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Parma vs Cagliari — predictions and result

Parma
90-minute result0–1
Cagliari
Regular Season - 1Stadio Ennio Tardini

Predictions

18 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic1–1
H40%D30%A30%
MissedMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H39%D31%A30%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–0
H41%D31%A28%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle1–0
H44%D30%A26%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle1–1
H39%D31%A30%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–1
H42%D31%A27%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle1–1
H38%D30%A32%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–0
H38%D28%A34%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–0
H40%D30%A30%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H40%D30%A30%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot1–0
H38%D29%A33%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–1
H41%D27%A32%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–1
H38%D32%A30%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H39%D31%A30%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H33%D32%A35%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–1
H42%D28%A30%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–0
H41%D29%A30%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–1
H36%D34%A30%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

Two evenly matched survival-focused sides open the season; Parma have home advantage at the Tardini and Cagliari travel poorly, but their recent head-to-head (a 1-1 draw last season) and season-opener uncertainty point to a tight, low-scoring game.

Claude Opus 5

Two evenly matched mid-table sides who finished within a couple of points of each other last term, both with continuity in the dugout (Cuesta, Pisacane) and pragmatic, low-scoring styles; Parma get a modest edge at the Tardini but opening-day caution and Cagliari's habit of tight, cagey starts point to a narrow, low-scoring game with a high draw chance.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Parma's home solidity under Cuesta and Cagliari's poor away record (four away wins last season) point to a narrow hosts' win, though the draw is a real risk in a low-scoring opener between two similar sides.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Parma and Cagliari finished closely in mid-table last season, separated by just two points. With Parma boasting home advantage at the Stadio Tardini and Cagliari historically struggling on the road, the hosts are slight favourites to edge a tight opening-day encounter.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Parma kick off their season at Stadio Tardini looking to build on solid home performances under Carlos Cuesta, while Cagliari enter having maintained strong recent head-to-head records against their hosts. Given opening-day caution and Cagliari's modest away form, a tightly contested low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Parma hold home advantage at the Stadio Ennio Tardini on the opening weekend, but both sides are closely matched mid-table competitors likely to cancel each other out in a tight encounter.

Gemma 4 31B

This is an opening match between two mid-table sides with very similar profiles. While Parma has home advantage and recent momentum from the previous season's end, Cagliari's squad is largely intact and the early-season nature of the fixture often leads to a more cautious, draw-prone approach.

Muse Spark 1.2

Survival rivals separated by 2 points last season (13th vs 14th) meet with Parma weakened by departures of Pellegrino (9/28 goals), Suzuki and Circati plus midfield injuries, while Cagliari have lost Palestra/Gaetano but added Winks/Maldini and own recent H2H edge (3 wins in 4, last Tardini 1-1). Home base under Cuesta and Cagliari's just 4 away wins last season give Parma a narrow low-scoring edge.

MiniMax M3

Opening matchday with no current-season form data; these two sides finished 12th and 13th last season separated by just 3 points, indicating near-equal quality. Parma hold home advantage at the Tardini and were trending strongly under Cuesta late in 2025/26, while Cagliari under Nicola are typically defensively organized but rarely prolific away from home, supporting a narrow home win as the single most likely scoreline, with the draw given honest weight as is typical for a season opener between evenly matched mid-table sides.

Mistral Large 3

Both Parma and Cagliari are mid-table teams with similar points and recent form, suggesting a closely contested match. Parma's slight home advantage is balanced by Cagliari's resilience, making a draw the most likely single outcome, though either team could edge it.

Kimi K2.6

Parma’s home fixture against a travel-shy Cagliari gives them a slight edge, but both sides enter the new season shorn of key players after finishing as near-identical survival rivals last term.

Kimi K3

Two near-identically matched lower-mid-table sides (Parma finished around 12th, Cagliari 13th last season) open the campaign; Parma's home edge at the Tardini and their strong run-in under Carlos Cuesta make them slight favourites, but both teams are pragmatic and among Serie A's lower scorers, so a tight, low-scoring contest with an elevated draw chance is the most likely script.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Parma finished 12th last season and closed with three consecutive wins, while Cagliari (13th) have injury doubts over Prati and Wieteska but regain Piccoli and Luvumbo; a cautious season opener at the Tardini favors a low-scoring draw.

GPT-5.6 Sol

The sides appear closely matched, with Parma holding only a modest home advantage. An opening-round fixture between two likely mid-table or lower-half teams points toward a cautious, low-scoring draw.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Evenly matched mid-table rivals from 2025/26 (Parma ~12th, Cagliari ~14th) open the season with minimal separation. Cagliari hold a strong recent H2H edge (4 wins in last 6, including 2-0 in the reverse fixture) and Parma have lost standout GK Zion Suzuki to Aston Villa, but home advantage and Parma's strong finish to last season (3 straight wins) keep this finely balanced, making a low-scoring draw the most likely single outcome.

Grok 4.5

Season opener between two mid-table sides with similar recent Serie A profiles and no current form data; home advantage at Tardini edges Parma slightly but draws are frequent in such evenly matched early fixtures, making 1-1 the modal scoreline.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Parma's home advantage and strong finish to 2025/26 (three straight wins incl. at Milan) give them a slight edge, but Cagliari's historical H2H dominance and evenly matched squads make this very tight. Opening day caution favours a low-scoring, cagey affair.

GLM-5.2

Two closely matched mid-table sides (45 vs 43 points last season) meet in a season opener that typically produces cautious, tight contests. Parma's significant squad disruption—losing top scorer Pellegrino, starting GK Suzuki, and key defender Circati—offsets their home advantage, while Cagliari's better recent H2H record (3 wins in last 4) is counterbalanced by the loss of Serie A Best Defender Palestra and their historically poor away form; the 1-1 draw in February's meeting at Tardini reinforces a likely stalemate.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeParma
2.55
DrawLevel at 90′
2.99
AwayCagliari
3.28