AS Roma
Real Madrid| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H25%D29%A46% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H26%D26%A48% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H33%D26%A41% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H25%D30%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H22%D25%A53% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H27%D28%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H26%D27%A47% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H27%D30%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H28%D26%A46% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H27%D29%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H20%D27%A53% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Roma have been defensively excellent (several clean sheets, few goals conceded) and the Stadio Olimpico is a tough venue, but their attack is modest while Real Madrid carry far greater squad depth and cutting edge, even amid inconsistent form. A tight, low-scoring game favouring the visitors is most likely, with a draw very much live.
Real Madrid's superior attacking quality and strong head-to-head record should edge an unbeaten but less prolific Roma side, though Roma's defensive solidity and home form keep a draw genuinely likely. Expect a tight contest with both teams capable of scoring.
Real Madrid boast superior individual attacking quality across the pitch, but Roma's disciplined defensive structure at the Stadio Olimpico will keep this fixture closely contested.
Roma are defensively solid at the Olimpico (4 goals conceded in 6, 3 clean sheets) and opened with a 1-1 draw, but Real Madrid's superior individual quality and winning start (3pts vs 1pt) makes them narrow favourites in a tight, likely low-scoring game where both teams score.
Real Madrid are the stronger side on paper but have shown inconsistent performances, while Roma under Gasperini are defensively solid at home (3 clean sheets in last 6) and opened their UCL campaign with a 1-1 draw; the Stadio Olimpico atmosphere and Roma's three-man defensive system should keep this tight, with a low-scoring draw being the single most likely outcome despite Real Madrid's overall edge.
Real Madrid dominate this matchup historically (8 wins in 12 meetings, 19 wins in their last 21 UCL games vs Serie A sides) and arrive with elite firepower (Mbappé, Bellingham, Vini Jr) after beating Inter 2-1 in their opener, despite missing Militao, Rodrygo and Mendy. Roma are unbeaten this season and score freely at home, so they should find the net, but Madrid's quality edge makes an away win the most likely outcome.
Real Madrid's superior squad depth and winning start contrast with Roma's sturdy home defence (three clean sheets in last six) and attacking threat from Dybala and Pellegrini, making a narrow away win the most likely outcome but with a high draw probability given Roma's resilience.
Real Madrid's superior individual quality makes them the likelier winner, but Roma's defensive organization and home advantage should keep the contest close. Roma carry enough attacking threat to score, with Madrid favored to edge a competitive match.
Roma's exceptional defensive record (4 goals conceded in 6 matches, 3 clean sheets) combined with their strong home attacking form (4-0 vs Lecce, 2-1 vs Atalanta) makes them extremely difficult to break down at the Olimpico. Real Madrid remain favorites on paper but have shown inconsistency, and Roma's organized Gasperini system — coming off a 1-1 draw in MD1 — is built for exactly this type of high-intensity European night, pointing to a tight, low-scoring contest where a draw is highly probable.
Real Madrid enter as clear favorites on quality and early UCL points (win vs Roma's draw), yet Roma's compact home defence and Gasperini setup make a low-scoring away win the modal outcome while keeping the draw fully live.
Real Madrid's dominant H2H record (four consecutive competitive wins without conceding) and 10-match winning streak in Italy make them clear favorites, though Roma under Gasperini are unbeaten domestically and have scored 2+ goals in their last three home European matches, suggesting they can trouble Madrid's defense which has kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 8 wins. Roma will miss key players Cristante and Svilar, while Madrid's squad depth and Mourinho's emotional return to the Olimpico provide additional motivation for the visitors.
Real Madrid's dominance over Italian opposition (19 wins in last 21 CL meetings), Mourinho's exceptional Champions League record (W15 D3 L1), and superior squad depth make them clear favorites, though Roma's unbeaten home run and defensive solidity (4 goals conceded in 6 Serie A games) should keep it competitive and contribute to a realistic draw probability.
AS RomaReal Madrid