Lecce
Bologna| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H30%D30%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H32%D36%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 0–1 | H27%D32%A41% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 0–1 | H27%D30%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H27%D34%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 0–1 | H27%D31%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H28%D34%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H37%D33%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H28%D30%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 0–1 | H30%D32%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H31%D36%A33% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Bologna remain winless after five rounds under new boss Raffaele Palladino, but their squad quality, Orsolini's strong record in this fixture and a lopsided H2H (Lecce winless against them since 2011) still make them narrow favourites away from home. Lecce have 6 points and a decent Via del Mare record, so a tight, low-scoring game is likely and the draw is as probable as a home win.
Both attacks are low-output and short on confidence, while Bologna's strong H2H record and new-manager stabilisation offset Lecce's home advantage, pointing to a tight, low-scoring draw.
Lecce continue to struggle for offensive output, giving Bologna an opportunity to claim their first win of the campaign through superior individual quality in attack.
Bologna have dominated this fixture (won last meeting 2-0, Orsolini 7 goals vs Lecce) against the league's lowest scorers with Banda/Cheddira cold, but both are winless to start the season (Bologna 2pts in 5) so a tight, low-scoring away edge is most likely.
Both teams are struggling early in the season — Bologna under new coach Tedesco with only 2 points in 5 matches, and Lecce the league's lowest scorers and relegation-threatened. While Bologna holds a strong historical edge in this fixture (Orsolini has 7 career goals vs Lecce, last meeting 2-0), their current inability to win and Lecce's desperation at home point to a low-scoring stalemate, with Bologna's superior quality giving them a slight edge in avoiding defeat.
Both teams are struggling offensively, with Bologna yet to win in Serie A this season and Lecce under pressure in a relegation battle. Historical trends and recent form suggest a tightly contested match, with a draw the most likely outcome given the lack of attacking potency and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
Both sides are struggling — Bologna are winless with two points from five and Lecce are the league's lowest scorers with doubts over Berisha and Geubbels — but Bologna's superior squad, their 2-0 win in the last meeting, and Orsolini's strong scoring record in this fixture give the visitors a narrow edge in what should be a tight, low-scoring contest where a draw is very live.
Both sides are in poor early-season form (Bologna 2 points from 5, Lecce relegation-threatened) with a conservative Bologna setup under Tedesco and Lecce missing key attackers; historical edge to Bologna but home desperation and low-scoring trends point to a tight, level finish.
Bologna have the stronger squad and a favorable recent matchup, but their winless start and conservative setup reduce confidence in an away victory. Lecce’s home advantage points toward a tight, low-scoring contest, with 1-1 the likeliest exact score.
Bologna have managed just two points from their opening five matches under a conservative coach struggling to adapt, while Lecce's attacking output has been poor with key contributors in dry spells. Both sides lack firepower and the preview tips point to a low-scoring, tightly contested affair where a draw is a very realistic outcome, though Lecce's home advantage and desperation for points give them a slight edge.
Bologna enter as the stronger side but have taken only two points from five games under Tedesco and are winless, while Lecce are low-scoring and relegation-threatened; a tight, low-event draw is the single most likely scoreline with Bologna still edging the result probabilities.
Bologna have dominated this fixture historically (unbeaten in 11 meetings, Lecce's last home Serie A win over them was in 2001), and despite their winless start, the managerial change to Palladino and quality of Orsolini and Bernardeschi should edge it. Both sides are low-scoring and Lecce are the league's worst attackers, pointing to a tight, low-scoring affair with a draw very possible.
Both sides are struggling early in the season — Lecce sit 13th with key attackers injured, while winless Bologna (18th, 2 pts) are still adapting to new manager Palladino. With Bologna's historical dominance (unbeaten in 11 H2H meetings) offset by their dreadful form and Lecce's home desperation, a tight, low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome.
LecceBologna