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Lazio vs Monza — predictions and result

Lazio
90-minute result3–1
Monza
Regular Season - 6Stadio Olimpico

Predictions

12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–0
H63%D22%A15%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H65%D21%A14%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–0
H65%D22%A13%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–0
H62%D22%A16%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H60%D24%A16%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H62%D23%A15%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H58%D25%A17%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–0
H65%D22%A13%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–0
H62%D22%A16%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H58%D24%A18%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H60%D22%A18%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H62%D22%A16%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Lazio have made an excellent start with a miserly defence (three clean sheets in five) and are strong at home, while newly promoted Monza have conceded 12 goals in five games and have taken nothing from their last four away trips. Post-international-break rustiness and Monza's set-piece/transition threat justify a reasonable draw share, but a modest home win is the likeliest outcome.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Lazio's strong start is built on a solid defence with three clean sheets in five, while Monza have conceded 12 goals in five and lost four straight away games. Lazio's superior quality and home advantage make them clear favourites, with post-international fatigue adding modest draw risk.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Lazio enter in commanding form with a sturdy defensive record, while Monza have struggled on their travels and conceded heavily across their opening five fixtures.

Muse Spark 1.2

Lazio have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 and never lost to Monza in Serie A (4 wins in 6) while Monza have conceded 12 in 5 and lost four straight away, pointing to a controlled home win with Lazio dominating possession.

MiniMax M3

Lazio are seeking a club-record fifth win in their first six league fixtures, boast three clean sheets in five games, and have never lost to Monza in Serie A (4 losses, 2 draws in 6). However, post-international-break fatigue, Monza's desperation, and a baseline ~24% draw rate prevent a stronger home weighting, while Monza's leaky defence (12 goals conceded in 5) suggests they will likely find the net at least once.

Kimi K3

Lazio have started the season strongly with one of Serie A's tightest defences (three clean sheets in five) and have never lost to Monza in the top flight, while Monza have shipped 12 goals in five games and are winless in recent away trips; slight post-international-break fatigue for Lazio keeps the draw and an upset live, but the home side's quality should tell.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Lazio's strong home form with three clean sheets in five games, historical dominance over Monza (unbeaten in six Serie A meetings), and Monza's poor away record (zero points from last four) outweigh the post-international-break risk; Monza's leaky defence (12 goals conceded) suggests Lazio will score multiple but may concede.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Lazio’s strong defensive start and superior squad quality should let them control the match, while Monza’s poor away record and leaky defence make an upset unlikely. Post-international fatigue adds some uncertainty but should not erase the hosts’ advantage.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Lazio's rock-solid defense (3 clean sheets in 5 games) combined with Monza's winless away run (0 points from last 4) and leaky backline (12 conceded in 5) points to a controlled home win, though post-international break fatigue slightly limits the margin.

Grok 4.5

Lazio enter with a strong early-season defensive record and home advantage against a Monza side winless in recent away trips and historically winless versus the Biancocelesti; a narrow home win is the clearest modal outcome while respecting the league-wide draw rate.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Lazio have been in excellent early-season form with three clean sheets in five games and are chasing a club record of five wins from six, while Monza have lost all four away fixtures and conceded 12 goals in five matches. Monza have never beaten Lazio in Serie A history, making a home win the clear most likely outcome.

GLM-5.2

Lazio are chasing a club record of five wins from six opening fixtures, boast a strong defence with three clean sheets, and face a Monza side that has never beaten them in Serie A and has lost four straight away games while conceding 12 goals in five matches. Post-international-break fatigue is a minor risk, but Lazio's quality should prevail in a 2-1 win.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeLazio
1.67
DrawLevel at 90′
3.99
AwayMonza
5.37