Levski Sofia
AEK Athens FC| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H40%D32%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H33%D28%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H42%D29%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–1 | H34%D35%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D29%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H34%D31%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H42%D30%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–0 | H44%D27%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H36%D30%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 2–0 | H45%D28%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H36%D30%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H46%D28%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H34%D35%A31% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Levski Sofia are in strong form and treat the Vasil Levski as a fortress, giving them a home edge, but AEK Athens carry higher pedigree and quality; in a cautious first leg between two solid defenses a tight, low-scoring draw is the single most likely outcome.
AEK Athens carry clearly superior squad depth and coefficient strength, but Levski have been unbeaten through the qualifying rounds and the Vasil Levski atmosphere plus first-leg caution narrows the gap considerably. A tight, low-scoring draw is a very live outcome in a two-legged play-off opener.
Levski's 17-match unbeaten run, five straight home wins and superior competitive rhythm give them the edge, while AEK arrive with only one competitive match this season and no clean sheet in six; AEK's quality and Jovic should keep it close.
Levski Sofia enters the play-offs in excellent form, unbeaten in their six qualification matches and boasting a formidable home record. Although AEK Athens possesses superior squad depth and continental pedigree, their lack of competitive European minutes this season makes a tightly contested draw the most probable outcome in the first leg.
Levski Sofia enter the first leg with strong domestic and early-qualifying momentum at home, whereas AEK Athens possess higher overall squad quality but face their first competitive European match of the season. A tight, cautious opening leg is likely, making a low-scoring draw a very plausible outcome.
Levski Sofia carries strong home momentum and qualifying match sharpness, but AEK Athens possesses superior squad quality, pointing towards a balanced and cautious first leg.
Levski Sofia enters the match in strong form and is formidable at home, while AEK Athens is a high-quality side but lacks recent European data for this campaign. Given the high stakes of a Play-Off fixture, a cautious approach and a draw are highly probable.
Levski bring 17-match unbeaten run, 5 straight home wins and sharpness from 6 qualifiers (8 wins in 9) with a very tight home defence, while AEK enter with no European minutes this season and less rhythm despite higher pedigree, making a narrow home win most likely in a tight first leg.
First leg of a play-off tie where Levski Sofia carry strong momentum from an unbeaten six-match qualifying run and a fortress-like home record, but face AEK Athens — Greek champions with a vastly superior squad (Jovic, Majer, Kairinen, Zubkov) on a 12-match unbeaten run. The quality gap is meaningful but neutralised by Levski's home form, making a cagey first leg with a 1-1 draw the most likely outcome.
Levski Sofia's strong home form and defensive solidity in qualification provide a clear edge, but AEK Athens' historical experience and resilience in European competitions make them a credible threat, with a draw highly plausible given the stakes.
Levski Sofia arrive unbeaten through six qualifiers with a prolific attack and formidable home defense, while AEK Athens have not yet played in this season’s competition, leaving their current European form untested.
Levski arrive unbeaten through three qualifying rounds (Borac, Craiova, Kairat) with a near-impenetrable home defense, making the Vasil Levski a tough away trip. However, AEK enter as Greek champions with a clearly stronger squad and deeper European pedigree, so they are slight favourites even in Sofia — though first-leg caution points to a tight, low-scoring contest.
Levski Sofia carry a 13-match unbeaten run and five straight home wins into this first leg, but AEK Athens possess superior individual quality (Jovic, Varga, Marin) despite only one competitive match since April. Both sides have shown defensive frailties — AEK haven't kept a clean sheet in six games, while Levski conceded in qualifying — making a tight, low-scoring draw the most probable 90-minute outcome.
Levski's strong qualifying run and home defensive record offset AEK Athens' greater squad quality and European pedigree. A tight first-leg contest is likely, with 1-1 the most plausible scoreline.
Levski Sofia's prolific attack and formidable home record through six unbeaten qualification matches give them a slight edge against an AEK Athens side with no recent European data to gauge their current form.
Levski enter undefeated across six qualifiers with a strong home fortress and clinical attack, while AEK arrive without prior UCL minutes this campaign and as the higher-pedigree side on paper; a tight, low-scoring draw is the single most probable 90-minute outcome.
Levski Sofia enter unbeaten through three qualifying rounds with a fortress-like home record at Vasil Levski, while AEK Athens have played no competitive European matches this season and their domestic league hasn't started—though the Greek side's superior squad quality (led by Jovic and Koita) should keep this tight, making a draw the most probable single outcome in the first leg.
Levski Sofia's exceptional home form (3 clean sheets, 6 goals in 3 CL qualifying home matches) and superior match sharpness offset AEK Athens' clear squad quality advantage, with the Greek champions lacking competitive football since May. A first-leg draw is the most likely outcome given these competing factors.
Levski SofiaAEK Athens FC