
NEC Nijmegen| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H57%D24%A19% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H47%D27%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 2–1 | H53%D26%A21% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H58%D24%A18% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H47%D28%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 2–1 | H50%D27%A23% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H46%D27%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H52%D27%A21% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H45%D26%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H52%D25%A23% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H47%D27%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H46%D28%A26% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Olympiakos hold home advantage at the Karaiskakis and are the stronger side overall against NEC in this Champions League qualifier, though their inconsistent recent form and leaky defense keep NEC in the game and give the draw a fair share.
Olympiakos are the bigger club with a strong record in the intense atmosphere of Karaiskakis and greater squad depth than an Eredivisie mid-table NEC side, though their patchy recent scoring form and NEC's counter-attacking threat make a comfortable win unlikely in a first leg.
Olympiakos's deep European pedigree, home advantage at Karaiskakis, and NEC's lengthy injury list (Ogawa, Van Crooij, Schuurs among six absent) outweigh both sides' leaky pre-season form. Both teams have conceded in virtually every friendly, so goals at both ends are likely, but Olympiakos's superior squad depth and experience should edge a tight first leg.
Despite Olympiakos's patchy pre-season form, their vast European experience and formidable home advantage at the Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium make them favorites against a less experienced NEC Nijmegen side.
Olympiakos holds a significant advantage playing at home, where their superior European experience and veteran attack should prove too strong for an inexperienced NEC Nijmegen side. While both teams have shown some defensive vulnerabilities, the Greek giants are expected to secure a first-leg victory.
Olympiacos boast far greater European experience and a formidable record at the Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, where they are strong home favorites in this first leg. While both sides showed defensive vulnerabilities during pre-season, the Greek side's superior attacking pedigree should prove decisive against a debutant NEC Nijmegen team missing key figures.
Olympiakos holds a significant home advantage at the Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, which typically outweighs the mixed recent form noted in research. While NEC is competitive, the Greek side's experience in European qualifiers makes them the favorites for the first leg.
Olympiakos possess superior squad quality and home advantage at Karaiskakis, but their poor recent form (L-L-L-W-D) and porous defense (1.8 goals conceded per game in last five) keep this close against a solid Eredivisie side; as a first leg where both sides tend to play cautiously, a 1-1 stalemate is the modal scoreline, with Olympiakos a slight favorite to edge it on aggregate.
Olympiakos Piraeus holds a historical and home advantage but has shown inconsistent form (L-L-L-W-D) and defensive vulnerabilities (1.8 goals conceded per game in last 5). NEC Nijmegen, while the underdog, is given a slight edge in some models for an away result, making this a finely balanced fixture with a draw as the most plausible single outcome.
Olympiakos’ superior European pedigree and home advantage at Karaiskakis make them narrow favorites, yet both sides have shown defensive cracks in pre-season and NEC carry an attacking threat, suggesting an open first leg that the hosts edge.
Olympiakos have the pedigree, squad depth and Karaiskakis home edge, but they lost pre-season friendlies to Ajax and AZ, ended last season poorly, won only one of four home UCL league-phase games, and lack an established striker with Taremi and Yaremchuk left out. NEC are European novices but finished third in the Eredivisie (above Ajax and AZ), were the league's second-best away scorers and lost just four away games, so a tight, low-margin first leg with a draw very live looks right.
Olympiakos holds home advantage at Karaiskakis and historically performs well in European qualifiers, but their recent pre-season form (L-L-L-W-D, conceding 1.8 per game) suggests vulnerability. NEC Nijmegen arrives as a solid Eredivisie side capable of scoring away, making a tight, high-scoring home win the most likely outcome.
Olympiakos have the stronger European pedigree and a significant home advantage in Piraeus. NEC remain capable of keeping the first leg close, while Olympiakos’ mixed recent form raises the draw risk.
Olympiakos have significant European pedigree and home advantage at the Karaiskakis in a crucial qualifying first leg, but their pre-season form is alarming (L-L-L in last three friendlies, conceding 7 goals). NEC finished a historic 3rd in the Eredivisie and are battle-tested, making this tighter than the hosts' reputation suggests, though Olympiakos's big-game experience should edge a narrow home win.
Olympiakos hold a clear home advantage at Georgios Karaiskakis in a UCL qualifier against a solid but less experienced NEC side; their superior squad depth and European pedigree make a narrow home win the most likely 90-minute outcome despite mixed summer form.
Olympiakos have significant European pedigree and home advantage at Karaiskakis with El Kaabi and Taremi available, while NEC are missing key players including Ogawa and Schuurs and are making their first-ever Champions League appearance. Both sides have poor pre-season form, but Olympiakos's experience and attacking depth should see them edge a competitive first leg.
Olympiakos hold a significant home advantage at Karaiskakis and far greater European pedigree, but their poor recent form (L-L-L-W-D, conceding 1.8 goals per game) opens the door for a competitive NEC side, making a narrow home edge with a realistic draw probability the most honest assessment.
Olympiakos PiraeusNEC Nijmegen