Heart Of Midlothian
Sturm Graz| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–2 | H32%D24%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H32%D25%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H28%D40%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–1 | H34%D26%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H25%D27%A48% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H40%D27%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H30%D27%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 0–2 | H15%D25%A60% | Correct | Exact |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–2 | H30%D25%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H29%D30%A41% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H23%D30%A47% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H20%D32%A48% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H25%D28%A47% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Sturm Graz are the stronger side, in superb form (one loss in 22) and hold a comfortable 4-0 aggregate lead, so they can play on the counter while Hearts must push forward and leave gaps; expect Hearts to score but Sturm to extend their aggregate lead.
Sturm Graz effectively settled the tie with a 4-0 first-leg win in Graz, so they arrive with superior quality, a free hand to rotate and no need to chase the game, while Hearts must open up at Tynecastle in a near-hopeless comeback. Home crowd and Hearts' need to attack keep the result competitive, but Sturm's greater squad depth and counter-attacking threat make them the more likely winners on the night.
Tie effectively over at 4-0 on aggregate; Sturm Graz (unbeaten in 15) can manage the game conservatively while Hearts push for pride at a raucous Tynecastle. A low-scoring draw is the most plausible outcome, with Hearts likely to score but their shaky defence preventing a clean sheet.
Sturm Graz holds a commanding 4-0 lead from the first leg, allowing them to manage the game defensively in Edinburgh. While Hearts will push forward for pride in front of their home crowd, the visitors' superior quality makes a draw or a narrow away win the most likely outcome.
After a dominant 4-0 victory in the first leg, Sturm Graz holds a massive advantage and can exploit the spaces left by a Hearts side forced to attack from the outset. While Hearts will look to restore pride at Tynecastle, the Austrian side's superior quality and counter-attacking threat should see them secure another victory.
Holding a commanding 4-0 aggregate lead from the first leg, Sturm Graz can afford to manage the game and avoid unnecessary risks at Tynecastle. Driven by pride and strong home support, Hearts are poised to deliver a much-improved performance to claim a narrow victory on the night, though the Austrian side will comfortably advance overall.
Sturm Graz holds a massive 4-0 lead from the first leg, which likely means they will adopt a conservative, game-management approach in Scotland. Hearts will push for a comeback at Tynecastle, but the gulf in quality shown in the first leg suggests a draw or a narrow result is most probable.
Sturm Graz's dominant 4-0 first-leg win at home demonstrates a clear quality gap between these sides. While Hearts will have home support and must attack given the aggregate deficit (leaving space at the back), Sturm Graz's superior quality on the counter-attack makes them favorites to also win the second leg 90 minutes, with a 1-2 away result the most likely scoreline.
Sturm Graz dominated the first leg 4-0, demonstrating clear superiority in tactics, form, and execution. Hearts face an overwhelming task to overturn the deficit, even with home advantage, making Sturm Graz the most likely winner.
With a 4-0 first-leg deficit forcing Hearts to attack from the outset, Sturm Graz’s well-organized low block and dangerous counter-attacks should exploit the space left behind. The visitors’ superior form and clinical finishing make a narrow away victory the most probable result.
Sturm Graz demonstrated clear superiority with a 4-0 first-leg win and remain the stronger side even if they rotate with the tie effectively settled. Hearts will push for pride at a noisy Tynecastle, which keeps a home result or draw live, but the Austrians' quality edge makes an away win on the night most likely.
Hearts trail 0-4 on aggregate after a heavy first-leg loss but created good chances in Graz; at Tynecastle they will attack a Sturm Graz side content to manage the tie, making a narrow home win the most likely 90-minute outcome despite the eliminator being all but over.
Sturm Graz’s 4-0 first-leg lead reflects their superiority, but it also allows them to manage the return leg conservatively. Hearts’ home advantage and urgency make a draw the most plausible individual scoreline, though Sturm remain likelier to win than Hearts.
Sturm Graz's dominant 4-0 first-leg victory demonstrates a clear quality gap, but Hearts' exceptional domestic home record (unbeaten in 19 home matches last season) and a packed Tynecastle give them a realistic chance of a consolation result. Sturm can afford to sit deep and counter-attack with a four-goal cushion, making a narrow away win or draw the most likely outcomes, with 1-1 the single most probable scoreline.
Sturm Graz's dominant 4-0 first-leg win exposed a clear quality gap over Hearts despite the Scots' strong second-place Premiership finish; at Tynecastle Hearts must attack desperately for a miracle, opening spaces for Sturm counters while the Austrians' excellent recent form and European experience favour an away win.
Sturm Graz hold a commanding 4-0 first-leg lead and are clearly the superior side, but with such a cushion they are likely to manage the tie conservatively, making a draw a very plausible outcome at Tynecastle; Hearts will show effort at home but were thoroughly outclassed in Graz and are unlikely to overturn the deficit or keep Sturm Graz completely at bay.
Sturm Graz demonstrated a clear quality gap with a dominant 4-0 first-leg win in Graz, and even with a conservative approach protecting their aggregate lead, they should have enough to at least avoid defeat at Tynecastle. Hearts will push on home soil but the tie is effectively settled, which could lead to an open game that suits Sturm Graz's counter-attacking threat.
Heart Of MidlothianSturm Graz