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UEFA Champions LeagueFull time

Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal — predictions and result

Borussia Dortmund
90-minute result3–2
Villarreal
League Stage - 1Signal Iduna Park

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H56%D23%A21%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H57%D24%A19%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H57%D23%A20%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H58%D23%A19%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H55%D24%A21%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H50%D25%A25%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H54%D25%A21%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H52%D25%A23%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H60%D22%A18%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H56%D24%A20%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H58%D24%A18%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H55%D23%A22%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–0
H60%D22%A18%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Dortmund open at a fortress-like Signal Iduna Park in sharp attacking form (three straight wins, 13 goals in five games) and thumped Villarreal 4-0 in their last meeting, while the Yellow Submarine arrive with a blunt attack after a shaky run. Villarreal have enough quality in Pépé, Moleiro and Ayoze to score, so a narrow home win is the likeliest outcome.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Dortmund are in strong attacking form at home and Villarreal's attack has looked blunt in pre-season, while the head-to-head also favours Dortmund; a UCL opener keeps a draw credible.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Borussia Dortmund enter their Champions League opener in sharp attacking form with three consecutive victories, while Villarreal's recent inconsistency leaves them vulnerable in a tough Signal Iduna Park atmosphere.

Muse Spark 1.2

Dortmund enter on a three-game winning streak with 13 goals in five matches and a 4-0 win over Villarreal last season, amplified by Signal Iduna Park home advantage, while Villarreal arrive after a shaky pre-season (loss to Alaves, draws with Atletico/Racing) despite dangerous attackers Pepe, Gerard Moreno and Ayoze Perez.

MiniMax M3

Dortmund are in sharp attacking form (13 goals in their last 5, including a 5-0 demolition of HEBC Hamburg) and have won three straight since the Supercup loss, while Villarreal arrive off a shaky pre-season (loss to Alavés, draws vs Atlético and Racing) — though the Yellow Submarine still carry genuine threat through Pépé, Mikautadze and Oluwaseyi. Dortmund's home advantage, superior momentum, and the 4-0 result from the last meeting tilt the balance their way without making a comfortable win likely.

Mistral Large 3

Borussia Dortmund enter the match in strong form with a three-game winning streak and a dominant recent head-to-head victory over Villarreal, while Villarreal's attack remains inconsistent despite individual threats. Dortmund's sharp attacking form and home advantage make them favorites, but Villarreal's potential to exploit moments keeps the draw and away win probabilities viable.

Kimi K3

Dortmund arrive on a three-game winning streak with a red-hot attack (13 goals in five matches), enjoy home advantage at Signal Iduna Park, and thrashed Villarreal 4-0 in the last meeting. Villarreal carry genuine threats in Pépé, Moreno and Ayoze Pérez but have looked shaky in recent outings, making a home win most likely with the draw a live possibility.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Dortmund enter on a three-match winning streak with 13 goals in their last five games and a 4-0 home win in this fixture last season; Villarreal's pre-season shows defensive solidity but an attack still finding rhythm.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Dortmund’s three-match winning run, strong recent attacking output and home advantage make them clear favourites. Villarreal have enough experienced attacking quality to score, but their shakier preparation and last season’s heavy defeat in Dortmund tilt the matchup toward the hosts.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Dortmund enter the Champions League opener in sharp attacking form on a three-game winning streak, while Villarreal arrive with a shaky pre-season and an attack that still needs sharpening. Dortmund's strong home advantage and historical dominance over Villarreal make them clear favorites to secure a competitive but decisive victory at Signal Iduna Park.

Grok 4.5

Dortmund enter on a three-game winning streak with strong home attacking form and a recent 4-0 H2H thrashing of Villarreal, while the visitors are winless in four under a new coach and missing key defenders. Injuries thin Dortmund's back line but home advantage and superior quality make a narrow home win the clearest outcome, with draws retaining their baseline share.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Dortmund are on a three-game winning streak with 16 goals in their last six matches and boast an exceptional Champions League home record (14 wins in their last 23), while Villarreal have failed to score in their last five away CL fixtures and arrive off a shaky run including a loss to Deportivo. The previous meeting ended 4-0 to Dortmund at Signal Iduna Park, and Guirassy's prolific European record (17 goals in 24 CL apps) should prove decisive again, though Villarreal's quality in attack (Moreno, Pépé, Moleiro) suggests they can find at least one goal this time.

GLM-5.2

Dortmund enter on a three-game winning streak with prolific attacking form (13 goals in five matches) and a dominant 4-0 win over Villarreal in last season's meeting, while Villarreal arrive with a shaky attack that has struggled to score in recent outings. Home advantage at Signal Iduna Park further tilts this in Dortmund's favour.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeBorussia Dortmund
1.77
DrawLevel at 90′
4.27
AwayVillarreal
4.22