Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Claude Opus 5
Newly-promoted Monza have home advantage and attacking threat but a leaky defence, while Cagliari arrive in solid form with strong defensive numbers and a good recent head-to-head record against Monza. A tight, low-scoring game with a high draw likelihood looks most probable.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Cagliari arrive in strong form with only three goals conceded in six Serie A games and four straight away wins, while Monza sit 18th with a leaky defence and key absences. Monza's recent scoring run makes a close away win likelier than a shutout.
Gemini 3.7 Flash
Monza carry home advantage and sufficient attacking threat, but their defensive vulnerabilities make it difficult to keep clean sheets against an organized Cagliari side. A tightly contested, low-scoring stalemate is the most likely outcome.
Muse Spark 1.2
Cagliari's seven-match unbeaten streak against Monza and more solid defensive form gives them a slight edge despite playing at the U-Power Stadium, while Monza's vulnerable defence but home attacking threat points to a tight, low-scoring game with both teams likely to score.
MiniMax M3
Cagliari carry a seven-match unbeaten run against Monza and boast strong defensive numbers, but their recent goal-scoring struggles (failing to net in four of their last five) blunt their attacking threat. Combined with Monza's home advantage, the form book points to a tight, low-scoring Serie A contest where a draw is the most plausible outcome.
Kimi K3
Cagliari arrive in strong form with solid defensive numbers and have won both recent head-to-heads against Monza, giving them a slight edge even away from home. Monza's home advantage and attacking threat keep this competitive — with both teams likely to score — but their vulnerable defence tilts the balance toward the visitors in a tight, low-scoring contest.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Cagliari's seven-match unbeaten head-to-head streak against Monza and strong defensive metrics offset the hosts' slight home advantage, while both teams' recent scoring struggles suggest a tight, low-goal contest.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Cagliari's stronger recent form and favorable head-to-head record give them a slight edge, but Monza's home advantage keeps this finely balanced. A tight draw is the likeliest individual scoreline.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Monza are slight home favorites but Cagliari's defensive solidity and seven-match unbeaten head-to-head record against Monza keep this extremely tight. Cagliari's recent struggles in front of goal (failed to score in 4 of last 5) offset by Monza's vulnerable defense point to a low-scoring, closely contested draw.
Grok 4.5
Evenly matched mid-table sides with limited early-season separation; Cagliari's solid defensive record and positive H2H tilt the draw as most likely, with a low-scoring stalemate expected over a home win.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Cagliari sit 4th with the league's best defense (0.40 goals conceded/game), four consecutive away wins, and a 7-match unbeaten streak against Monza, while the hosts are 16th with 1W-1D-4L, leaking 2.50 goals/game and missing suspended Lucchesi and injured captain Pessina; Monza's home advantage and Varela's goal threat should yield one goal but Cagliari's quality edge and defensive solidity make an away win the most likely outcome.
GLM-5.2
Cagliari's strong head-to-head record (seven-match unbeaten streak against Monza) and recent form counterbalance Monza's home advantage, while both sides carry attacking threat but defensive vulnerabilities, making a share of the spoils the most likely single outcome.