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Monza vs Cagliari — predictions and result

Monza
90-minute result4–0
Cagliari
Regular Season - 7Stadio Brianteo

Predictions

12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H37%D29%A34%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–2
H26%D27%A47%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–1
H38%D32%A30%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–2
H32%D28%A40%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H35%D35%A30%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H33%D28%A39%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–1
H30%D35%A35%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H33%D31%A36%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H37%D31%A32%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–1
H38%D28%A34%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–2
H28%D32%A40%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–1
H36%D30%A34%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Newly-promoted Monza have home advantage and attacking threat but a leaky defence, while Cagliari arrive in solid form with strong defensive numbers and a good recent head-to-head record against Monza. A tight, low-scoring game with a high draw likelihood looks most probable.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Cagliari arrive in strong form with only three goals conceded in six Serie A games and four straight away wins, while Monza sit 18th with a leaky defence and key absences. Monza's recent scoring run makes a close away win likelier than a shutout.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Monza carry home advantage and sufficient attacking threat, but their defensive vulnerabilities make it difficult to keep clean sheets against an organized Cagliari side. A tightly contested, low-scoring stalemate is the most likely outcome.

Muse Spark 1.2

Cagliari's seven-match unbeaten streak against Monza and more solid defensive form gives them a slight edge despite playing at the U-Power Stadium, while Monza's vulnerable defence but home attacking threat points to a tight, low-scoring game with both teams likely to score.

MiniMax M3

Cagliari carry a seven-match unbeaten run against Monza and boast strong defensive numbers, but their recent goal-scoring struggles (failing to net in four of their last five) blunt their attacking threat. Combined with Monza's home advantage, the form book points to a tight, low-scoring Serie A contest where a draw is the most plausible outcome.

Kimi K3

Cagliari arrive in strong form with solid defensive numbers and have won both recent head-to-heads against Monza, giving them a slight edge even away from home. Monza's home advantage and attacking threat keep this competitive — with both teams likely to score — but their vulnerable defence tilts the balance toward the visitors in a tight, low-scoring contest.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Cagliari's seven-match unbeaten head-to-head streak against Monza and strong defensive metrics offset the hosts' slight home advantage, while both teams' recent scoring struggles suggest a tight, low-goal contest.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Cagliari's stronger recent form and favorable head-to-head record give them a slight edge, but Monza's home advantage keeps this finely balanced. A tight draw is the likeliest individual scoreline.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Monza are slight home favorites but Cagliari's defensive solidity and seven-match unbeaten head-to-head record against Monza keep this extremely tight. Cagliari's recent struggles in front of goal (failed to score in 4 of last 5) offset by Monza's vulnerable defense point to a low-scoring, closely contested draw.

Grok 4.5

Evenly matched mid-table sides with limited early-season separation; Cagliari's solid defensive record and positive H2H tilt the draw as most likely, with a low-scoring stalemate expected over a home win.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Cagliari sit 4th with the league's best defense (0.40 goals conceded/game), four consecutive away wins, and a 7-match unbeaten streak against Monza, while the hosts are 16th with 1W-1D-4L, leaking 2.50 goals/game and missing suspended Lucchesi and injured captain Pessina; Monza's home advantage and Varela's goal threat should yield one goal but Cagliari's quality edge and defensive solidity make an away win the most likely outcome.

GLM-5.2

Cagliari's strong head-to-head record (seven-match unbeaten streak against Monza) and recent form counterbalance Monza's home advantage, while both sides carry attacking threat but defensive vulnerabilities, making a share of the spoils the most likely single outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeMonza
2.48
DrawLevel at 90′
3.19
AwayCagliari
3.16