Udinese
Como| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H33%D32%A35% | Missed | Exact |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H28%D28%A44% | Missed | Exact |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H30%D36%A34% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–1 | H37%D31%A32% | Missed | Exact |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H31%D34%A35% | Missed | Exact |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H37%D32%A31% | Missed | Exact |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D31%A31% | Missed | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 0–1 | H30%D27%A43% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 0–0 | H32%D34%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Exact |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–1 | H32%D38%A30% | Correct | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 0–1 | H30%D29%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–0 | H42%D28%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 0–1 | H29%D30%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Missed | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Missed | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H27%D33%A40% | Missed | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H28%D30%A42% | Missed | Exact |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Como are the stronger squad on paper as Champions League qualifiers, but Udinese are a physically dominant home side with an excellent record in this fixture (Como have not won in Friuli since 1968 and failed to score in their last two visits), pointing to a tight, low-scoring opener.
Como come in as a Champions League qualifier after last season's fourth-place finish, with a ~€150m summer outlay and Nico Paz retained, giving Fabregas clearly the stronger squad, while Udinese have lost key men in Atta and Kristensen. However, Runjaic's side are physically stubborn at the Bluenergy Stadium and opening-day matches involving Udinese have tended to be tight and low-scoring, so a share of the spoils is very much live.
Como have the stronger squad after last season's top-four finish, but Udinese are physical and stubborn at home, where Como have struggled to score in recent meetings. Opening-day rust and Como's reshuffled defence point to a tight, low-scoring draw.
Udinese boasts a solid physical setup at home, but Como arrives with an ambitious, revamped squad featuring high-profile signings like Alvaro Morata and Diego Carlos. Both teams have shown good early-season form in the cup, making a tightly contested draw the most likely outcome as they find their rhythm on opening day.
Como enter the new Serie A campaign with superior technical quality following an impressive 2025/26 season, but opening away at Udinese presents a tough physical challenge. Udinese's resilient defensive block should keep this Matchday 1 fixture tightly contested, making a low-scoring draw the most likely result.
Udinese's physical, structured 3-5-2 setup makes them difficult to break down at home, while Como's technical possession game offers enough creative threat to balance an opening-round stalemate.
Udinese possesses a physical advantage and a strong historical record against Como, but Como's disciplined defensive setup and recent form suggest a tightly contested, low-scoring encounter.
Como's upgraded squad (Morata, Nico Paz, Diego Carlos) and strong late-2025/26 form make them slight favourites despite Udinese's physical home advantage and aerial strength, with previews pointing to a tight, low-scoring contest.
Season opener between two well-organized sides: Como arrive in excellent recent form (5 wins in 7) with a strong squad (Nico Paz, Morata, Diego Carlos) and Fabregas's disciplined 4-2-3-1, while Udinese are extremely physical and athletic at the Dacia Arena, historically dominant in this fixture (7 wins in 10) and fresh from beating Genoa. Both defenses are strong aerially and tactically compact, with only one of Udinese's last five games seeing both teams score and the last meeting ending 0-0, pointing to a tight, low-scoring contest where a draw is a credible central outcome.
Both teams exhibit strong defensive setups and physical play, with Udinese slightly favored due to home advantage and historical dominance in recent meetings. However, Como’s resilience, disciplined defense, and recent form suggest a tightly contested match likely to end in a low-scoring draw or narrow Udinese win.
Udinese have not lost a top-flight home meeting with Como since 1968 and bring momentum from a Coppa Italia win, while Como’s top-four pedigree and league-high 19 clean sheets last season suggest a cagey, evenly-matched opener. The most likely result is a low-scoring draw where both sides cancel each other out.
Como are now an established top-four side (Champions League qualifiers with last season's best Serie A defense, Nico Paz retained) and are slight favorites despite opening with three straight away games and a thin squad. However, Udinese are unbeaten at home against Como in Serie A (7W 3D) and kept this fixture to 0-0 last season, so a tight, low-scoring match with Como edging it is most likely, with the draw a very live alternative.
Udinese have a strong historical record at home vs Como (7 wins in 10) and possess a physical, aerial-dominant defence; Como finished last season in excellent form but face a tricky opener against a side that excels at stifling attacks, pointing to a tight, low-scoring game with the home side edging it.
Como’s stronger recent trajectory and disciplined defensive structure give them a modest edge, although Udinese’s physicality and home advantage keep the draw highly plausible. A tight, low-scoring contest is the likeliest scenario.
As a season opener between two physically strong and defensively organized sides, a cautious and low-scoring affair is highly likely. Udinese's home advantage and historical edge over Como are offset by Como's disciplined setup, making a tight draw the most probable outcome.
Season opener with no prior form or standings edge; Udinese's home physicality and aerial strength meet Como's organized, resilient setup under Fabregas, favoring a tight low-scoring stalemate as the most probable 90-minute outcome.
Como finished in the top four last season and enter as Champions League qualifiers under Fàbregas, while Udinese have lost key players (Atta, Kristensen, Ekkelenkamp injured) and are significantly weakened; however, opening-day home advantage and Udinese's physical, defensive approach make a tightly contested draw the most likely single scoreline, with Como's overall quality edging the result probability.
Como are clearly the stronger side after last season's 4th-place finish and Champions League qualification, with superior squad depth and recent head-to-head dominance (Udinese have scored just once in their last three meetings). However, Udinese's home advantage, competitive match fitness from the Coppa Italia, and Como's mixed pre-season form make a tight, low-scoring draw the most likely individual scoreline.
UdineseComo