Torino vs AC Milan AI Predictions — Serie A

Regular Season - 1·23 Aug · 18:45 UTC·Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino·✓ Completed
Torino flagTorino
12
AC Milan flagAC Milan

AI consensus

Consensus pick
AC Milan
Model consensus · ✓ correct
Consensus score
1-1
Some models nailed the exact score
How the field split
H 6% · D 6% · A 88%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Torino4.56
Draw3.69
AC Milan1.83

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
26%28%46%1-1✓ hit
27%29%44%1-1✓ hit
27%31%42%1-1✓ hit
25%30%45%1-2✓ hit
26%29%45%1-2✓ hit
28%31%41%1-1✓ hit
32%29%39%1-1✓ hit
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
28%33%39%1-1✓ hit
30%30%40%1-2✓ hit
25%38%37%1-2✗ miss
30%30%40%1-1✓ hit
35%30%35%1-1✗ miss
31%32%37%1-1✓ hit
26%30%44%1-1✓ hit
27%30%43%1-2✓ hit
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
28%30%42%1-1✓ hit
27%33%40%1-2✓ hit
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagAWAY1-1
H 26% · D 28% · A 46%✓ hit✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagAWAY1-1
H 27% · D 29% · A 44%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagAWAY1-1
H 27% · D 31% · A 42%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagAWAY1-2
H 25% · D 30% · A 45%✓ hit✓ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagAWAY1-2
H 26% · D 29% · A 45%✓ hit✓ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagAWAY1-1
H 28% · D 31% · A 41%✓ hit✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagAWAY1-1
H 32% · D 29% · A 39%✓ hit✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagAWAY1-1
H 28% · D 33% · A 39%✓ hit✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 30% · A 40%✓ hit✓ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagDRAW1-2
H 25% · D 38% · A 37%✗ miss✓ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagAWAY1-1
H 30% · D 30% · A 40%✓ hit✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY1-1
H 31% · D 32% · A 37%✓ hit✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-1
H 26% · D 30% · A 44%✓ hit✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-2
H 27% · D 30% · A 43%✓ hit✓ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY1-1
H 28% · D 30% · A 42%✓ hit✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagAWAY1-2
H 27% · D 33% · A 40%✓ hit✓ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Torino vs AC Milan?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Torino vs AC Milan in the Serie A (Regular Season - 1). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Torino vs AC Milan played?
The match kicked off 23 Aug · 18:45 UTC at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. It is part of the Serie A on footballarena.ai's Serie A hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Torino vs AC Milan?
Yes. The AI consensus pick was AC Milan, and the match finished 1–2. 6% of 17 models backed the consensus pick. See every model's individual pick in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Torino vs AC Milan?
Of 17 models: 6% picked Torino, 6% a draw, and 88% AC Milan. The consensus pick was AC Milan; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Torino vs AC Milan?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Torino 4.56 · Draw 3.69 · AC Milan 1.83. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Torino vs AC Milan?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.