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Torino vs Monza — predictions and result

Torino
90-minute result3–2
Monza
Regular Season - 8Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–0
H47%D28%A25%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H50%D26%A24%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H48%D28%A24%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–0
H47%D27%A26%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H46%D28%A26%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H48%D28%A24%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–0
H49%D28%A23%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H48%D27%A25%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–0
H47%D29%A24%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H50%D26%A24%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–0
H47%D28%A25%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H46%D28%A26%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H48%D27%A25%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Torino are in decent form at home with seven points from their last three league games, while Monza have a dismal away record (11 points from 23 top-flight away matches) despite a recent 4-0 win. Torino's games tend to be tight and low-scoring, so a narrow home win is most likely with a real chance of a stalemate.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Torino's stronger recent form and dominant head-to-head record, combined with Monza's poor away results, make the hosts clear favourites; Monza's recent scoring threat keeps the draw and away probabilities honest.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Torino are in solid form after taking seven points from their last three matches, including an impressive 3-0 away victory over Parma. Monza struggle significantly on their travels, having claimed very few points away from home across recent campaigns.

Muse Spark 1.2

Torino sit 10th on 10 points with 7 points from last three and unbeaten in 4 of 5, hosting a Monza side 14th on 7 points with just 11 points from last 23 away games despite Monday's 4-0 win; dominant head-to-head (15 wins to 2 with 10 draws in 27) and home advantage offset missing Ricardo Rodriguez.

MiniMax M3

Torino are the stronger side at home (better league position, more consistent recent form, and Monza's persistent away struggles make them a low-output visitor), but Monza's attacking potential and Torino's defensive absences (Ricardo Rodriguez out) keep the draw very live. Torino win is the modal result, with 1-1 the most probable exact scoreline given two mid-block, moderate-scoring teams.

Mistral Large 3

Torino hold a historical edge over Monza and are in better form, playing at home with a stronger recent record. However, Monza's resilience and Torino's defensive absences, combined with the high likelihood of draws in Serie A, make a draw the most balanced single outcome, though Torino are slightly favored to win.

Kimi K3

Torino carry strong momentum (unbeaten in four of five, fresh off a 3-0 win at Parma) and dominate this head-to-head historically, while Monza's away record is dire with just 11 points from their last 23 Serie A road games. The high share of historical draws between these sides (10 of 27) and Monza's recent 4-0 win over Cagliari keep the draw and away win live, but home advantage and form favor Torino.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Torino hold a strong H2H edge (15W-2L-10D) and better recent form (unbeaten in 4 of 5, 10pts/10th) at home, while Monza have collected only 11 points from their last 23 away league games despite a recent 4-0 win; missing Ricardo Rodriguez slightly weakens Torino's defence but not enough to overturn the home advantage.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Torino have home advantage and the stronger historical matchup, while Monza’s long-term away record is poor. Torino’s defensive absences and Monza’s recent scoring improvement keep the draw and away-win chances meaningful.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Torino are in strong form (7 points from last 3, 10th with 10 pts) and dominate the H2H (15 wins to Monza's 2), while Monza have a dreadful away record (11 points from 23 road games) and sit 14th with just 7 points. Despite missing Ricardo Rodriguez, Torino's home advantage and momentum make them clear favorites, though Monza's recent 4-0 win shows they remain capable of scoring.

Grok 4.5

Torino sit higher with stronger recent form and home advantage against Monza's poor away record historically, though absences and Serie A draw frequency keep the margin modest; 1-0 is the modal low-scoring home win.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Torino are in strong form with seven points from three games including a 3-0 win at Parma, and the head-to-head is heavily one-sided (15 Torino wins to Monza's 2), while Monza's away record is poor with just 11 points from 23 road trips despite their recent 4-0 home win. Torino's defensive injuries and Monza's improved scoring suggest a competitive but home-leaning scoreline of 2-1.

GLM-5.2

Torino are in stronger form (7 points from last 3, including a 3-0 win at Parma) and sit 10th with a positive goal difference, while Monza's dreadful away record (11 points from 23 road games) and 14th-place standing make them underdogs despite their recent 4-0 outburst. Torino's dominant H2H (15 wins vs 2) and home advantage tip the balance, though Monza's recent scoring form keeps this competitive.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeTorino
2.18
DrawLevel at 90′
3.40
AwayMonza
3.55