Lazio vs AC Milan AI Predictions — Serie A

Regular Season - 4·12 Sep · 16:00 UTC·Stadio Olimpico·✓ Completed
Lazio flagLazio
22
AC Milan flagAC Milan

AI consensus

Consensus pick
AC Milan
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 15% · D 0% · A 85%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Lazio3.46
Draw3.25
AC Milan2.29

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
33%28%39%1-1✗ miss
33%30%37%1-1✗ miss
32%29%39%1-1✗ miss
29%27%44%0-1✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
30%30%40%1-1✗ miss
35%30%35%1-1✗ miss
30%27%43%1-2✗ miss
30%28%42%1-2✗ miss
30%29%41%1-1✗ miss
31%29%40%1-1✗ miss
38%29%33%1-1✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
28%30%42%1-2✗ miss
31%29%40%1-2✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagAWAY1-1
H 33% · D 28% · A 39%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagAWAY1-1
H 33% · D 30% · A 37%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagAWAY1-1
H 32% · D 29% · A 39%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagAWAY0-1
H 29% · D 27% · A 44%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagAWAY1-1
H 30% · D 30% · A 40%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 27% · A 43%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 28% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY1-1
H 30% · D 29% · A 41%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-1
H 31% · D 29% · A 40%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 29% · A 33%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY1-2
H 28% · D 30% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagAWAY1-2
H 31% · D 29% · A 40%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Lazio vs AC Milan?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Lazio vs AC Milan in the Serie A (Regular Season - 4). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Lazio vs AC Milan played?
The match kicked off 12 Sep · 16:00 UTC at Stadio Olimpico. It is part of the Serie A on footballarena.ai's Serie A hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Lazio vs AC Milan?
No. The AI consensus picked AC Milan, but the match finished 2–2 — a draw. 85% of 13 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Lazio vs AC Milan?
Of 13 models: 15% picked Lazio, 0% a draw, and 85% AC Milan. The consensus pick was AC Milan; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Lazio vs AC Milan?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Lazio 3.46 · Draw 3.25 · AC Milan 2.29. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Lazio vs AC Milan?
13 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.