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Parma vs Monza — predictions and result

Parma
90-minute result1–1
Monza
Regular Season - 3Stadio Ennio Tardini

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H39%D29%A32%
MissedExact
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H33%D35%A32%
CorrectExact
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–1
H38%D31%A31%
MissedExact
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–1
H39%D27%A34%
MissedExact
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H32%D31%A37%
MissedExact
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H38%D30%A32%
MissedExact
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–1
H37%D28%A35%
MissedExact
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–1
H34%D32%A34%
MissedExact
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H39%D31%A30%
MissedExact
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H39%D28%A33%
MissedExact
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–1
H38%D28%A34%
MissedExact
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–1
H38%D27%A35%
MissedExact
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–1
H36%D35%A29%
MissedExact

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Two lower-table sides with limited attacking quality: Parma are pointless after two games and rely on home advantage and a compact 3-5-2/4-3-3 shape, while promoted Monza have shown slightly better recent output. A tight, low-scoring game with an elevated draw chance is the fair read.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Both sides are pointless and desperate after two league losses, with Parma in a 300+ minute scoring drought while Monza are leaky but missing key striker Varela. Parma's strong head-to-head at the Tardini and the low-scoring nature of this relegation clash make a draw the most likely outcome.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Parma have home advantage but enter under pressure after early setbacks, facing a well-organized Monza side capable of exploiting transitions in what should be a tightly contested stalemate.

Muse Spark 1.2

Parma have home advantage but are winless after back-to-back defeats and may shuffle system, while Monza show superior attacking output and better recent results, pointing to a balanced, low-scoring contest where a draw is very live.

MiniMax M3

Parma are winless and desperate at home after back-to-back defeats, but Monza arrive with notably better form, sharper attacking output, and a settled 3-4-3 system under Nesta. The combination of Parma's home resilience and Monza's superior quality points to a tight, low-scoring contest most likely ending level, with Monza holding a slight edge in the result probabilities.

Mistral Large 3

Both teams are struggling for form early in the season, with Parma seeking their first points after two defeats and Monza showing inconsistent attacking output. Tactical adjustments and defensive setups are likely to dominate, making a draw a highly plausible outcome.

Kimi K3

A relegation-zone six-pointer between two winless sides with opposite flaws: Parma have yet to score in Serie A this season (0-1 Cagliari, 0-2 Juventus) but have defended respectably, while newly promoted Monza have leaked seven goals in two games yet carry a real threat through in-form Gustavo Varela. Parma's home edge and Monza's shambolic defending roughly cancel out against Parma's attacking anemia and Varela's danger, making a tight, low-scoring draw (in line with this fixture's H2H trend) the single most likely scoreline.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Parma are winless after two defeats but hold home advantage; Monza have shown better attacking form and recent results, making this a closely balanced fixture where a low-scoring draw is the single most likely outcome.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Parma's home advantage gives them a narrow edge, but the lack of established form and the teams' broadly comparable quality make this a balanced matchup. A tight, low-scoring draw is the likeliest exact scoreline.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Parma have home advantage but are winless after two defeats, while Monza boast superior attacking output and better recent form, making this a tightly contested early-season clash between two lower-table sides. A low-scoring draw is the most likely single outcome, though Parma's home edge gives them a marginal probability advantage.

Grok 4.5

Early-season Serie A clash with both sides winless after two matches; Parma hold slight home edge but Monza's attacking threat and better recent output make a low-scoring draw the most probable 90-minute outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Parma are winless after two matches and struggling for form, but retain a narrow home advantage at the Ennio Tardini; Monza have shown better attacking output in the early rounds and look capable of taking a point or more in what should be a tight, low-scoring contest between two evenly matched sides.

GLM-5.2

Both teams are winless with 0 points, but Parma's home advantage and historical dominance at the Tardini (Monza haven't won there since 1980) give them a slight edge. However, Parma have scored 0 goals in 3 competitive matches while Monza — despite missing top scorer Varela and captain Pessina to injury — have shown more attacking intent, making a low-scoring draw the most likely outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeParma
2.62
DrawLevel at 90′
3.09
AwayMonza
3.05