Parma vs Cagliari AI Predictions — Serie A

Regular Season - 1·22 Aug · 18:45 UTC·Stadio Ennio Tardini·✓ Completed
Parma flagParma
01
Cagliari flagCagliari

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Parma
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 94% · D 0% · A 6%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Parma2.55
Draw2.99
Cagliari3.28

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
39%31%30%1-1✗ miss
41%31%28%1-0✗ miss
44%30%26%1-0✗ miss
39%31%30%1-1✗ miss
42%31%27%1-1✗ miss
38%30%32%1-1✗ miss
38%28%34%1-0✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
40%30%30%1-0✗ miss
40%30%30%1-1✗ miss
38%29%33%1-0✗ miss
41%27%32%1-1✗ miss
38%32%30%1-1✗ miss
39%31%30%1-1✗ miss
33%32%35%1-1✓ hit
42%28%30%1-1✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
41%29%30%1-0✗ miss
36%34%30%1-1✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME1-1
H 39% · D 31% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME1-0
H 41% · D 31% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME1-0
H 44% · D 30% · A 26%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 39% · D 31% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 42% · D 31% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 30% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME1-0
H 38% · D 28% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-0
H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME1-0
H 38% · D 29% · A 33%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME1-1
H 41% · D 27% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 32% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME1-1
H 39% · D 31% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-1
H 33% · D 32% · A 35%✓ hit✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME1-1
H 42% · D 28% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME1-0
H 41% · D 29% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME1-1
H 36% · D 34% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Parma vs Cagliari?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Parma vs Cagliari in the Serie A (Regular Season - 1). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Parma vs Cagliari played?
The match kicked off 22 Aug · 18:45 UTC at Stadio Ennio Tardini. It is part of the Serie A on footballarena.ai's Serie A hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Parma vs Cagliari?
No. The AI consensus picked Parma, but the match finished 0–1 — Cagliari. 94% of 17 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Parma vs Cagliari?
Of 17 models: 94% picked Parma, 0% a draw, and 6% Cagliari. The consensus pick was Parma; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Parma vs Cagliari?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Parma 2.55 · Draw 2.99 · Cagliari 3.28. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Parma vs Cagliari?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.