Ararat-Armenia
Shamrock Rovers| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H42%D30%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–0 | H38%D33%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 2–1 | H47%D29%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H46%D28%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D31%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H40%D32%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–0 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–0 | H45%D28%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H40%D31%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–0 | H40%D28%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–0 | H40%D32%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–0 | H44%D29%A27% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Ararat-Armenia's defensive solidity at home gives them a slight edge, but Shamrock Rovers carry genuine attacking threat (Watts, Byrne), and first-leg qualifiers between evenly matched sides often stay tight, making a draw a strong possibility.
Ararat-Armenia's formidable home record (unbeaten in 17 of last 20, clean sheets in half of their last 12) meets a Shamrock side depleted by attacking injuries (Gaffney, Mandroiu, Grant) and inconsistent on the road (lost 3 of last 6 away, including a 2-0 defeat to Floriana). A cagey first leg favours the hosts' defensive structure, but Shamrock's 5-1 second-leg response last round warrants respect — the draw probability is elevated accordingly.
Ararat-Armenia boasts a formidable home advantage in Yerevan and demonstrated excellent defensive control in the previous round against Riga. While Shamrock Rovers are fully match-fit and carry an attacking threat through Dylan Watts, the grueling travel and the hosts' tactical discipline make a narrow home victory the most likely outcome.
Ararat-Armenia's strong home form, highlighted by their 2-0 victory over Riga FC in the previous round, makes them favorites against a Shamrock Rovers side that struggled on the road, losing 2-0 to Floriana. While Rovers possess attacking threat, their defensive vulnerabilities away from home should allow the hosts to secure a narrow first-leg advantage.
Ararat-Armenia showed strong home control and defensive stability in their previous round, while Shamrock Rovers have a volatile form but possess dangerous attacking threats like D. Watts. Given the tight nature of these qualifying rounds and the home side's tendency to dictate rhythm, a low-scoring draw or narrow home win is most likely.
Ararat-Armenia demonstrated strong home dominance in the previous round against Riga (54% possession, limiting them to one shot on target) and possess notable game-management qualities, giving them the edge as hosts. Shamrock Rovers' path was more volatile and their high BTTS rate (56%) keeps a draw very plausible in this tight first leg, but Ararat's home control tilts the balance toward a narrow home win.
Ararat-Armenia's strong home form and tactical flexibility, combined with Shamrock Rovers' resilience and ability to score in away matches, suggest a tightly contested fixture. Both teams' tendency to concede goals and the high likelihood of both teams scoring (56% for Shamrock Rovers) point to a draw as a credible outcome, though Ararat-Armenia's home advantage gives them a slight edge.
Ararat-Armenia's formidable home record (unbeaten in 85% of their last 20 home matches) and defensive organization give them a narrow edge in a tight first leg, while Shamrock Rovers' away inconsistency and the absence of key strikers Rory Gaffney and Daniel Mandroiu limit their attacking threat.
Ararat-Armenia's dominant home display vs Riga (54% possession, one shot on target faced) contrasts with Shamrock Rovers' volatile qualifying run and 56% BTTS rate, pointing to a tight, low-scoring home win.
Ararat-Armenia’s strong home control against Riga and the Yerevan advantage give them a narrow edge. Shamrock Rovers carry enough attacking threat to score, but first-leg caution makes a low-scoring draw the likeliest exact scoreline.
Ararat-Armenia's formidable home record (unbeaten in 17 of last 20 at home, 5 wins in last 7 CL home games) and controlled 2-0 victory over Riga at home give them a clear edge in Yerevan. Shamrock Rovers' poor away form (3W-3L in last 6 away trips, including a 0-2 first-leg loss to Floriana) and long-term absences of Gaffney and Mandroiu weaken their attacking threat on the road, though their 5-1 demolition of Floriana at home shows they remain dangerous enough to keep this tight.
Ararat-Armenia's strong home record (unbeaten in 17 of last 20) and efficient control in the first-leg win over Riga give them the edge in a tight qualifier, while Shamrock's away inconsistency and missing strikers Gaffney/Mandroiu limit their threat despite the Floriana turnaround.
Ararat-Armenia's formidable home record (unbeaten in 17 of 20, 5/7 CL home wins) and defensive solidity give them a slight edge, but Shamrock Rovers' attacking quality (5-1 vs Floriana, 56% BTTS rate) makes a scoring draw the most likely outcome in what previews describe as a tight first leg decided by fine margins.
Ararat-Armenia's strong home record (unbeaten in 17 of 20 at home, 5 wins from 7 CL home matches) and defensive solidity contrast with Shamrock Rovers' away vulnerability in Europe (lost 2-0 at Floriana), making a narrow home win the most likely outcome in this first leg.
Ararat-ArmeniaShamrock Rovers