Napoli
Arsenal| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H27%D27%A46% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H30%D27%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H28%D28%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H30%D26%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H28%D30%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H30%D30%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H29%D28%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H30%D26%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–0 | H23%D27%A50% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H22%D25%A53% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Arsenal arrive in strong attacking form and face a Napoli side missing McTominay and coming off a defensive collapse against Inter, though Allegri will set up more cautiously at the Maradona. The Gunners' greater squad depth and control make them narrow favourites, with a draw a very live outcome in an opening-night away trip.
Arsenal's in-form attacking unit should exploit a Napoli side missing McTominay and coming off a defensive collapse, but Allegri's expected defensive reaction and Napoli's home threat keep the draw and a home result live.
Arsenal enter the European campaign in potent attacking form and boast superior tactical cohesion against a Napoli side still adjusting defensively under Max Allegri. While the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona presents a hostile environment, the Gunners have the control in midfield and defensive solidity to edge a competitive away victory.
Napoli at home but missing McTominay and coming off a defensive collapse vs Inter, while Arsenal arrive with restored attacking fluency (Saka/Odegaard) and superior possession control to blunt Napoli's direct counters led by De Bruyne and Hojlund.
Napoli are in transition under Allegri and were defensively exposed by Inter, while missing McTominay, but their home crowd, Allegri's typical European caution, and De Bruyne/Højlund on the counter make them dangerous. Arsenal arrive in stronger attacking form but historically tight away CL games at the Maradona, and the contrasting tactical setups (Arsenal possession vs Napoli direct counters) point toward a cagey, low-scoring draw with the Gunners slight favorites over 90 minutes.
Arsenal's recent attacking resurgence, tactical discipline, and the addition of Kevin De Bruyne to Napoli's midfield create a finely balanced contest. Napoli's defensive vulnerabilities and Arsenal's ability to exploit counter-attacking opportunities tilt the scales slightly toward the Gunners, but Napoli's home advantage and direct style keep the draw probability high.
Napoli come in off a defensive catastrophe against Inter and without McTominay, and while Allegri promises a more compact unit with De Bruyne and Højlund offering counter-attacking threat, Arsenal's attack looked back to its fluent best at the weekend and their superior squad depth makes the Gunners moderate favorites even at the Maradona — though a tough away trip to Naples keeps the draw very much live.
Arsenal's potent attack and Napoli's recent defensive collapse point to an away win, but home advantage and Allegri's promised tactical fix give Napoli a credible path to goals.
Arsenal's controlled possession and stronger attacking form give them a modest edge against a Napoli side coming off defensive problems and likely missing McTominay. Napoli's home advantage and counter-attacking threat keep both a draw and a narrow home win plausible.
Arsenal enter in strong attacking form while Napoli are still reeling from a defensive collapse against Inter, though Allegri's side will tighten up at home. Kevin De Bruyne and Højlund give Napoli a genuine counter-attacking threat, but Arsenal's methodical possession and quality in the final third (Saka, Ødegaard, Havertz) should edge a competitive match.
Arsenal arrive as reigning PL champions in perfect early form (unbeaten, miserly defence) and as last season's CL finalists, while Napoli are depleted by key absences (McTominay, Buongiorno) and have lost their last two after a defensive collapse at Inter. Home advantage and Allegri's organisation keep the draw live, but Arsenal's quality and European pedigree make an away win the most probable 90-minute outcome.
Napoli's defensive collapse against Inter and the absence of McTominay leave them vulnerable against an Arsenal attack that has rediscovered its sharpness, though the San Siro atmosphere and De Bruyne's quality keep Napoli competitive; Arsenal's methodical buildup and strong recent form make them marginal favorites in a tight contest.
Arsenal arrive as UCL finalists with a perfect league start (3 wins from 3, including a 2-1 comeback vs Chelsea), while Napoli are in crisis — losing 3-2 to Inter after blowing a 2-0 lead and missing McTominay, Buongiorno, Marianucci, with Anguissa and Neres doubtful. Allegri admitted defensive naivety, and Arsenal's Saka-Ødegaard-Havertz axis should exploit a depleted Napoli backline, though De Bruyne's first start and home advantage keep the Partenopei in the game.
NapoliArsenal