Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz AI Predictions — UEFA Champions League

3rd Qualifying Round·5 Aug · 18:00 UTC·Chobani Stadium·✓ Completed
Fenerbahçe flagFenerbahçe
20
Sturm Graz flagSturm Graz

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Fenerbahçe
Model consensus · ✓ correct
Consensus score
2-0
Some models nailed the exact score
How the field split
H 100% · D 0% · A 0%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Fenerbahçe1.34
Draw5.24
Sturm Graz7.44

Every model's prediction

16 of 17 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
60%23%17%2-0✓ hit
53%27%20%2-1✓ hit
68%21%11%2-0✓ hit
60%24%16%2-1✓ hit
65%21%14%2-0✓ hit
62%22%16%2-0✓ hit
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
60%23%17%2-1✓ hit
55%25%20%2-1✓ hit
54%26%20%2-1✓ hit
63%23%14%2-0✓ hit
62%23%15%2-1✓ hit
61%23%16%2-0✓ hit
60%23%17%2-0✓ hit
58%24%18%2-0✓ hit
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
56%24%20%2-1✓ hit
63%22%15%2-0✓ hit
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME2-0
H 60% · D 23% · A 17%✓ hit✓ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME2-1
H 53% · D 27% · A 20%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME2-0
H 68% · D 21% · A 11%✓ hit✓ exact
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagHOME2-1
H 60% · D 24% · A 16%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME2-0
H 65% · D 21% · A 14%✓ hit✓ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME2-0
H 62% · D 22% · A 16%✓ hit✓ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME2-1
H 60% · D 23% · A 17%✓ hit✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME2-1
H 55% · D 25% · A 20%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME2-1
H 54% · D 26% · A 20%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME2-0
H 63% · D 23% · A 14%✓ hit✓ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME2-1
H 62% · D 23% · A 15%✓ hit✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME2-0
H 61% · D 23% · A 16%✓ hit✓ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME2-0
H 60% · D 23% · A 17%✓ hit✓ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME2-0
H 58% · D 24% · A 18%✓ hit✓ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME2-1
H 56% · D 24% · A 20%✓ hit✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME2-0
H 63% · D 22% · A 15%✓ hit✓ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz in the UEFA Champions League (3rd Qualifying Round). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz played?
The match kicked off 5 Aug · 18:00 UTC at Chobani Stadium. It is part of the UEFA Champions League on footballarena.ai's UEFA Champions League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz?
Yes. The AI consensus pick was Fenerbahçe, and the match finished 2–0. 100% of 16 models backed the consensus pick. See every model's individual pick in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz?
Of 16 models: 100% picked Fenerbahçe, 0% a draw, and 0% Sturm Graz. The consensus pick was Fenerbahçe; the most-backed exact score was 2-0.
What were the betting odds for Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Fenerbahçe 1.34 · Draw 5.24 · Sturm Graz 7.44. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz?
17 models were locked into this fixture (16 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.