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FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva — predictions and result

FK Crvena Zvezda
90-minute result0–2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
3rd Qualifying RoundStadium Rajko Mitić

Predictions

17 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–0
H62%D23%A15%
MissedMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–0
H58%D22%A20%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H53%D24%A23%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle2–0
H64%D22%A14%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle2–0
H75%D16%A9%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle2–0
H67%D21%A12%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle2–0
H55%D25%A20%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H55%D25%A20%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H45%D30%A25%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–0
H55%D25%A20%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–0
H58%D23%A19%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–0
H58%D26%A16%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–0
H68%D20%A12%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H52%D24%A24%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–0
H58%D24%A18%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H56%D25%A19%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–0
H55%D26%A19%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

Crvena Zvezda are strong at home (9-0 aggregate vs Larne last round) and need to overturn a 1-0 first-leg deficit against Hapoel Beer Sheva, making them clear favorites to win this second leg with attacking intent led by Arnautovic.

Claude Opus 5

Crvena Zvezda trail 0-1 from the first leg and will attack from the start at a hostile, full Marakana, where they are traditionally dominant in European qualifiers (9-0 aggregate over Larne). Hapoel Beer Sheva have the lead to protect and defended well in Israel, so a low-scoring, tense game is likely, but Zvezda's superior squad depth makes a narrow home win the most probable 90-minute outcome.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Crvena Zvezda trail 1-0 after the first leg but boast far superior European pedigree and crushed Larne 9-0 in the previous round. At the Rajko Mitić they should have enough to win, though Hapoel Beer Sheva's compact 4-3-3 can grab an away goal on the counter.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Trailing 1-0 from the first leg, Red Star Belgrade will rely on their formidable home advantage at the Marakana to overturn the deficit. With superior attacking quality and the urgent need for goals, the hosts are heavily favored to secure a decisive victory in regulation.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

After a narrow 1-0 defeat in the first leg where they dominated but failed to convert, FK Crvena Zvezda are heavily favored to overturn the deficit at their formidable home ground. Hapoel Beer Sheva struggle on the road, having lost away to Vikingur Reykjavik in the previous round, and will be missing suspended defender Matan Baltaxa.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Trailing 1-0 from the first leg, FK Crvena Zvezda return to their formidable Rajko Mitić Stadium where superior squad quality and home advantage should dominate. Expect Red Star to apply relentless pressure against Beer Sheva's low block and overturn the deficit within regulation time.

Gemma 4 31B

Crvena Zvezda are strong favorites at home and enter this second leg trailing 0-1 from the first leg. Given their dominant 9-0 aggregate win in the previous round and superior squad depth, they are likely to overturn the deficit in Belgrade.

MiniMax M3

Crvena Zvezda are at home and significantly stronger on paper (Arnautovic, Katai, Ivanic, etc.), and they need a result after losing the first leg 1-0, so they'll push aggressively. However, Hapoel Beer Sheva's organized first-leg performance and the away goal cushion suggest they can stay competitive, with a 2-1 home win being the most likely 90-minute outcome.

Mistral Large 3

Crvena Zvezda are historically stronger and playing at home, but Hapoel Beer Sheva have shown resilience and consistency, including a recent 1-0 away win in this tie. Both teams possess attacking threats, making a draw the most balanced outcome, though Zvezda's home advantage slightly edges their chances.

Kimi K2.6

FK Crvena Zvezda trail 1-0 from the first leg but possess far greater European pedigree and an imposing home record in Belgrade, making them likely to overturn the deficit against a Hapoel Beer Sheva side that needed a narrow aggregate to advance past weaker opposition.

Kimi K3

Crvena Zvezda trail 0-1 on aggregate after losing the first leg in Beer Sheva, so they must attack from the start at the Marakana, where they are traditionally formidable — as shown by their 9-0 aggregate demolition of Larne in the previous round. Their superior squad quality (Arnautovic, Katai, Ivanic) and home advantage make them clear favorites for the 90 minutes, though Hapoel's proven resilience keeps a draw or narrow away result live.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Red Star Belgrade crushed Larne 9-0 on aggregate in the previous round and now must overturn a 1-0 deficit at home, where they are historically dominant in European qualifiers; Hapoel Beer Sheva's narrow first-leg win came in Israel, and their away form in Belgrade is untested at this level.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Crvena Zvezda's superior squad and 9-0 aggregate win in the previous round make them strong favorites at home. Trailing 1-0 from the first leg should force an assertive approach, with their attacking quality likely to overcome Hapoel Beer Sheva.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Crvena Zvezda return to the formidable Marakana in Belgrade trailing 0-1 on aggregate and possess significantly greater attacking quality (Arnautovic, Ivanic, Katai), which should see them win on the night. However, Hapoel Beer Sheva are defensively consistent and dangerous on the counter, meaning Zvezda are unlikely to overturn the deficit in regulation, making a narrow home win the most probable outcome.

Grok 4.5

Crvena Zvezda host the return leg after a narrow 0-1 first-leg defeat and are clearly the stronger side on pedigree, squad depth and prior qualifying dominance (9-0 vs Larne). At home they are favourites to overturn the deficit within 90 minutes, most likely by a clean-sheet 2-0, while the draw retains its baseline ~24% share.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Crvena Zvezda trail 0-1 on aggregate after the first leg and must attack at the Marakana, where they demolished Larne 5-0 in the previous round; their superior squad depth and the Belgrade crowd should fuel a comeback, though Hapoel Beer Sheva's resilience (winning 3-2 on aggregate vs Vikingur and keeping a clean sheet in the first leg) suggests they'll grab an away goal.

GLM-5.2

Crvena Zvezda trail 1-0 from the first leg but are a dominant force at Marakana with prolific attacking form (avg 2.70 goals) and a history of overturning such deficits; Hapoel's inconsistent qualifying campaign and defensive approach suggest the Serbs can win on the night, though a draw remains plausible if the visitors park the bus effectively.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeFK Crvena Zvezda
1.27
DrawLevel at 90′
5.82
AwayHapoel Beer Sheva
8.46