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FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven — predictions and result

FC Porto
90-minute result0–1
PSV Eindhoven
League Stage - 3Estádio do Dragão

Predictions

12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H47%D26%A27%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H51%D26%A23%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H52%D25%A23%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H52%D24%A24%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H52%D27%A21%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H57%D24%A19%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H45%D30%A25%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H49%D27%A24%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H46%D27%A27%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H52%D25%A23%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H50%D26%A24%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H48%D27%A25%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Porto have been excellent domestically (beating Benfica 3-1, six wins in their last seven at the Dragão) and have had a full week to prepare, while PSV arrive off a chastening 2-1 defeat at ADO Den Haag and have been defensively erratic. Both sides are chasing a first European win, so an open game is likely, with Porto's home strength giving them the edge.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Porto's excellent domestic form and home strength give them the edge, while PSV arrive depleted in attack with several key forwards unavailable. PSV still carry enough threat to score, but Porto are the likelier winners.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Porto hold a distinct advantage at the Estádio do Dragão against a PSV side experiencing inconsistent form and recent domestic setbacks. The Portuguese hosts possess the defensive solidity and attacking balance to secure a narrow victory.

Muse Spark 1.2

Porto at the Dragão are favourites against a PSV side in poor form (L-L-W-L-W-D, 1.17 PPG, coming off a 2-1 loss to ADO where Mijnans was sent off) with both sides still seeking a first league-phase win; Porto's settled 4-3-3 with Diogo Costa, Veiga and Pepê should edge PSV's rotated XI.

MiniMax M3

Porto at the Estádio do Dragão hold a clear home advantage in a match where both clubs are still chasing a first Champions League win this season. PSV arrive on poor momentum — L L W L W D in their last six and a damaging 2-1 league loss to ADO — making Porto the more probable winner, though PSV's attacking talent (Perisic, Mijnans, Man) keeps a draw or narrow defeat firmly in play. A 2-1 home win captures Porto's expected control plus PSV's threat on the break.

Kimi K3

Porto are in strong domestic form (four wins in their last five competitive league games, including 3-1 over Benfica and 4-1 at Casa Pia) and face a PSV side in clear decline — three losses in six, including a weekend defeat to ADO Den Haag and a 0-1 UCL loss at Leipzig. With both clubs winless in Europe and Porto's superior squad (Veiga, Varela, Borja Sainz, André Silva) at the Dragão, the hosts are clear favourites, though Porto's recent defensive leaks (3 conceded at Betis) make a PSV goal plausible.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Porto's strong home record in the Champions League and PSV's poor recent form (2 wins in 6) favor the hosts, though both sides' desperation for a first league-phase win keeps the draw probability elevated.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Porto’s home advantage and more secure defensive foundation give them the edge against a PSV side with three defeats in its last six matches. PSV still carry enough attacking quality to score, making a narrow Porto win the likeliest outcome.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Porto have home advantage at the Estádio do Dragão and a strong attacking lineup featuring Gabriel Veiga, André Silva and Pepê, while PSV arrive in poor form (three losses in their last six) and are still reeling from a damaging 2-1 domestic defeat where key player Sven Mijnans was sent off. Both sides are seeking their first Champions League win of the season, keeping the contest competitive, but Porto's home edge and PSV's fragile confidence should tip the balance in the Portuguese side's favour.

Grok 4.5

Porto are dominant domestically (8/8 league wins) and strong at the Dragão with a full week's rest, while PSV arrive injury-ravaged in attack, on a poor away run and after consecutive defeats. Both seek a first CL win, but home edge and squad stability make a Porto victory the clearest outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Porto have home advantage at the Estadio do Dragao and a strong lineup anchored by Diogo Costa, Gabriel Veiga, and André Silva, while PSV arrive in poor form (W2 D1 L3 in their last six) and may be without Mijnans after his red card against ADO. Both teams are seeking their first CL win of the campaign, but Porto's defensive solidity and PSV's inconsistency on the road tilt this in the hosts' favour.

GLM-5.2

Porto enjoy home advantage at the Estádio do Dragão with a strong lineup featuring Varela, Veiga, and Sainz, while PSV arrive in poor form (3 losses in 6, including a damaging 2-1 defeat to ADO where Mijnans was sent off). Both sides seek a first UCL win, but Porto's superior squad depth and home comfort edge them ahead of an inconsistent PSV.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeFC Porto
1.60
DrawLevel at 90′
4.63
AwayPSV Eindhoven
5.15