Levski Sofia
Universitatea Craiova| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H39%D28%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H35%D33%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–1 | H39%D30%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 1–0 | H38%D33%A29% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H34%D28%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H42%D30%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–2 | H32%D30%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H33%D27%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H34%D31%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H36%D33%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–0 | H42%D30%A28% | Correct | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H32%D30%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H37%D35%A28% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Composite metrics rate the sides near-level with Craiova a slight edge on form, but Levski's strong home atmosphere at Georgi Asparuhov and their scoring threat (Reinaldo, Oko-Flex) balance this into a tight, low-scoring qualifier where a draw is a real possibility.
Two unbeaten champions collide in a tight first leg. Levski's sold-out home fortress (9 wins in last 10 at home in 2026) is undercut by the late absences of both central strikers (Sangare, Perea) and right-back Kamdem, forcing a makeshift attack. Craiova arrive with an 11-match unbeaten run and four clean sheets in their last six away trips. A low-scoring stalemate looms between two defensively solid sides on a knife-edge.
Universitatea Craiova may hold a slight edge in overall squad quality, but Levski Sofia's formidable home advantage and recent attacking form make this a very balanced first leg. A tightly contested match is expected, with a draw being a highly probable outcome.
Levski Sofia has been formidable at home, winning nine of their last ten competitive matches at the Georgi Asparuhov Stadium in 2026. While Universitatea Craiova enters in excellent form and boasts a strong defensive record on the road, the home advantage should give the Bulgarian champions a slight edge in a tight, low-scoring encounter.
Craiova enters as slight favorites based on underlying metrics and overall strength, but Levski Sofia's strong home atmosphere and European pedigree make a draw or narrow result highly likely.
Levski Sofia holds home advantage at the Georgi Asparuhov Stadium and has shown attacking threat with Reinaldo as the competition's joint-top scorer (2 goals), but Craiova rates marginally ahead on composite model metrics and recent form. A tight, cagey first leg is most likely given the closeness of the matchup, with 1-1 the single most plausible scoreline reflecting the balanced 50-50 attack/defence comparison and Levski's home edge.
Both teams are closely matched in underlying metrics, with Levski Sofia enjoying home advantage and a passionate fanbase, while Universitatea Craiova is rated slightly higher in composite form. A draw is a realistic outcome given the balanced nature of this tie.
Universitatea Craiova are rated as the strongest side in this qualifying round by underlying metrics and hold a slight overall quality edge, while Levski Sofia’s formidable home support and proven European scoring keep the match tight, pointing to a narrow away win or a draw.
Models give Universitatea Craiova a slight edge (53.3 vs 46.7 composite), but Levski Sofia's home advantage at Georgi Asparuhov Stadium, European pedigree, and early qualifying goals from Reinaldo (2) keep the tie finely balanced with a healthy draw probability.
Craiova appear marginally stronger overall, but Levski’s home advantage and demonstrated attacking threat should largely offset that edge. A tight, low-scoring first leg is likely, with 1-1 the most plausible scoreline.
Both teams arrive in exceptional form with identical 5-1 aggregate victories and strong defensive records (Craiova: 7 clean sheets in 11; Levski: 6 in 10 home games). Levski's formidable home fortress (9W in 10 competitive home matches in 2026) is offset by Craiova's slightly superior composite metrics (53.3 vs 46.7) and solid away form (W4 D2 in last 6), making this an extremely tight first leg where a cautious, low-scoring draw is highly probable.
Both national champions arrive unbeaten and with identical 5-1 Q1 aggregates, but Levski’s dominant 2026 home record (nine wins in ten) and Georgi Asparuhov atmosphere tip a tight, low-scoring first leg their way against a defensively solid Craiova side.
Model composites give Universitatea Craiova a marginal edge (53.3 vs 46.7) and they are rated the strongest side in UCL Q1, but Levski Sofia benefit from a fierce home atmosphere at Georgi Asparuhov and have already shown attacking output (Reinaldo with 2 goals). First-leg ties between closely-matched sides tend to be cagey, making a low-scoring draw the single most likely outcome.
Levski's formidable home record (9 wins in 10 home matches) is counterbalanced by Craiova's outstanding away defensive record (2 goals conceded in 6 away games) and their slightly higher composite quality rating, making a tight first-leg draw the most likely single scoreline despite a marginal home edge in win probability.
Levski SofiaUniversitatea Craiova