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Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Žalgiris — predictions and result

Dinamo Zagreb
90-minute result5–0
Kauno Žalgiris
3rd Qualifying RoundStadion Maksimir

Predictions

17 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–0
H74%D18%A8%
CorrectMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–0
H76%D16%A8%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–0
H65%D22%A13%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle2–0
H78%D15%A7%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle2–0
H75%D17%A8%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle3–0
H81%D13%A6%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle2–0
H72%D18%A10%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–0
H65%D22%A13%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H55%D25%A20%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–0
H60%D24%A16%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–0
H66%D21%A13%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H62%D26%A12%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–0
H74%D17%A9%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–0
H65%D21%A14%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–0
H62%D23%A15%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H63%D21%A16%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–0
H66%D20%A14%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

Dinamo Zagreb are strong favorites at Maksimir against a Lithuanian side stepping up in class, but Kauno Žalgiris remain unbeaten in Europe with a resilient defense (0.5 conceded avg), which keeps this to a controlled rather than emphatic home win.

Claude Opus 5

Dinamo Zagreb are far stronger in squad quality, budget and European pedigree, and have home advantage at Maksimir in a first leg they will want to settle early. Kauno Žalgiris have been defensively disciplined (0.5 goals conceded per game in qualifying, two clean sheets away), so a comfortable but not lopsided Dinamo win is the most likely outcome.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Dinamo's vastly superior coefficient (46.5 vs 6.0) and home advantage at a packed Maksimir should overwhelm Kauno Žalgiris, who have been resilient but scored just 4 goals across 4 qualifiers against modest opposition. The Croats' own scare against Thun and Kauno's unbeaten run under Sopić warrant a meaningful draw chance.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Dinamo Zagreb boasts significantly more European pedigree and overall squad quality than Kauno Žalgiris. With the advantage of playing at the Maksimir, the Croatian champions are heavily favored to control the match and secure a comfortable first-leg victory.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Dinamo Zagreb possess far superior individual quality and European pedigree compared to Kauno Žalgiris, who have done well to reach this stage but will find the step up in class at the Maksimir too difficult to handle.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Dinamo Zagreb possess vastly superior squad depth and European pedigree compared to Kauno Žalgiris, who face a major step up in quality after overcoming Drita and Klaksvík. The Croatian hosts are expected to dominate at Stadion Maksimir and secure a comfortable first-leg advantage.

Gemma 4 31B

Dinamo Zagreb are heavy favorites at home against a Kauno Žalgiris side that has performed well in early rounds but faces a significant step up in quality. While the Lithuanians are unbeaten in Europe so far, Zagreb's experience and home advantage make a comfortable win likely.

MiniMax M3

Dinamo Zagreb are a vastly superior side on paper — a Croatian heavyweight with deep Champions League experience — playing at a partisan Maksimir in the 3rd qualifying round first leg, while Kauno Žalgiris, despite an unbeaten qualifying campaign built on defensive solidity (0.5 goals conceded on average over last 6 matches), operate at a far lower competitive level and lack the firepower to trouble Dinamo consistently away from home.

Mistral Large 3

Dinamo Zagreb are heavy favorites due to their superior pedigree, home advantage, and consistent form in earlier qualifying rounds, while Kauno Žalgiris have shown resilience but face a significant step up in quality. However, their recent efficiency and defensive solidity suggest a competitive match with a credible draw chance.

Kimi K2.6

Dinamo Zagreb boast superior European pedigree and attacking firepower led by in-form Dion Drena Beljo, while Kauno Žalgiris—though unbeaten in qualifying and domestically—have yet to face opposition of this calibre and are likely to be pinned back at Maksimir.

Kimi K3

Dinamo Zagreb have far greater squad quality and European pedigree, and at Maksimir they should control the tie against a Kauno Žalgiris side that has reached this round by being defensively resilient away (1-1 at Drita, 0-0 at Klaksvik) — the Lithuanians are unbeaten and organised enough to keep the draw live, but the step up in class makes a comfortable home win most likely.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Dinamo Zagreb's superior squad depth and home advantage at Maksimir make them clear favorites against a Kauno Žalgiris side that has overperformed in earlier rounds but faces a significant step up in quality; the Lithuanians' unbeaten qualifying run and defensive solidity (0.5 goals conceded per game) suggest they can score and keep the margin narrow.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Dinamo Zagreb’s greater European pedigree and home advantage make them clear favourites against a side stepping up sharply in opposition quality. Kauno Žalgiris have been resilient and unbeaten in qualifying, but Dinamo should control enough of the match to win without conceding.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Dinamo Zagreb are heavy favorites at Maksimir with significant quality and European experience advantage over Kauno Žalgiris, who have been resilient but face a major step up in class. Kauno's solid defensive record (0.5 conceded) suggests a controlled Dinamo performance rather than a blowout, but the Croatians' home dominance and superior squad depth should secure a comfortable first-leg advantage.

Grok 4.5

Dinamo Zagreb hold clear superiority in quality, European experience and home advantage at Maksimir as Croatian champions, while Kauno Žalgiris arrive unbeaten but having only edged past much weaker sides (Drita, Klaksvik) with low-scoring, defensive displays. Expect Dinamo control and a clean-sheet home win after their recent domestic form and recovery from the Thun scare.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Dinamo Zagreb are heavy favorites at home in Maksimir, having comfortably navigated earlier qualifying rounds, while Kauno Žalgiris have been resilient and unbeaten in Europe but face a significant step up in quality. Kauno's efficiency in front of goal (2.0 scored, 0.5 conceded avg) suggests they can find the net, but Dinamo's superior pedigree and home advantage should see them through.

GLM-5.2

Dinamo Zagreb's far superior European pedigree and home advantage at Maksimir make them strong favourites against a Lithuanian side that, while unbeaten in qualifying so far, has only faced much weaker opposition. Kauno Žalgiris's defensive resilience (0.5 goals conceded per game recently) could keep it tighter than expected, but Dinamo's quality should ultimately prevail in this first leg.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeDinamo Zagreb
1.11
DrawLevel at 90′
8.77
AwayKauno Žalgiris
20.51