Celje
Slovan Bratislava| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H37%D30%A33% | Missed | Exact |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H37%D27%A36% | Missed | Exact |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H32%D30%A38% | Missed | Exact |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–2 | H31%D27%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H40%D29%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H37%D33%A30% | Missed | Exact |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H28%D30%A42% | Missed | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H34%D27%A39% | Missed | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H38%D33%A29% | Missed | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Correct | Exact |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H33%D28%A39% | Missed | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Correct | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H34%D29%A37% | Missed | Exact |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H30%D30%A40% | Missed | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H32%D30%A38% | Missed | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H27%D31%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H34%D31%A35% | Missed | Exact |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
The tie is level 1-1 after the first leg, and while Slovan Bratislava are the more experienced side (having beaten Celje 6-1 on aggregate in 2024), Celje's home advantage at Stadion Z'dežele and knockout tension make this a very tight contest with an elevated chance of a draw sending it to extra time.
The tie is level at 1-1 after a tight first leg in Bratislava, and Celje's home advantage roughly cancels out Slovan's superior squad depth and unbeaten start under Yaya Touré. With both sides cautious and evenly matched, a low-scoring draw in regulation (with the tie decided later) is a very live outcome.
The first leg finished 1-1 with Slovan creating the better chances and remaining unbeaten, but Celje are at home and rested. The tie is finely balanced, so a scoring draw is the likeliest exact scoreline while Slovan hold a narrow 90-minute edge.
Following a tightly contested 1-1 draw in the first leg in Slovakia, the tie is perfectly balanced. While Celje benefits from home advantage, Slovan Bratislava's superior European pedigree and attacking quality under Yaya Touré should allow them to edge a close encounter and secure group stage qualification.
Following a 1-1 draw in Slovakia in the first leg, Celje carry momentum and home advantage into this decisive return fixture. Slovan Bratislava remain dangerous in European competition, but Celje's strong home discipline gives them a narrow edge to seal passage to the league phase.
Following a 1-1 stalemate in the first leg, both sides enter this decisive playoff return leg evenly matched and cautious. Celje will look to control the tempo at home, but Slovan Bratislava's experience should ensure another tightly fought draw in 90 minutes.
Slovan Bratislava holds a significant historical advantage and strong current form, but Celje is playing at home in a tight playoff tie where draws are frequent. The probability reflects Slovan's quality balanced against the home-field advantage and the high likelihood of a cautious approach in a two-legged scenario.
Celje have home advantage for the second leg but Slovan's superior pedigree (5-0 H2H win in 2024) and sharp recent form (5-0 vs Ruzomberok) give them a slight edge even away. Celje's draw-heavy start (4 draws in 8) and previews calling it tightly contested point to a low-scoring stalemate with 1-1 as the single most likely scoreline.
First leg ended 1-1 in Bratislava, so the tie is deadlocked heading to Slovenia with away goals no longer in play. Slovan are unbeaten under Yaya Touré and created the better chances in leg one, but Celje have home advantage, are clinical through Kvesic, and showed resilience to grab a vital away goal, making another tight draw the most plausible 90-minute outcome with the home side marginally favoured.
Celje have shown resilience with four draws in their last eight matches, while Slovan Bratislava's recent form includes a mix of wins and draws, suggesting a tightly contested match. Both teams have tactical nous (Yaya Touré and Vítor Campelos), and their recent head-to-head includes a 1-1 draw, making a draw the most likely outcome.
Slovan Bratislava generated far superior chances in the first leg and remain unbeaten under Yaya Touré, giving them the edge to nick the decisive away win. Still, Celje’s defensive discipline, home support and the level aggregate mean a draw is a strong possibility.
The tie is level at 1-1 after a first leg Slovan dominated on xG (1.32-0.31), but Celje finished the stronger and now have home advantage plus a full week's rest after their domestic game was postponed, while Slovan played Saturday. Slovan remain unbeaten under Touré and are the slightly stronger side, but Celje have lost just two of their last ten European matches, making a tight contest where a 90-minute draw (sending the tie to extra time) is a live outcome.
First leg ended 1-1; Celje at home with extra rest but Slovan have greater European experience, squad depth, and Touré's pedigree. Both sides have attacking quality (Kvesic 4 goals in 5 qualifiers; Cerepkai, Barseghyan, Camara in form), making a tight, low-scoring draw the most likely 90-minute outcome.
The tie is level after a competitive 1-1 first leg, and Celje's home advantage offsets some of Slovan's greater European experience and squad depth. Both sides carry strong recent form, making another closely balanced draw the likeliest scoreline.
The tie is finely balanced at 1-1 on aggregate, with Slovan Bratislava holding a quality and experience edge under Yaya Touré (7W-2D in charge, historically dominant over Celje with a 6-1 aggregate win in 2024), but Celje have home advantage, more rest, and proven they can match Slovan as shown in the first leg. Both teams are likely to be cautious given the stakes, making another tight 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline, though Slovan's superior depth gives them a slight edge to edge the result.
Aggregate is level at 1-1 after Celje earned a disciplined away draw; Slovan are the stronger side with superior form and depth under Toure, yet Celje's home motivation and solid qualifying run make a tight, low-scoring stalemate the single most likely 90-minute outcome.
Slovan Bratislava are the stronger side — unbeaten under Yaya Touré with a perfect domestic record and dominant first-leg xG (1.32 vs 0.31) despite only drawing 1-1 — and should edge this even away from home, though Celje's home advantage, extra rest (domestic game postponed), and tendency to draw (4 from 8 this season) make a stalemate the next most likely outcome.
The aggregate is level at 1-1 and the tie is finely balanced: Slovan Bratislava hold a clear edge in squad depth, European experience, and recent form under Yaya Touré (7W 2D), but Celje benefit from home advantage, extra rest, and the motivation of a historic first CL league-phase qualification. A tight, cautious affair with both teams finding the net mirrors the first leg and the high-stakes playoff context.
CeljeSlovan Bratislava