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UEFA Champions LeagueFull time

Bayern München vs Arsenal — predictions and result

Bayern München
90-minute result2–2
Arsenal
League Stage - 3Allianz Arena

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H41%D27%A32%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H43%D30%A27%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–1
H44%D28%A28%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–1
H38%D27%A35%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H38%D33%A29%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H40%D35%A25%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–1
H40%D27%A33%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–1
H33%D36%A31%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H36%D30%A34%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H35%D30%A35%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–1
H42%D28%A30%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–1
H37%D30%A33%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–1
H38%D32%A30%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Bayern's home attacking output (18 goals in three home Bundesliga games, 6-1 over Leipzig) gives them the edge at the Allianz, but their defence has been leaky (3-3 at Viking, 2-2 vs Augsburg) and they are missing Neuer, Musiala and possibly Olise, while Arsenal are yet to concede in Europe despite Saliba and Hincapié being absent. Two elite, well-matched sides in a cagey-but-open contest make a tight scoreline likely, with the draw a strong live outcome.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Bayern's home attack is potent but missing Olise and Musiala, while Arsenal have yet to concede in this Champions League campaign, making a tight low-scoring match with 1-1 the likeliest exact scoreline.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Bayern boast formidable attacking firepower and strong home form at the Allianz Arena, but Arsenal's elite defensive structure and set-piece prowess make them well-equipped to secure a hard-fought draw.

Muse Spark 1.2

Bayern's four-game home scoring streak at the Allianz is tempered by Arsenal's three straight wins and elite set-piece threat against Bayern's noted set-piece vulnerability, with Kompany's doubtful availability further balancing a tight matchup that previews see ending level.

MiniMax M3

Two independent previews both forecast a 1-1 draw, citing Bayern's well-documented set-piece vulnerability (corner concession) and Arsenal's solid defensive structure under Arteta. With Bayern motivated to avenge last November's 3-1 away defeat but missing manager Vincent Kompany (doubtful on the touchline) and facing an Arsenal side on a three-match winning run, the match projects as a tight, low-scoring affair — slight edge to the home side but with the draw highly probable.

Mistral Large 3

Both teams are evenly matched, with Bayern's home advantage and attacking form balanced by Arsenal's recent winning run and defensive solidity. The structured previews strongly suggest a tightly contested draw, with set-piece vulnerabilities and late drama likely to define the outcome.

Kimi K3

Two elite, closely matched sides: Bayern are strong at the Allianz (scoring in four straight home games) but carry set-piece and defensive vulnerabilities and may lack Kompany on the touchline, while Arsenal arrive on three consecutive wins and beat Bayern 3-1 last November, making a tight game with an elevated draw chance most likely.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Multiple independent previews consistently forecast a 1-1 draw, with Bayern's home scoring streak (4 games) offset by Arsenal's three straight wins and a defensive shell that invites late Bayern pressure; Bayern's set-piece frailty and Arsenal's caution make a low-scoring stalemate the single most probable outcome.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Bayern’s home scoring strength gives them a slight edge, but Arsenal’s strong recent run and prior 3-1 win in this matchup make the sides closely matched. Bayern’s set-piece vulnerability further increases the likelihood of a score draw.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Multiple previews converge on a 1-1 draw, reflecting how evenly matched these sides are: Bayern's home scoring streak and Allianz Arena advantage are offset by Arsenal's three-game winning run, their commanding 3-1 victory in the reverse fixture last November, and Bayern's ongoing set-piece and defensive vulnerabilities under a potentially absent Vincent Kompany.

Grok 4.5

Bayern at home seek revenge for prior 3-1 loss and maintain scoring form, but Arsenal's recent winning run and set-piece threat make a tight, low-scoring draw the most probable 90-minute outcome per previews.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Bayern's strong home scoring form (four straight home games scoring; 22 goals in six Bundesliga games) is offset by significant absences — Olise suspended, Musiala injured, Kompany off the touchline, and doubts over Neuer and Kimmich — against a confident Arsenal side with six wins from seven league games and two Champions League clean sheets, though the Gunners miss Saliba and Gyökeres is misfiring. Both sides have defensive vulnerabilities (Bayern's set-piece struggles and the 3-3 at Viking), making a tightly contested 1-1 the most likely scoreline.

GLM-5.2

Two evenly matched elite sides at the Allianz Arena: Bayern's home scoring streak is offset by Arsenal's three-match winning run and their set-piece prowess exploiting Bayern's documented vulnerabilities, making a tight draw the most likely outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeBayern München
2.09
DrawLevel at 90′
3.94
AwayArsenal
3.31