Celje
Ararat-Armenia| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 2–1 | H47%D26%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–0 | H64%D20%A16% | Correct | Exact |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H40%D33%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H45%D28%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H50%D22%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 2–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H49%D25%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H42%D26%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H54%D27%A19% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H47%D24%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H43%D32%A25% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Celje are the stronger side, at home, and must chase at least a two-goal margin, so they will attack aggressively; Ararat-Armenia have lost every away leg this campaign, which favors a Celje 90-minute win, though the visitors' counterattacking threat keeps the draw and an away result live.
Celje are a well-established Slovenian side with recent European pedigree and clearly higher squad quality than Ararat-Armenia, and they hold home advantage in the second leg. Expect them to control possession and win by a comfortable margin, though Ararat-Armenia's compact away approach could keep it tight for spells.
Celje must overturn a 2-1 deficit and will push at home, but they have failed to win in normal time across this UCL qualifying campaign and conceded three at home to Egnatia. Ararat-Armenia have lost every away leg yet scored in each, and a draw is enough to advance — making 1-1 the likeliest single scoreline as the visitors sit deep and counter.
Trailing 2-1 from the first leg, Slovenian champions Celje return to Stadion Z'dežele with the attacking urgency needed to overturn the deficit. While Ararat-Armenia showed resilience in Yerevan, Celje's superior squad quality and home advantage should be enough to secure a narrow victory in regulation.
Ararat-Armenia have struggled on the road in this qualifying campaign, losing both of their previous away legs (3-2 to Riga and 2-1 to Shamrock Rovers). Celje should take advantage of their home turf to secure a narrow victory, likely pushing the tie into extra time.
Trailing 2-1 from the first leg, Slovenian champions Celje host an Ararat-Armenia side that has relied heavily on home form while losing both of its away European qualifiers this campaign. Expect Celje to push hard on home soil and secure a 90-minute victory to threaten the aggregate tie.
Celje holds a slight home advantage and structural stability, but Ararat-Armenia has shown resilience in qualifying rounds. A tight, low-scoring affair is likely given the stakes of the 3rd Qualifying Round.
Celje trail 2-1 from the first leg and must attack at Stadion Z'dežele, while Ararat-Armenia have shown a clear pattern in this qualifying campaign of being strong at home but losing every away leg. Celje's home form (1-0 over Olimpija) and the away-day defensive fragility already exposed by Ararat favor the Slovenian side, but a single-goal margin is the most plausible 90-minute outcome.
Both teams are relatively evenly matched in this qualifying round, with no clear form or historical dominance evident. Celje's defensive structure suggests a cautious approach, while Ararat-Armenia's attacking potential (evidenced by their top scorer) could lead to a balanced but low-scoring fixture, making a draw the most plausible single outcome.
Trailing 2-1 from the first leg, Celje must win at home against an Ararat-Armenia side that has lost every away qualifier this campaign; the visitors’ narrow away defeats and potent counter-attacking threat make a one-goal home victory the most likely outcome.
Ararat-Armenia won the first leg 2-1, but their qualifying pattern is stark: three home wins, three away defeats, with goals shipped in every road leg, while Celje are Slovenian champions with no injury concerns and must attack at home needing a two-goal margin (a one-goal win forces extra time). Celje's home edge and the visitors' travel weakness make a narrow home win most likely, though Ararat's counterattacking quality keeps draw and away outcomes live.
Ararat-Armenia lead 2-1 on aggregate but have lost every away leg this qualifying campaign (3-2 vs Riga, 2-1 vs Shamrock Rovers). Celje are at home needing a win, have no injury concerns, and won 1-0 domestically at the weekend. The visitors only need a draw to progress but their away vulnerability makes a one-goal Celje win the most likely 90-minute outcome, forcing extra time.
Celje appear the stronger side overall and should benefit from home advantage, while their expected defensive structure points toward a relatively tight contest. Ararat-Armenia remain capable enough to keep the draw probability significant.
Celje are at home and must attack to overturn a 2-1 first-leg deficit, but Ararat-Armenia only need a draw and will sit deep with dangerous counter-attacking threats (Serobyan, Lima). Ararat have lost every away leg in this campaign, suggesting Celje will find chances, but Celje have failed to win in normal time throughout qualifying — a 1-1 draw that sends Ararat through is the most likely single outcome.
Celje trail 2-1 from the first leg and must push as home favorites with superior recent European pedigree as Slovenian champions, making a narrow home win the most probable 90-minute outcome while the draw retains honest weight in a tight two-legged tie.
Ararat-Armenia have lost every away leg in this qualifying campaign (1-2 at Shamrock Rovers, 2-3 at Riga) despite scoring in each, while Celje are the Slovenian champions at home and must attack to overturn a 1-2 first-leg deficit. Celje's games trend high-scoring, and a 2-1 home win forcing extra time is the single most likely scoreline.
Celje are at home against an Ararat-Armenia side that has lost every away fixture in qualifying, and the Slovenians need to chase the tie after a 2-1 first-leg deficit. However, Celje's tendency to draw and Ararat's ability to defend a lead keeps the draw and away win firmly in play; a 2-1 home win would level the aggregate and force extra time.
CeljeArarat-Armenia