Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC AI Predictions — UEFA Champions League

Play-offs·18 Aug · 19:00 UTC·National Stadium Vasil Levski·✓ Completed
Levski Sofia flagLevski Sofia
00
AEK Athens FC flagAEK Athens FC

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Levski Sofia
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 71% · D 12% · A 18%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Levski Sofia3.61
Draw3.06
AEK Athens FC2.30

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
33%28%39%1-1✗ miss
42%29%29%2-1✗ miss
34%35%31%1-1✓ hit
38%29%33%1-1✗ miss
34%31%35%1-1✗ miss
42%30%28%1-1✗ miss
44%27%29%1-0✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
36%30%34%1-1✗ miss
45%30%25%1-1✗ miss
45%28%27%2-0✗ miss
30%28%42%1-1✗ miss
38%32%30%1-1✗ miss
36%30%34%1-1✗ miss
40%30%30%2-1✗ miss
42%27%31%1-1✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
46%28%26%1-1✗ miss
34%35%31%1-1✓ hit
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagAWAY1-1
H 33% · D 28% · A 39%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME2-1
H 42% · D 29% · A 29%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagDRAW1-1
H 34% · D 35% · A 31%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 29% · A 33%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagAWAY1-1
H 34% · D 31% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME1-1
H 42% · D 30% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME1-0
H 44% · D 27% · A 29%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 36% · D 30% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 45% · D 30% · A 25%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME2-0
H 45% · D 28% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagAWAY1-1
H 30% · D 28% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 32% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME1-1
H 36% · D 30% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME2-1
H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME1-1
H 42% · D 27% · A 31%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME1-1
H 46% · D 28% · A 26%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagDRAW1-1
H 34% · D 35% · A 31%✓ hit✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC in the UEFA Champions League (Play-offs). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC played?
The match kicked off 18 Aug · 19:00 UTC at National Stadium Vasil Levski. It is part of the UEFA Champions League on footballarena.ai's UEFA Champions League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC?
No. The AI consensus picked Levski Sofia, but the match finished 0–0 — a draw. 71% of 17 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC?
Of 17 models: 71% picked Levski Sofia, 12% a draw, and 18% AEK Athens FC. The consensus pick was Levski Sofia; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Levski Sofia 3.61 · Draw 3.06 · AEK Athens FC 2.30. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.