Fenerbahçe
AS Roma| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Exact |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H30%D30%A40% | Missed | Exact |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H34%D28%A38% | Missed | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Missed | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H38%D29%A33% | Missed | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–2 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H33%D26%A41% | Missed | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H35%D32%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H33%D29%A38% | Missed | Exact |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H40%D27%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Missed | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H34%D28%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–2 | H36%D29%A35% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
A tight opening-night matchup: Fenerbahçe's Kadıköy atmosphere and attacking threat through Greenwood offset Roma's superior defensive structure and Malen's excellent scoring form, leaving little between the sides. Both teams tend to concede when pressing forward, so a high-scoring draw or narrow result is the most likely outcome.
Roma's 100% Serie A start and Donyell Malen's form give them a narrow edge, but Fenerbahce's hostile home crowd and strong European home record keep the draw a major factor. 1-1 is the most likely exact scoreline.
Fenerbahce's formidable home atmosphere will give them early momentum, but Roma's potent attack led by Malen and Dybala is capable of exploiting defensive spaces to secure a hard-fought draw.
Fenerbahce's Istanbul home advantage and Greenwood's wing threat (4G 2A in 10) balances Roma's transition attack led by Malen (19 in 21) and Dybala; recent 3-3 H2H shows both score but also defensive exposure, pointing to a tight, high-transition draw.
Fenerbahçe's home advantage in Istanbul is significant, but Roma boast a red-hot attack led by Donyell Malen (19 goals in 21 Serie A games) and Dybala, while the recent 3-3 head-to-head underlines defensive fragility on both sides. Mason Greenwood provides quality threat for the hosts, but the mutual attacking strength and defensive exposure make a level scoreline the most plausible single outcome, with a slim tilt toward the home side on venue.
Both teams exhibit strong attacking form but defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in transitions, as highlighted by their recent 3-3 draw. Roma's Donyell Malen is in exceptional form, while Fenerbahçe's Mason Greenwood adds a significant threat, making a high-scoring draw the most likely outcome.
Roma arrive in blistering form under Gasperini — six straight wins with a 17-3 aggregate, Malen scoring freely, and a near-full squad — while Fenerbahçe have one clean sheet in six, just lost the home derby to Beşiktaş, and are without Günok, Asensio and the suspended Guendouzi. However, Fenerbahçe's formidable European home record (five losses in 32) and Greenwood's threat on the counter make the Şükrü Saracoğlu a genuine leveller, so Roma are only slight favourites with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.
Fenerbahçe's home advantage and superior head-to-head record (3W-1D-1L in last 5) give them a slight edge, but Roma's exceptional attacking form — Donyell Malen with 19 goals in 21 Serie A games plus Dybala and Rodrigo Mora's creativity — makes a high-scoring, closely contested match likely, as evidenced by the recent 3-3 draw.
Roma have a slight attacking edge through Donyell Malen’s strong form and the creativity behind him, but Fenerbahçe’s home support and threat from wide areas should keep this balanced. Both teams carry enough attacking quality to score, while their defensive vulnerability makes a draw plausible.
Fenerbahçe's formidable home atmosphere and Mason Greenwood's attacking threat give them a slight edge, but AS Roma's potent strike force of Donyell Malen and Paulo Dybala ensures they will likely find the net in an open, high-quality encounter.
Evenly matched UCL opener with Fenerbahçe buoyed by home support and Greenwood's threat, countered by Roma's clinical Malen-led attack and transition quality; recent H2H openness and early-season parity point to a shared points most likely.
Roma arrive in outstanding form with three straight Serie A wins (10 goals scored, 1 conceded) under Gasperini, with Malen prolific and Dybala creative; Fenerbahçe have a strong European home record and quality squad depth with Kanté and Greenwood, but suffered a 2-1 home loss to Beşiktaş last weekend and are returning to CL after a long absence, making them slightly vulnerable to Roma's clinical counter-attacking threat.
Fenerbahçe's formidable home atmosphere is offset by Roma's superior squad quality and Donyell Malen's sensational scoring form (19 goals in 21 Serie A appearances), while the last H2H (3-3) and evenly split historical record suggest both sides will create chances but struggle to hold a lead, making a high-scoring draw the most likely single scoreline.
FenerbahçeAS Roma