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Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë — predictions and result

Celje
90-minute result1–1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
2nd Qualifying RoundArena Z’dezele

Predictions

17 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–1
H55%D25%A20%
MissedMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H64%D20%A16%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H48%D27%A25%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle2–1
H62%D22%A16%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle2–1
H60%D22%A18%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle2–1
H58%D24%A18%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle2–1
H55%D25%A20%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H48%D28%A24%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–2
H35%D30%A35%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–1
H48%D25%A27%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H49%D26%A25%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H42%D32%A26%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H56%D24%A20%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H47%D26%A27%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H52%D25%A23%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H45%D27%A28%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H47%D28%A25%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

After a 3-3 first leg in Albania, Celje hold home advantage at Arena Z'dežele and are the higher-quality side (Slovenian champions with strong away form), making them favorites to edge a still-open tie, though both defenses have looked vulnerable so goals are likely.

Claude Opus 5

Celje are a well-drilled Slovenian side with recent European pedigree and hold home advantage after a wild 3-3 first leg in Albania, where their attacking quality showed despite defensive lapses. Egnatia proved they can score, so goals at both ends are likely, but Celje should have enough control to edge it.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

First leg ended 3-3 in Albania, with both sides showing attacking threat but defensive fragility. Celje's home advantage and status as Slovenian champions tilt the tie in their favour, but Egnatia have scored in all three UCL qualifiers this campaign and are capable of finding the net again, making a narrow home win the most likely outcome.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Following a thrilling 3-3 draw in the first leg in Albania, Celje holds the upper hand returning to Slovenia. The hosts possess superior squad depth and should leverage their home advantage to edge out Egnatia and advance.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Following a high-scoring 3-3 draw in the first leg, Celje holds the home advantage and boasts a stronger overall squad. While Egnatia's potent attack will pose a threat, the Slovenian champions should leverage their home turf to secure a narrow victory and advance.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Following an action-packed 3-3 draw in Albania, Slovenian champions Celje hold home advantage for the return leg. Celje's overall quality and home record give them the upper hand, though Egnatia's proved attacking threat makes a narrow home win with both teams scoring the most likely outcome.

Gemma 4 31B

The first leg ended in a high-scoring 3-3 draw, indicating both teams can score, but Celje's home advantage and offensive quality (Seslar) make them favorites to edge the second leg.

MiniMax M3

First leg ended 3-3 in Albania, with Diabaté equalising for Egnatia off the bench. Celje are the stronger side, hold home advantage, and must win (a draw at 90 mins forces extra time), so they will push forward — but Egnatia's three away goals prove they can hurt Celje on the break, making a narrow Celje win with goals at both ends the most likely outcome.

Mistral Large 3

Both teams demonstrated attacking prowess and defensive vulnerabilities in their 3-3 draw in the first leg, with Celje playing at home this time likely to edge a tightly contested match. However, the high-scoring nature of their recent encounter suggests another open game with a draw highly probable.

Kimi K2.6

With the tie level at 3-3 after a high-scoring first leg, Celje’s home advantage and status as Slovenian champions give them a narrow edge in what should be another open contest, as both sides have shown attacking potency but defensive fragility.

Kimi K3

After a 3-3 first-leg thriller in Albania, Celje return home as Slovenian champions with the stronger pedigree, though they have conceded in every recent match and Egnatia have shown real attacking threat (6-1 vs Petrocub, three goals in the first leg). Home advantage and squad quality tilt this toward Celje, but both defences are fragile, making an away goal and a live draw/away chance very plausible.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

First leg ended 3-3, revealing both sides' attacking threat and defensive frailty. Celje hold home advantage as Slovenian champions and are unbeaten in four, but have conceded in every recent fixture; Egnatia scored three away goals and are unbeaten in four themselves. The tie is evenly poised on aggregate, but Celje's home edge and slightly superior domestic pedigree make them marginal favourites in a match likely to feature goals.

GPT-5.6 Sol

The 3-3 first leg showed that Egnatia can threaten Celje, but Celje's home advantage and stronger European pedigree give them the edge. Another competitive, relatively high-scoring match is likely.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Celje hold home advantage at Stadion Z'dežele and are Slovenian champions from a stronger league, but the 3-3 first leg exposed both teams' defensive fragility and attacking potency. Celje's match fitness from their domestic opener gives a slight edge in what should be another open, high-scoring qualifier, though Egnatia's counter-attacking threat (evidenced by their 6-1 win over Petrocub and late equaliser in leg one) keeps the away win probability meaningful.

Grok 4.5

Celje are Slovenian champions with home advantage and a clear quality edge over Albanian third-place Egnatia, whose European away record is poor (no wins, heavy concessions). The 3-3 first leg and both sides' leaky defences point to another open game, but Celje should edge a 2-1 home win.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Celje are the Slovenian champions with home advantage at Arena Z'dezele, but have been defensively fragile—conceding in every recent match—while Egnatia proved in the 3-3 first leg that they carry genuine attacking threat away from home (Diabaté, Medeiros). Celje's superior quality and home support should be enough to edge a tight contest, but another high-scoring game is likely given both sides' defensive vulnerabilities.

GLM-5.2

Celje hold home advantage as Slovenian champions with European experience, while Egnatia have zero wins and seven goals conceded across their three away UCL qualifying matches. However, both sides are defensively vulnerable as shown by the 3-3 first leg, making a clean sheet unlikely and keeping the draw and away win in play.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeCelje
1.39
DrawLevel at 90′
4.84
AwayEgnatia Rrogozhinë
6.55