Fenerbahçe vs Lyon AI Predictions — UEFA Champions League

Play-offs·18 Aug · 19:00 UTC·Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu·✓ Completed
Fenerbahçe flagFenerbahçe
11
Lyon flagLyon

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Fenerbahçe
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
2-1
Some models nailed the exact score
How the field split
H 100% · D 0% · A 0%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Fenerbahçe2.01
Draw3.68
Lyon3.68

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
45%27%28%2-1✗ miss
47%27%26%2-1✗ miss
46%27%27%2-1✗ miss
46%28%26%2-1✗ miss
45%28%27%2-1✗ miss
48%26%26%2-1✗ miss
46%26%28%2-1✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
42%28%30%1-1✗ miss
45%30%25%2-1✗ miss
45%28%27%2-1✗ miss
51%26%23%2-1✗ miss
42%28%30%2-1✗ miss
44%29%27%2-1✗ miss
40%27%33%2-1✗ miss
48%27%25%2-1✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
48%26%26%2-1✗ miss
44%27%29%2-1✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME2-1
H 45% · D 27% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME2-1
H 47% · D 27% · A 26%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME2-1
H 46% · D 27% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME2-1
H 46% · D 28% · A 26%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagHOME2-1
H 45% · D 28% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME2-1
H 48% · D 26% · A 26%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME2-1
H 46% · D 26% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 42% · D 28% · A 30%✗ miss✓ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME2-1
H 45% · D 30% · A 25%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME2-1
H 45% · D 28% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME2-1
H 51% · D 26% · A 23%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME2-1
H 42% · D 28% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME2-1
H 44% · D 29% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME2-1
H 40% · D 27% · A 33%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME2-1
H 48% · D 27% · A 25%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME2-1
H 48% · D 26% · A 26%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME2-1
H 44% · D 27% · A 29%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Fenerbahçe vs Lyon?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Lyon in the UEFA Champions League (Play-offs). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Fenerbahçe vs Lyon played?
The match kicked off 18 Aug · 19:00 UTC at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu. It is part of the UEFA Champions League on footballarena.ai's UEFA Champions League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Fenerbahçe vs Lyon?
No. The AI consensus picked Fenerbahçe, but the match finished 1–1 — a draw. 100% of 17 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Fenerbahçe vs Lyon?
Of 17 models: 100% picked Fenerbahçe, 0% a draw, and 0% Lyon. The consensus pick was Fenerbahçe; the most-backed exact score was 2-1.
What were the betting odds for Fenerbahçe vs Lyon?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Fenerbahçe 2.01 · Draw 3.68 · Lyon 3.68. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Fenerbahçe vs Lyon?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.