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Venezia vs Napoli — predictions and result

Venezia
90-minute result1–0
Napoli
Regular Season - 7Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo

Predictions

12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic0–1
H17%D25%A58%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek0–2
H15%D24%A61%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle0–2
H15%D23%A62%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–2
H18%D24%A58%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–2
H22%D28%A50%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H15%D26%A59%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–1
H20%D30%A50%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–2
H14%D21%A65%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–2
H20%D25%A55%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI0–2
H18%D26%A56%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–2
H21%D24%A55%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–2
H17%D27%A56%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Venezia are pointless and have lost all six league games, and although a new-manager bounce under Davide Nicola plus home advantage at the Penzo gives them a puncher's chance, Napoli are far stronger and unbeaten in three league outings. Allegri's side tend to control games and win narrowly on the road, so a tight 0-1 or 1-2 is most likely, with the draw a genuine possibility.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Venezia have lost all six league games, conceded nearly three per match, and are missing several key players, while new boss Davide Nicola has had little time to reorganise. Napoli's away form is shaky, but their superior quality and Venezia's defensive frailty make an away win the most likely outcome.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Venezia have endured a disastrous start to the campaign, losing all six opening league fixtures and conceding 16 goals in the process. Napoli are finding their rhythm domestically with an unbeaten three-match run and possess far too much individual quality for the hosts to contain.

Muse Spark 1.2

Venezia are 0-6 (5-16 goals) and bottom with a new manager bounce under Davide Nicola, but Napoli have steadied with 10 points and 3 unbeaten league games and a clear quality gap despite midweek European fatigue and a poor away record.

MiniMax M3

Venezia sit rock-bottom on 0 points with a 16-5 combined score across six losses, but the arrival of Davide Nicola (renown for new-club bounce effects) provides some upset potential at the small Penzo ground. Napoli under Allegri are mid-table but unbeaten in their last three league outings and clearly the superior side, though their tendency to play matches 'on a knife edge' and an expected-goals projection of roughly 2.0-1.1 points to a tight contest where a draw is distinctly possible; Napoli's quality edge just makes an away win the most probable outcome.

Kimi K3

Venezia are bottom with zero points and a 16-5 aggregate across six defeats, and while new boss Davide Nicola could spark a debut bounce, Napoli are unbeaten in their last three league games and are clearly the stronger side. Napoli's poor away record and midweek European exertion keep the draw very live, but their quality should tell in a narrow away win.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Venezia have lost all six matches conceding 2.67 goals per game under a new manager, while Napoli are unbeaten in three with 10 points; statistical models project Napoli 2.02 xG vs Venezia 1.09 xG with 1-1 as the single most likely scoreline.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Venezia have lost all six league matches and conceded 16 goals, while Napoli arrive unbeaten in three domestic games after an improved display against Frosinone. Napoli’s inconsistent away form and European fatigue leave some upset risk, but their quality advantage should prevail.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Venezia are rock-bottom with 0 points from 6 matches and a new manager on the touchline, while Napoli sit 8th with 10 points and are unbeaten in three league games; despite a midweek European setback, Napoli's superior quality should see them edge a competitive away win against Serie A's weakest side.

Grok 4.5

Venezia remain winless and pointless after six heavy defeats (16-5 aggregate) with a new manager on debut, while Napoli sit mid-table on 10 points and unbeaten in three league games; the visitors' superior quality and recent form make an away win the clearest outcome, most likely by a controlled 0-2.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Venezia have lost all six league matches this season (conceding 16 goals) and just sacked their manager, while Napoli are unbeaten in their last three Serie A games and sit in 8th with 10 points. A new-manager bounce under Davide Nicola could make this slightly more competitive, but Napoli's superior quality should prevail away from home.

GLM-5.2

Venezia have lost all six matches with 16 goals conceded and sit bottom, while Napoli are unbeaten in their last three league games and clearly superior in quality. However, Napoli's inconsistent away form under Allegri and a midweek European setback keep the draw firmly in play, and a new-manager bounce for Venezia under Davide Nicola could make this tighter than the table gap suggests.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeVenezia
4.66
DrawLevel at 90′
4.16
AwayNapoli
1.72