Levski Sofia
Kairat Almaty| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 2–1 | H50%D27%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–0 | H51%D26%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–1 | H46%D29%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 1–0 | H46%D29%A25% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–0 | H52%D27%A21% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H45%D28%A27% | Correct | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–0 | H42%D30%A28% | Correct | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–0 | H42%D30%A28% | Correct | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H45%D30%A25% | Correct | Exact |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–0 | H44%D28%A28% | Correct | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H42%D30%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H40%D33%A27% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Levski Sofia are strong at home (roughly 2 goals per game scored, under 1 conceded) and enjoy the advantage of the tie's first leg on their turf, while Kairat Almaty are heavily reliant on home form and face a long trip from Kazakhstan.
Levski have been convincing at home in qualifying (4-0 v Borac, 1-0 v Craiova) and Kairat, who needed penalties to squeeze past a modest Omonia side, are heavily reliant on their own ground and face a long, energy-sapping trip west. Expect a controlled Levski first-leg win, though a cagey draw is a realistic alternative given Kairat's proven resilience in two-legged ties.
Levski's perfect home record (4/4 wins at Georgi Asparuhov) and 10-match unbeaten run give them the edge, but Kairat's UCL league-phase experience, solid defensive structure, and counter-attacking threat make a first-leg stalemate highly plausible — as seen when Kairat held Omonia to tight margins and Levski drew their away leg 2-2 at Craiova.
Levski Sofia boast a formidable home record at the Georgi Asparuhov Stadium and have started their domestic campaign flawlessly. However, Kairat Almaty's recent European pedigree and defensive resilience make a tightly contested draw a highly plausible outcome in this first leg.
Levski Sofia enter this tie in excellent form, boasting a strong home record at the Georgi Asparuhov Stadium where they recently defeated Universitatea Craiova. Kairat Almaty struggle more on their travels, as shown by their away defeat to Omonia Nicosia, making a narrow home victory the most likely outcome.
Levski Sofia have been formidable at home in earlier qualifying rounds with victories over Borac and Craiova, whereas Kairat Almaty rely heavily on home advantage in Kazakhstan and suffered an away defeat at Omonia in the previous round. The Bulgarians should take a narrow first-leg advantage into the return fixture.
Levski Sofia has a slight home advantage and a positive historical record against Kazakh teams, but Kairat Almaty enters the tie in impressive form. Given the high stakes of the 3rd Qualifying Round, a cautious approach from both sides makes a draw a highly probable outcome.
Levski Sofia have home advantage at Georgi Asparuhov and boast the competition's joint-top scorer in Reinaldo (2 goals), giving them a slight edge, but Kairat Almaty arrive as Kazakh champions in equally impressive form under Urazbakhtin, making a tight qualifying tie with a marginal home-win edge most likely.
Levski Sofia hold a slight edge as hosts with a stronger recent record against Kazakh opposition and home advantage, but Kairat Almaty are in impressive form under their new manager, making this a tightly balanced fixture where a draw is a realistic outcome.
Levski Sofia have won all four home matches this season and are unbeaten in ten games across all competitions, giving them the edge against a Kairat side that relies heavily on home advantage and needed penalties to edge past Omonia in the previous round.
Levski are unbeaten in 10 and have won all four home matches this season, making them slight favourites at a raucous Georgi Asparuhov, while Kairat's away defeat to Omonia last round suggests they are far less convincing on the road. However, Kairat are defensively organised, experienced at this level and in excellent domestic form (13W-6D-1L), so a cagey first-leg draw is a very live outcome.
Levski Sofia boast a perfect home record (4/4 wins) and a 10-match unbeaten run, but Kairat Almaty are defensively disciplined, possess Champions League league-phase experience, and have lost just once in their last 10 matches. First-leg caution and Kairat's counter-attacking threat make a low-scoring draw the single most likely outcome.
Levski’s home advantage and early attacking output give them a modest edge, but Kairat’s strong form should keep this first leg tight. A low-scoring home win is the likeliest outcome, with the draw a substantial possibility.
Levski Sofia are unbeaten in 10 matches, have won all four home games at the Georgi Asparuhov Stadium, and have been prolific in qualifying (5-1 vs Borac, 3-2 vs Craiova). Kairat are defensively solid and experienced at this level but are described as reliant on home advantage and less effective away, making a narrow Levski home win the most likely outcome in a tightly contested first leg.
Levski unbeaten in 10 with perfect home record and solid Q1/Q2 progress, but Kairat are Kazakh leaders with recent CL experience, defensive steel and a gritty path past Omonia on pens; first-leg caution points to a tight low-scoring stalemate.
Levski Sofia are unbeaten in 10 matches and have won all 4 home games this season, giving them the edge, but Kairat's disciplined defensive structure and European experience — including a CL league phase run last season — make a tight, low-scoring draw the most likely single scoreline. Kairat have lost their only away leg in this season's qualifiers (at Omonia) and all their CL away games last campaign, so a home win remains the most probable outcome category overall.
Levski's strong home form (4/4 wins) and 10-match unbeaten run give them a slight edge, but Kairat's superior UEFA coefficient (21.250 vs 10.500), Champions League league-phase experience, and defensive discipline make a first-leg draw the most likely scoreline.
Levski SofiaKairat Almaty