Inter
Napoli| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H47%D26%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H56%D24%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H50%D28%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H53%D25%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H50%D27%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H47%D28%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H52%D24%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Inter's home strength, quick starts (opening the scoring early in most recent league games) and superior midfield control with Calhanoglu-Barella-Sucic give them the edge, with Lautaro and Pio Esposito leading the line. Napoli remain a strong, physical away side capable of hurting Inter in transition through McTominay and Anguissa, so a narrow home win or draw are both realistic.
Inter have started strongly with two wins and are formidable at San Siro, while Napoli are missing Scott McTominay and looked shaky defensively in their home loss to Como. Napoli's away threat should keep it close, but Inter's fast starts and midfield control make a narrow home win most likely.
Inter's midfield control and fast starts at San Siro give them the upper hand in dictating the tempo against Napoli. While the visitors possess physical resilience in transition, Inter's superior cohesion and attacking depth should see them secure a narrow victory.
Inter at home control tempo via Calhanoglu-Barella-Sucic (near 90% passing, 64 interceptions) and have scored inside 30 minutes in 8 of last 12, while Napoli are more transitional via McTominay/Anguissa and are easily bypassed centrally despite Allegri's unbeaten away start.
Inter are at home in exceptional form, breaking the deadlock within 30 minutes in 8 of their last 12 league outings, and their possession-based game (≈90% pass accuracy) should overwhelm a Napoli side whose accuracy drops under pressure; however, Allegri has Napoli unbeaten away with a strong physical midfield (McTominay, Anguissa), keeping the draw probability honest and giving the visitors a credible upset chance.
Inter's superior midfield control, home advantage, and recent form in breaking down opponents quickly make them favorites, but Napoli's away resilience and tactical discipline under Allegri suggest a competitive match with a credible chance of a draw or narrow away win.
Inter are in exceptional form, start fast at home (opening the scoring within 30 minutes in 8 of their last 12 Serie A games), and their Çalhanoğlu-Barella-Sučić midfield should dominate a Napoli side that has been easily bypassed centrally. Napoli under Allegri are organized and strong away, so a tight match with genuine draw risk is expected, but Inter's quality and home edge make them the pick.
Inter's home dominance, superior possession metrics (90% pass accuracy), and tendency to score early (8 of last 12 games within 30 minutes) outweigh Napoli's solid away form under Allegri; Lautaro–Pio Esposito partnership and midfield control via Çalhanoğlu/Barella/Sucic create sustained pressure.
Inter’s home advantage and stronger midfield control give them the edge, with Lautaro Martínez their main attacking threat. Napoli’s transition quality and strong away profile make a tight draw the likeliest exact scoreline.
Inter are in exceptional early-season form, dominating possession with near-90% pass accuracy and scoring early in recent matches through Calhanoglu. Napoli under Allegri have solid away form but lack interceptions and their passing accuracy drops under pressure, making them vulnerable to Inter's midfield control via Çalhanoğlu, Barella, and Sučić. A narrow Inter home win is the most likely outcome, though Napoli's resilience under Allegri keeps them in the game.
Inter are unbeaten with two wins from two as defending champions, control possession via Calhanoglu-Barella midfield and score early at San Siro, while Napoli arrive missing McTominay and key defenders after a home loss to Como. Recent H2H draws are frequent but Inter's home edge and form make a narrow win the most likely 90-minute outcome.
Inter are defending champions with a perfect 6-point start (5-1 aggregate), dominating possession and breaking the deadlock early in 8 of their last 12 Serie A games, while Napoli arrive wounded from a home defeat to Como and are significantly weakened by Scott McTominay's month-long absence due to a heart procedure. However, Napoli are unbeaten in the last five Serie A meetings between these sides and have drawn all three of the most recent San Siro encounters, keeping a draw at honest probability.
Inter's home advantage, superior possession stats (90% pass accuracy, 64 interceptions vs Napoli's 12), and tendency to score early underpin a slight edge, though Napoli's strong away form under new manager Allegri keeps this competitive enough to warrant a meaningful draw probability.
InterNapoli