Lecce vs Monza AI Predictions — Serie A

Regular Season - 4·13 Sep · 13:00 UTC·Via del Mare·✓ Completed
Lecce flagLecce
32
Monza flagMonza

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Lecce
Model consensus · ✓ correct
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 69% · D 8% · A 23%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Lecce2.73
Draw3.08
Monza2.92

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
41%30%29%1-1✓ hit
34%35%31%1-1✗ miss
40%32%28%1-1✓ hit
35%28%37%1-1✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
38%30%32%1-1✓ hit
40%30%30%1-1✓ hit
37%27%36%1-1✓ hit
30%28%42%1-2✗ miss
38%31%31%1-1✓ hit
37%31%32%1-1✓ hit
42%28%30%1-1✓ hit
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
34%28%38%1-1✗ miss
39%31%30%1-1✓ hit
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME1-1
H 41% · D 30% · A 29%✓ hit✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagDRAW1-1
H 34% · D 35% · A 31%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 32% · A 28%✓ hit✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagAWAY1-1
H 35% · D 28% · A 37%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 30% · A 32%✓ hit✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME1-1
H 37% · D 27% · A 36%✓ hit✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 28% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 31% · A 31%✓ hit✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME1-1
H 37% · D 31% · A 32%✓ hit✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME1-1
H 42% · D 28% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY1-1
H 34% · D 28% · A 38%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME1-1
H 39% · D 31% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Lecce vs Monza?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Lecce vs Monza in the Serie A (Regular Season - 4). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Lecce vs Monza played?
The match kicked off 13 Sep · 13:00 UTC at Via del Mare. It is part of the Serie A on footballarena.ai's Serie A hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Lecce vs Monza?
Yes. The AI consensus pick was Lecce, and the match finished 3–2. 69% of 13 models backed the consensus pick. See every model's individual pick in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Lecce vs Monza?
Of 13 models: 69% picked Lecce, 8% a draw, and 23% Monza. The consensus pick was Lecce; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Lecce vs Monza?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Lecce 2.73 · Draw 3.08 · Monza 2.92. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Lecce vs Monza?
13 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.