Lecce
AS Roma| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 0–1 | H22%D28%A50% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 0–2 | H15%D24%A61% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 0–2 | H20%D27%A53% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H26%D30%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 0–2 | H17%D25%A58% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H20%D28%A52% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 0–1 | H16%D25%A59% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H26%D29%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 0–2 | H22%D26%A52% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 0–2 | H18%D25%A57% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 0–2 | H15%D23%A62% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Roma have a clear squad-quality edge and a strong recent record in this fixture (three straight wins over Lecce without conceding), while Lecce's approach at Via del Mare is deeply compact and low-scoring, so a narrow away win or a tight draw are the realistic outcomes. Gasperini's side create sustained pressure but often win these by a single goal, hence the elevated draw chance.
Roma's attack is in excellent form through Malen and Dybala, and they have dominated this fixture, winning the last three meetings without conceding. Lecce are compact and confident at home, but their low scoring output makes a Roma away win the likeliest outcome.
Roma boast far superior attacking quality and tactical cohesion, which should allow them to control possession and break down a compact Lecce side.
Roma travel with a makeshift defence missing Mancini and Hermoso (suspended) plus Ndicka (AFCON) after an opening loss to Atalanta, while Lecce arrive at Via del Mare off a win in Venice and defending compactly. That defensive crisis offsets Roma's superior attack (Dybala/Malen) and historical dominance, making a low-scoring home edge or stalemate most likely.
Roma hold a dominant historical record against Lecce (last league defeat in this fixture dating to April 2012, three straight wins without conceding) and possess clear attacking quality through Dybala, Malen, and Mora in Gasperini's system. However, the Rome side travel south missing suspended first-choice centre-backs Mancini and Hermoso after their opening loss to Atalanta, which significantly weakens an already-rebuilding back line against a Lecce side that defends compactly at Via del Mare. The combination of Roma's defensive crisis and Lecce's home resilience makes a low-scoring stalemate the single most plausible scoreline, with Roma still slight favorites to nick it.
Roma's superior quality, tactical approach, and recent dominance in this fixture suggest they are favorites, but Lecce's compact defending and Roma's defensive crisis (missing key defenders) increase the likelihood of a tightly contested match with a slight edge to Roma.
Roma arrive in strong form after dismantling Fiorentina on opening weekend and dominate this fixture — three straight wins without conceding, with Lecce's last league win over Roma dating to 2012 and Di Francesco losing 10 straight against them; unlike January's meeting, Roma's first-choice back three (Mancini, Ndicka, Hermoso) are all in the matchday squad. Lecce beat Venezia 2-0 and are organized and compact at home under Di Francesco, which should keep the game tight and leaves a low-scoring draw very live, but Roma's superior attacking quality (Dybala, Mora, Malen) makes an away win the most likely outcome.
Roma's potent attack (Dybala, Mora, Malen) and three straight H2H wins without conceding outweigh their defensive suspensions; Lecce's compact low block may limit the margin but Roma's firepower should secure a narrow away win.
Roma's superior attacking options and sustained territorial pressure should eventually break down Lecce's compact defense. Lecce's home resistance and Roma's uneven pre-season form keep the draw plausible, but Roma's strong recent head-to-head record makes a narrow away win most likely.
Roma's superior attacking talent (Dybala, Malen, Mora) and dominant H2H record (no league defeat at Lecce since 2012, three straight clean-sheet wins) make them clear favorites, but a significant defensive crisis with Mancini and Hermoso suspended — combined with Lecce's expected compact low-block at home — points to a tight, low-scoring contest where a draw is a very realistic outcome.
Roma dismantled Fiorentina 4-0 with Malen hat-trick and Dybala creativity while Lecce scraped past Venezia; Gasperini's side dominate H2H (three straight clean-sheet wins, no Lecce league victory since 2012) and possess far superior quality to break down a compact home defence.
Roma's dominant H2H record (3 straight clean-sheet wins, no loss since 2012), superior squad quality after a strong summer window, and Lecce's poor home scoring record (0.67 goals per home game over last 12) point to an away win, though Lecce's compact defending could keep it tight for a while.
Roma are in superb form with six straight Serie A wins, a 4-0 opening-day demolition of Fiorentina featuring a Malen hat-trick assisted by Dybala, and an unbeaten record against Lecce dating to April 2012 (three straight wins without conceding). Lecce's three-match winning streak and home advantage offer some resistance, but the vast quality gap and Di Francesco's dismal 10-match losing run against his former club point to a comfortable Roma victory.
LecceAS Roma