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Lens vs Sporting CP — predictions and result

Lens
90-minute result0–2
Sporting CP
League Stage - 2Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Predictions

12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H31%D27%A42%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H35%D28%A37%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–1
H35%D28%A37%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–2
H34%D27%A39%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H40%D28%A32%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H32%D26%A42%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H28%D27%A45%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H30%D29%A41%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–2
H29%D28%A43%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–2
H34%D28%A38%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–2
H33%D27%A40%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–2
H31%D27%A42%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Sporting arrive unbeaten in six with a far stronger platform than a Lens side sitting mid-table in Ligue 1 and inconsistent domestically, so the Portuguese champions-level squad edges it on quality and control of possession. Bollaert's atmosphere and Lens' counter-attacking/set-piece threat keep this tight, with a low-scoring draw the single most likely scoreline.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Lens's strong European home record and raucous Stade Bollaert crowd keep them competitive despite key absences, while Sporting arrive unbeaten, deeper and in better form with Luis Suárez in scoring form. Both sides won high-scoring openers, making a score draw the likeliest exact result with Sporting narrowly favoured overall.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Sporting CP bring superior attacking fluency and continental pedigree, but Lens are typically well-organized and difficult to break down at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, pointing toward a tightly contested draw.

Muse Spark 1.2

Lens are strong at Stade Bollaert and defend set pieces well but convert fewer shots, while Sporting arrive fully fit and are narrowly favoured by models to avoid defeat; expect a tight, low-scoring game where Sporting's greater efficiency on the counter edges it.

MiniMax M3

Lens are in good recent form with wins over Standard Liège and Lyon, showing a strong defensive structure and effective counter-attacking at home, but Sporting CP arrive with a fully fit squad and are the slightly favored side in most models. With no H2H history and a competitive matchup, a tight 1-1 draw with both sides finding the net is the single most likely 90-minute outcome.

Kimi K3

Sporting arrive unbeaten in the Primeira Liga (4W-3D) with Luis Suárez in prolific form, a 3-1 UCL opening win over Galatasaray, and a near full-strength squad, while Lens are missing six players (including Todibo and Sima) and have been inconsistent domestically despite beating Slavia Prague 3-2 on MD1; Lens' strong home record at Bollaert keeps them very much in it, but Sporting's superior form, squad depth and attacking quality make them slight favourites.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Sporting CP arrive with a fully fit squad and are favoured by predictive models; Lens have home advantage and strong recent form (wins over Standard Liège and Lyon) built on solid set-piece defence and counter-attacking, but the Portuguese side's overall depth and Champions League experience edge a tight contest.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Sporting appear to have the stronger overall squad and arrive close to full fitness, giving them a slight edge. Lens's counterattacking threat and strong set-piece defending should keep the match tight, with a draw the likeliest exact scoreline.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Sporting CP holds a clear quality edge and is favored by predictive models, but Lens's strong set-piece defending and counter-attacking threat at the Bollaert-Delelis will keep the contest tight. The visitors are expected to narrowly edge a closely fought match.

Grok 4.5

Sporting edge it on squad quality, unbeaten form and fewer absences after a 3-1 MD1 win, while Lens’ Bollaert fortress, new-manager bounce and counter threat keep it tight; both should score in a narrow away win.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Sporting CP arrive in strong form with convincing 3-1 wins in both the UCL (vs Galatasaray) and domestically (vs Braga), and travel with nearly a fully fit squad compared to Lens's six confirmed absences including key defender Todibo. Lens's new-manager bounce after beating Lyon gives them a fighting chance at home, but Sporting's superior depth and attacking quality make them slight favourites to edge this.

GLM-5.2

Sporting CP are unbeaten domestically, beat Galatasaray 3-1 in their UCL opener, and possess a more potent attack led by Luis Suárez, while Lens sit mid-table in Ligue 1 despite their dramatic win in Prague. Lens's home advantage and counter-attacking threat make this competitive, but Sporting's superior form and fully-fit squad give them the edge.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeLens
2.55
DrawLevel at 90′
3.80
AwaySporting CP
2.65