Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Celje| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H33%D27%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–1 | H32%D28%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H27%D25%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H30%D32%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H42%D29%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 2–1 | H37%D29%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H28%D31%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H43%D26%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Celje arrive on the back of five consecutive away wins (four clean sheets) and are the stronger Slovenian side, though both teams have been defensively shaky recently; Egnatia's home form and in-form attack keep this competitive, making a tight, low-scoring match likely.
Egnatia arrive with competitive rhythm after scoring 7 goals across two first-round ties and have lost only one European home game in regulation since July 2024, while Celje are playing their first competitive European match of the season but boast five straight domestic away wins. Both sides have shown defensive vulnerabilities, making a score draw the most plausible single outcome.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë enters this fixture with valuable match fitness and momentum, having scored seven goals in the previous qualifying round. However, Celje boasts superior overall squad quality despite this being their first competitive match of the season, making a tightly contested draw a highly probable outcome in Albania.
Celje enters the tie as the stronger side on paper, backed by an impressive run of away form in their domestic league. Although Egnatia Rrogozhinë showed great attacking intent in the previous round, Celje's superior quality should help them secure a narrow first-leg victory on the road.
Celje generally possesses a higher technical ceiling and European pedigree, but Egnatia has shown strong early form in qualifying rounds. Given the first-leg nature of this tie and Egnatia's solid defensive metrics, a cautious draw is a highly probable outcome.
Egnatia has the advantage of competitive match sharpness with two European games already played (1W 1D, 7 goals scored), while Celje enters this first leg with no competitive minutes yet this season, giving the home side a clear fitness and rhythm edge at the neutral-ish Demrozi Stadium despite Celje's higher pedigree.
Egnatia Rrogozhine enter this fixture with recent European experience, a strong attacking record, and a solid defensive setup, while Celje lack competitive match sharpness and data points. However, Celje's quality as a Slovenian side and the potential for an evenly contested match justify a significant draw probability.
Egnatia's superior match fitness and formidable continental home form—highlighted by a 6-1 qualifying romp—give them a narrow edge over a Celje side that has yet to play in Europe this season and arrives with defensive vulnerabilities.
Egnatia have already played two European qualifiers (1W-1D, 7 goals scored) giving them crucial match sharpness and attacking rhythm, while Celje enter completely cold with no competitive minutes this season. Home advantage in the first leg favors the Albanian side, though Celje's higher coefficient and pedigree as Slovenian champions keep the tie balanced.
Celje appear stronger overall, but Egnatia’s home advantage and recent European sharpness should keep the first leg close. A cautious, low-scoring draw is the likeliest exact scoreline, with Celje carrying the greater win probability.
Egnatia enter with significant match sharpness from two European ties (including a 6-1 home win over Petrocub) and are formidable at Arena Egnatia, having lost only one European home game in regulation since July 2024. However, Celje are reigning Slovenian champions with five consecutive away wins and both sides are defensively leaky, making an open, high-scoring first leg likely with a narrow home edge.
Egnatia are match-sharp after a 1-1/6-1 aggregate win over Petrocub, strong at home in Europe, and in good recent form, while Celje arrive leaky (conceded in four straight) and without a competitive European outing yet. Slovenian champions Celje still carry a quality edge, so the first leg is tight, but home momentum and attacking confidence tip a narrow Egnatia win as the single most likely 90-minute outcome.
Egnatia have home advantage and competitive match sharpness from two UCL qualifiers already played (7 goals scored), including a 6-1 home demolition of Petrocub, while Celje enter with no European match rhythm this season and recent defensive vulnerabilities. However, Celje's quality as Slovenian champions and strong recent away record keeps this contest close.
Egnatia enter this first leg with superior match sharpness, already unbeaten in Europe this campaign (7 goals in 2 matches including a 6-1 home thrashing), while Celje's defense has been leaky (conceding in 4 straight). However, Celje's significantly higher UEFA coefficient (23.000 vs 9.000) and deeper European pedigree—having reached a Conference League quarter-final—keeps them in contention despite their sluggish start to the season.
Egnatia RrogozhinëCelje