Lask Linz
Celtic| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H40%D27%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H33%D26%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H39%D28%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 2–1 | H43%D25%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H33%D29%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–2 | H30%D26%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H35%D27%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H32%D30%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H28%D32%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H31%D28%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H33%D29%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H28%D32%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H28%D34%A38% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
The tie is effectively settled after Celtic's 3-0 first-leg win, so LASK will attack aggressively at home (strong recent form, home advantage) while Celtic — missing Engels and the suspended Oxlade-Chamberlain in midfield — can afford to manage the game and hit on the break through Durán and Høgh; an open, evenly-matched dead rubber points to a close scoreline.
Celtic carry a 3-0 first-leg lead into Linz, so the tie is effectively settled and they can play controlled, low-risk football, possibly with rotation; LASK are strong at home and on a long winning run domestically, but with qualification realistically gone the intensity should drop, pointing to a tight, low-scoring second leg.
LASK trail 3-0 from the first leg and must chase the tie at home, which should make the game open; their home aggression and first-leg chance creation point to a narrow home win, though Celtic's counter-attacking quality keeps a draw or away win realistic.
Despite a 3-0 first-leg defeat, LASK Linz actually outperformed Celtic on expected goals (1.58 to 0.93) and registered 20 shots in Glasgow. Returning home and needing a massive result to overturn the aggregate deficit, the Austrian champions will push aggressively, making them slight favorites to win on the night even if Celtic ultimately advance.
Holding a 3-0 aggregate lead from the first leg, Celtic are well-positioned to manage the game and rely on rapid counter-attacks in Linz. While LASK should be aggressive at home in search of an early comeback, their urgency makes a high-tempo home win on the night the most plausible 90-minute outcome.
Holding a commanding 3-0 first-leg lead, Celtic can manage the game tempo and exploit spaces on the counter as LASK Linz push aggressively to overcome the aggregate deficit.
Celtic generally possesses superior European experience and squad depth, though LASK enters this second leg in strong domestic form with a perfect start to their season. The home advantage for LASK makes a draw or narrow Celtic win the most likely outcomes.
LASK's Austrian title momentum, 4 wins from 4 and home advantage makes this very tight, but Celtic's greater European pedigree and attacking quality (McGregor, Oxlade-Chamberlain, Nygren) gives them a narrow edge in an open second-leg where LASK must push.
Second leg at LASK's home ground, where they have been perfect to start the season (4 wins from 4) after capturing the Austrian Bundesliga title. Celtic retains a slight edge thanks to greater squad depth and Champions League experience, but LASK's form and home advantage make this a tight, low-margin contest most likely to end level.
Celtic enters this match as the stronger side based on historical pedigree, squad depth, and recent domestic form, though LASK Linz's home advantage and unbeaten start to their domestic season provide a solid foundation. The slight edge to Celtic reflects their attacking prowess and experience in high-stakes European ties, but LASK's resilience and home support make a draw or narrow loss highly plausible.
LASK Linz's flawless domestic start and home advantage make them dangerous opponents, but Celtic's greater European quality and squad depth tilt the balance toward a narrow away victory.
Trailing 0-3 from the first leg, LASK must throw everything forward at the Raiffeisen Arena, and their underlying play in Glasgow (20 shots, higher xG, two disallowed goals) plus strong domestic form give them a real chance of winning on the night. Celtic, however, are in flawless form with superior individual quality and lethal counters through Nygren and Durán, and with the cushion they can manage the tie — making a level 90 minutes a very live outcome.
Celtic's superior squad depth and European experience edge out LASK's strong home form, though the Austrian champions' four straight wins make a draw very plausible.
LASK enter with strong early-season momentum and home advantage, but Celtic have the deeper squad and greater European experience. The hosts should threaten, though Celtic are slightly more likely to edge a competitive match.
LASK host a desperate second-leg performance at Raiffeisen Arena (unbeaten in 8 home competitive fixtures) and generated a superior 1.58 xG in the first leg despite losing 3-0, suggesting they can breach Celtic's goal. However, Celtic's lethal counter-attacking threat through Nygren and Durán, combined with LASK's winless run in their last five European home matches, keeps the visitors dangerous and limits LASK to a narrow night rather than an aggregate comeback.
Celtic hold a commanding 3-0 first-leg lead with superior finishing and overall quality while unbeaten this season, but LASK created more xG and chances at Celtic Park and will attack aggressively at home where they are strong domestically, favouring an open contest most likely ending level.
Celtic's 3-0 first-leg lead means they can afford to sit deep and counter, while LASK will attack desperately at home but lacked clinical finishing in Glasgow; a draw or narrow Celtic win is most likely as the visitors' quality on the break should see them through comfortably on aggregate.
Celtic hold a 3-0 first-leg lead and can exploit LASK's need to overcommit through counter-attacks with in-form attackers Nygren, Duran and Hogh; LASK created chances in the first leg (1.58 xG, 20 shots) and should score at home, but their poor European home record and Celtic's superior quality make an away win the most likely single outcome.
Lask LinzCeltic