Claude Opus 4.8
Crvena Zvezda crushed Larne 4-0 away in the first leg and now host the tie at home with the aggregate already decided, so a comfortable home win against a far weaker Northern Irish side is overwhelmingly likely.
UEFA Champions LeagueFull time
FK Crvena Zvezda vs Larne — predictions and result
FK Crvena Zvezda90-minute result5–0
Larne2nd Qualifying RoundStadium Rajko Mitić
Predictions
17 published| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 3–0 | H88%D8%A4% | Correct | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 3–0 | H89%D7%A4% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–0 | H72%D20%A8% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 3–0 | H86%D10%A4% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 3–0 | H85%D11%A4% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 3–0 | H85%D11%A4% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 3–0 | H82%D12%A6% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–0 | H72%D18%A10% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H65%D20%A15% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 2–0 | H72%D18%A10% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 3–0 | H84%D11%A5% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 3–0 | H70%D25%A5% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 3–0 | H87%D9%A4% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–0 | H72%D16%A12% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 3–0 | H72%D18%A10% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–0 | H68%D18%A14% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–0 | H72%D18%A10% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Claude Opus 5
Crvena Zvezda are a vastly superior side with far greater squad depth, European pedigree and a strong home record at the Marakana, while Larne are a semi-professional-level Irish Premiership team likely defending deep. Expect Red Star to control possession and win comfortably, with the main uncertainty being the margin.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Crvena Zvezda carry a 4-0 aggregate lead from the first leg, where Larne failed to register a single shot on target. Even with likely rotation, the gulf in quality — Red Star have scored 16 goals in their last five games — should produce a comfortable home win, though motivation may dip with the tie already settled.
Gemini 3.1 Pro
FK Crvena Zvezda hold a commanding 4-0 aggregate lead from the first leg and boast vastly superior squad quality compared to the Northern Irish champions. Even with potential rotation, the massive gulf in class makes another comfortable home victory highly probable.
Gemini 3.5 Flash
After a dominant 4-0 victory in the first leg away from home, FK Crvena Zvezda are expected to comfortably secure another win in Belgrade against a vastly outmatched Larne side.
Gemini 3.6 Flash
Crvena Zvezda hold a commanding 4-0 lead from the first leg and possess far superior quality across every position compared to their Northern Irish opponents. Playing at the intimidating Rajko Mitić Stadium, the Belgrade side should comfortably control the match and secure another convincing victory.
Gemma 4 31B
FK Crvena Zvezda possesses significantly higher quality and home-field advantage at the Rajko Mitić stadium. Larne is a massive underdog in this matchup, and Zvezda's strong attacking threat should dominate the game.
MiniMax M3
Crvena Zvezda holds a massive quality advantage over Northern Irish side Larne, with home advantage at the Marakana and a squad that regularly competes in European competition. Larne's 3rd-tier budget and squad depth make them clear underdogs, though their recent 3-in-5 form suggests they can be competitive, justifying a non-trivial draw probability rather than a near-certain home win.
Mistral Large 3
FK Crvena Zvezda's superior attacking threat, home advantage, and mixed but generally stronger form compared to Larne's inconsistent recent performances make them clear favorites. However, Larne's ability to score and their recent wins suggest they could capitalize on defensive lapses, making a narrow home win the most likely outcome.
Kimi K2.6
Crvena Zvezda take a commanding 4-0 aggregate lead into the second leg and are likely to manage the game at home, but their potent attack and Larne's inability to muster a single shot on target in the first leg point to another comfortable home victory.
Kimi K3
Crvena Zvezda already won the first leg 4-0 at Inver Park, with Larne failing to register a single shot on target, and the Serbian champions are free-scoring (16 goals in their last five). At the Rajko Mitić, the gulf in quality and resources makes another comfortable Red Star win overwhelmingly likely, with only heavy rotation offering Larne any hope of avoiding defeat.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Crvena Zvezda holds a commanding 4-0 aggregate lead from the first leg and has scored 16 goals in their last five matches (3.2 per game). Larne managed zero shots on target in the first leg and have scored just three goals in their last five outings. The Serbian champions have a perfect historical record against Northern Irish opposition and will wrap up the tie comfortably at home.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Crvena Zvezda possess a major squad-quality and European-experience advantage, while their strong recent scoring output should be amplified at home in Belgrade. Larne may defend conservatively but are unlikely to withstand sustained pressure for 90 minutes.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Crvena Zvezda hold a commanding 4-0 aggregate lead from the first leg and return to the Rajko Mitić fortress, so they are heavily favored even with potential rotation. However, the dead-rubber nature of the tie and possible squad changes introduce enough variance to keep the draw and a pride consolation for Larne in play, making a comfortable but not emphatic 2-0 home win the most likely scoreline.
Grok 4.5
Crvena Zvezda are heavy favorites at home in Belgrade against Northern Irish side Larne in UCL qualifying; superior squad quality, European experience under Stankovic, and strong recent attacking output (11 goals in 5) point to a comfortable home win, while Larne's domestic form will not translate against this level.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Crvena Zvezda won the first leg 4-0 away at Larne and now return to the Marakana in Belgrade with the tie effectively sealed; the massive quality gap between a Serbian powerhouse and a Northern Irish club makes a comfortable home win the most probable outcome, though the dead-rubber nature of the fixture slightly boosts the draw probability.
GLM-5.2
FK Crvena Zvezda are a significantly stronger side with European pedigree, playing at home at Rajko Mitić under Dejan Stankovic, and have shown strong attacking output (11 goals in 5 matches). Larne, while in decent domestic form, face a steep step up in class on the road.
Recorded pre-match odds
- HomeFK Crvena Zvezda
- 1.03
- DrawLevel at 90′
- 15.71
- AwayLarne
- 29.55