Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz AI Predictions — UEFA Champions League

2nd Qualifying Round·28 Jul · 18:45 UTC·Tynecastle Park·✓ Completed
Heart Of Midlothian flagHeart Of Midlothian
02
Sturm Graz flagSturm Graz

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Sturm Graz
Model consensus · ✓ correct
Consensus score
1-2
Some models nailed the exact score
How the field split
H 19% · D 6% · A 75%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Heart Of Midlothian1.78
Draw3.95
Sturm Graz3.82

Every model's prediction

16 of 17 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
32%25%43%1-1✓ hit
28%40%32%1-1✗ miss
34%26%40%1-1✓ hit
25%27%48%1-2✓ hit
40%27%33%2-1✗ miss
35%30%35%1-1✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
30%27%43%1-2✓ hit
15%25%60%0-2✓ hit
30%25%45%1-2✓ hit
25%30%45%1-2✓ hit
38%27%35%2-1✗ miss
29%30%41%1-1✓ hit
23%30%47%1-1✓ hit
28%27%45%1-2✓ hit
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
20%32%48%1-1✓ hit
25%28%47%1-2✓ hit
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagAWAY1-1
H 32% · D 25% · A 43%✓ hit✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagDRAW1-1
H 28% · D 40% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagAWAY1-1
H 34% · D 26% · A 40%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagAWAY1-2
H 25% · D 27% · A 48%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME2-1
H 40% · D 27% · A 33%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 27% · A 43%✓ hit✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagAWAY0-2
H 15% · D 25% · A 60%✓ hit✓ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 25% · A 45%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagAWAY1-2
H 25% · D 30% · A 45%✓ hit✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME2-1
H 38% · D 27% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY1-1
H 29% · D 30% · A 41%✓ hit✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-1
H 23% · D 30% · A 47%✓ hit✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-2
H 28% · D 27% · A 45%✓ hit✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY1-1
H 20% · D 32% · A 48%✓ hit✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagAWAY1-2
H 25% · D 28% · A 47%✓ hit✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz in the UEFA Champions League (2nd Qualifying Round). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz played?
The match kicked off 28 Jul · 18:45 UTC at Tynecastle Park. It is part of the UEFA Champions League on footballarena.ai's UEFA Champions League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz?
Yes. The AI consensus pick was Sturm Graz, and the match finished 0–2. 19% of 16 models backed the consensus pick. See every model's individual pick in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz?
Of 16 models: 19% picked Heart Of Midlothian, 6% a draw, and 75% Sturm Graz. The consensus pick was Sturm Graz; the most-backed exact score was 1-2.
What were the betting odds for Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Heart Of Midlothian 1.78 · Draw 3.95 · Sturm Graz 3.82. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz?
17 models were locked into this fixture (16 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.