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Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda — predictions and result

Hapoel Beer Sheva
90-minute result1–0
FK Crvena Zvezda
3rd Qualifying RoundHaladás Sportkomplexum

Predictions

17 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic1–1
H34%D28%A38%
MissedMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H26%D28%A46%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–2
H19%D24%A57%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle1–2
H21%D26%A53%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle1–2
H18%D24%A58%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle0–2
H18%D24%A58%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle1–2
H22%D26%A52%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H23%D28%A49%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–2
H30%D25%A45%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot0–2
H18%D24%A58%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H25%D27%A48%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–3
H15%D25%A60%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–2
H20%D25%A55%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–2
H23%D27%A50%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–2
H22%D26%A52%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi0–2
H22%D26%A52%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–2
H24%D28%A48%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

Crvena Zvezda are the stronger, more experienced side with quality attackers, but Hapoel Beer Sheva have home advantage and reached this stage on merit, making a tight, possibly level result likely.

Claude Opus 5

Crvena Zvezda are clearly the stronger side — deeper, more experienced squad (Arnautovic, Katai, Elsnik) fresh off a 9-0 aggregate rout — while Hapoel Beer Sheva needed a tight 3-2 aggregate to edge Vikingur Reykjavik and play their 'home' leg away from Israel with limited advantage. Cautious first legs of ties like this often stay tight, so a low-scoring draw is a genuine possibility even with Zvezda favoured.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Crvena Zvezda are in strong form (9-0 aggregate vs Larne, four straight competitive wins), boast superior squad depth with Arnautovic, Katai and Krunic, while Hapoel are depleted by injuries (Diop, Amador, Victor, Biton) and lose home advantage at the neutral Hungarian venue. Hapoel can score but Zvezda's quality and European experience should prevail.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Crvena Zvezda demonstrated their attacking firepower with a 9-0 aggregate win in the previous round, while Hapoel Beer Sheva struggled past Vikingur Reykjavik. The visitors' superior squad quality and European experience should give them the edge in this first leg.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

FK Crvena Zvezda enters this tie in superb form after a 9-0 aggregate win over Larne and possesses a far superior squad. Furthermore, Hapoel Beer Sheva loses their home advantage as the match is played at a neutral venue in Hungary, while also dealing with several key player injuries.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Crvena Zvezda enter in formidable form following a 9-0 aggregate sweep of Larne, while Hapoel Beer Sheva struggled to overcome Vikingur Reykjavik. Playing on neutral ground in Hungary deprives Beer Sheva of true home advantage, favoring the quality and depth of the Serbian champions.

Gemma 4 31B

Crvena Zvezda enters this tie with significantly higher momentum and quality, evidenced by their dominant 9-0 aggregate win over Larne compared to Hapoel's tighter progression. The presence of high-caliber players like Arnautovic gives the visitors a clear edge in offensive output.

MiniMax M3

Crvena Zvezda are heavy favorites on quality — a Champions League regulars with Arnautovic, Katai and Ivanic, fresh off a 9-0 aggregate demolition of Larne — but this is the first leg away from home in a CL qualifier, where caution and tight scorelines (frequently 1-1) are typical, so I'm backing a Zvezda-favored draw with a narrow away win as the next likeliest outcome.

Mistral Large 3

Crvena Zvezda demonstrated far superior firepower in their previous round (9-0 aggregate) and possess a more experienced squad with attacking threats like Arnautovic and Katai. Hapoel Beer Sheva showed resilience but are less consistent, making Zvezda the likelier winner, though a tight match is expected.

Kimi K2.6

FK Crvena Zvezda enter in flawless form with no injury concerns and an unbeaten away run since November 2025, whereas Hapoel Beer Sheva are depleted by injuries to key defenders and attackers and have lost three of their last four matches. A controlled away win is therefore the most likely result.

Kimi K3

Crvena Zvezda bring far greater squad quality and European pedigree — a 9-0 aggregate demolition of Larne with Arnautovic, Katai and Ivanic in attack — making them favorites even on the road. Hapoel's home advantage, August heat in Beer Sheva, and their narrow 3-2 aggregate escape past Vikingur keep a draw or home upset plausible, but Zvezda's experience should edge it.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Red Star Belgrade have made a flawless start (4 wins, 17 goals in 4 competitive matches), crushed Larne 9-0 on aggregate, and are unbeaten away since November 2025; Hapoel Beer Sheva won just 1 of their last 5 matches before qualifying and miss several key players including both first-choice full-backs and their main creative winger.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Crvena Zvezda appear significantly stronger after their 9-0 aggregate win over Larne, while Hapoel Beer Sheva only narrowly advanced past Vikingur Reykjavik. Hapoel's home advantage should keep the contest competitive, but Zvezda's superior attacking quality gives them the edge.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Crvena Zvezda possess significantly greater squad quality and European pedigree, having demolished Larne 9-0 in the previous round, and feature experienced attackers like Arnautovic, Katai, and Ivanic. However, Hapoel Beer Sheva showed attacking threat at home (scoring 3 vs Vikingur) and the hostile Israeli venue in a first leg keeps the draw probability elevated, making a narrow away win the single most likely outcome.

Grok 4.5

Neutral venue in Hungary removes Hapoel's home edge; Crvena Zvezda arrive in far superior form after a 9-0 thrashing of Larne and strong domestic results with a deeper, higher-quality squad featuring Arnautovic and Katai, while Hapoel have won just one of five and leaked goals heavily.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Crvena Zvezda's vastly superior squad quality, dominant 9-0 aggregate demolition of Larne, and four-match winning streak make them clear favorites despite the away setting. Hapoel Beer Sheva's defensive vulnerabilities (conceding twice to Vikingur) and poor summer form (2 losses in 3) suggest they will struggle against Zvezda's attacking firepower.

GLM-5.2

Crvena Zvezda demonstrated superior quality with a 9-0 aggregate win over Larne and possess far greater Champions League pedigree, while Hapoel Beer Sheva narrowly survived against Vikingur Reykjavik (3-2 agg). Home advantage keeps this competitive, but Zvezda's attacking firepower should edge a first-leg result.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeHapoel Beer Sheva
4.25
DrawLevel at 90′
3.77
AwayFK Crvena Zvezda
1.78