Venezia
Fiorentina| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H33%D28%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H29%D28%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H26%D29%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H30%D27%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H27%D31%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H32%D27%A41% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H25%D28%A47% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H32%D30%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H24%D26%A50% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H27%D30%A43% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Both sides are pointless after three rounds, but Fiorentina's squad (De Gea, Dragusin, Beto, Gnonto, Mastantuono) is clearly stronger than the promoted hosts, and a new-manager bounce under the returning Vanoli plus Venezia's central-defensive injury crisis tilt it slightly the Viola's way. Fiorentina's chaos, one goal in three games and the awkward trip to a compact Penzo pitch keep this close, so a low-scoring draw is a very live outcome.
Fiorentina have more individual quality and should get a lift from new coach Vanoli, while Venezia are winless and missing Bella-Kotchap at the back. Both defences have been leaky, so a narrow away win with goals is the most likely outcome.
Fiorentina possess superior individual talent and attacking quality, which should give them the edge despite adapting to new manager Paolo Vanoli's tactical adjustments against a gritty Venezia side.
Fiorentina have superior squad quality (De Gea, Dragusin, Fagioli) despite Vanoli having <1 week to implement his 3-5-2, while Venezia at home are in grim form and expected open transition game suits Fiorentina's counters.
Fiorentina possess clear squad-quality superiority (de Gea, Fagioli, Kean, Mastantuono) over a newly-promoted Venezia still settling in under a brand-new manager (Vanoli, less than a week in the job), but two clubs in simultaneous transition - plus Venezia's home advantage and the inherent unpredictability of an early-season promoted side - keep the draw probability elevated. The most plausible single scoreline is 1-1, reflecting transition-era chaos on both benches, even though Fiorentina's underlying quality makes an away win the modal 1X2 outcome.
Fiorentina, despite their managerial transition, possess superior squad depth and tactical flexibility, which should edge them ahead in an open, transition-heavy match. Venezia's lack of recent form and familiarity with their new system increases the likelihood of a narrow away win.
Both sides are winless after three rounds, but Fiorentina's expensive squad (Beto, Gnonto, Mastantuono, Dragusin) has massively underperformed and should get a new-manager bounce from Vanoli's return, while Venezia—though at home and more settled under Stroppa—are missing four centre-backs. Expect an open, transition-heavy game where Fiorentina's superior talent edges it, though a draw between two desperate, defensively fragile teams is very live.
Fiorentina's superior squad depth and quality, led by De Gea and an attacking lineup, outweigh Venezia's home advantage under a new manager (Vanoli) with only days to implement his system; previews flag an open, transition-heavy game that favors the visitors' firepower.
Fiorentina have the stronger squad and should exploit a Venezia side reportedly in poor form. However, Fiorentina's recent coaching change and limited time to implement Vanoli's system increase the chances of a close, unsettled match.
Both teams are winless after 3 matches (Venezia 0-2-0-2-7, Fiorentina 0-0-1-9), but Fiorentina's superior squad quality gives them a slight edge despite their managerial chaos (Vanoli appointed less than a week ago). Venezia's home advantage and slightly better defensive record are offset by a crisis at center-back (4 CBs injured) and Fiorentina's new manager bounce potential, though Vanoli's familiarity with Venezia from his previous stint could cut both ways in an open, transition-heavy match.
Fiorentina hold the quality edge and should edge an open, transition-oriented contest despite Vanoli’s very recent arrival limiting tactical overhaul; Venezia’s home setup and early-season parity keep the draw and home win live but secondary.
Venezia's new coach Vanoli has had less than a week to implement his system, creating tactical instability, while Fiorentina boast significantly superior squad quality with De Gea, Dragusin, Fagioli, and Mastantuono. An open, transition-heavy match is expected, but Fiorentina's deeper talent should edge it away from home.
Both teams are winless and defensively shambolic, but Fiorentina's expensively assembled attack (Beto, Gnonto, Pellegrino) should exploit Venezia's crisis at centre-back where four defenders are injured, giving Vanoli a narrow debut win despite his limited preparation time.
VeneziaFiorentina