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Genoa vs Venezia — predictions and result

Genoa
90-minute result1–0
Venezia
Regular Season - 8Luigi Ferraris

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H42%D29%A29%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H38%D31%A31%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–1
H43%D31%A26%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–1
H41%D27%A32%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H41%D28%A31%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H45%D30%A25%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–1
H42%D28%A30%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–1
H38%D28%A34%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H44%D26%A30%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H37%D32%A31%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–1
H42%D28%A30%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–1
H40%D28%A32%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–1
H40%D31%A29%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Two struggling sides near the foot of the table: Genoa have been fragile and toothless in attack but hold home advantage, while newly-promoted Venezia have improved since their coaching change and just upset Napoli. Low-scoring, tight game with a genuinely high draw chance.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Genoa's home advantage is offset by a fragile start, while Venezia arrive lifted by a new-manager win over Napoli, making a tight contest likeliest; Genoa hold a narrow edge but a draw is a strong single-outcome candidate.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Genoa hold home advantage in what projects to be a tightly contested affair against a Venezia side showing signs of resurgence following their managerial switch. A low-scoring stalemate is the most probable single outcome between two closely matched lower-table sides.

Muse Spark 1.2

Genoa have home advantage with a compact 4-3-3 but have been fragile and fortunate to reach four points, while Venezia's sacking of Stroppa after six straight defeats has sparked a bounce including a shock win over Napoli, making a tight low-scoring draw the single most likely scoreline with Genoa only a slight favourite.

MiniMax M3

Genoa have been fragile (only four points from seven) but hold home advantage against a newly-promoted Venezia who were on a six-game losing run before sacking Stroppa and now appear refreshed off the back of a surprise win at Napoli, so the sides are closer than the venue alone suggests. The projected goals (roughly 1.5 vs 1.2) make a tight, low-scoring contest most likely, with 1-1 the single likeliest scoreline and a narrow Genoa home edge on the 90-minute result.

Mistral Large 3

Genoa hold a slight edge due to home advantage and recent tactical adjustments, but Venezia’s resilience post-coaching change and their recent upset win suggest a tightly contested match with a draw highly probable.

Kimi K3

A relegation six-pointer between two struggling sides: Genoa (reportedly just four points from seven) are slight home favourites with goal projections around 1.54 vs 1.20, but they look fragile, while Venezia arrive with new-manager bounce after sacking Stroppa and stunning Napoli. Expect a low-scoring, tense contest where the draw is very live even with Genoa edging the win probability.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Genoa hold home advantage and a higher xG projection (1.54 vs 1.20) but have only 4 points from 7 matches; Venezia arrive on a new-manager bounce after upsetting Napoli away. Statz.ai identifies 1-1 as the single most likely scoreline (13%) while giving Genoa a slight edge in overall win probability.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Genoa have a modest home advantage and project slightly better in attack, but Venezia’s performances and recent response to their coaching change make this a close contest. A draw is the likeliest individual scoreline despite Genoa being marginally more likely to win overall.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Genoa are fragile at home with only ~4 points from seven games, while Venezia are riding a new-manager bounce after sacking Stroppa and beating Napoli. Both sides are evenly matched in quality and form, making a low-scoring draw the most likely single outcome, though Genoa's home advantage gives them a marginal edge.

Grok 4.5

Genoa hold a modest home edge in a low-scoring Serie A matchup against a Venezia side that has stabilized after early struggles and a managerial change, making a draw the single most probable scoreline amid projected totals near 1.5-1.2 goals.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Genoa's home advantage and slightly stronger underlying numbers make them marginal favourites, but both sides are fragile and low-scoring, with Genoa fortunate to have four points and Venezia improving since the Stroppa sacking (including a win over Napoli). The most likely single scoreline is a tight 1-1 draw in a close-margin contest.

GLM-5.2

Genoa hold a slight edge from home advantage but have been described as fragile and fortunate with their points haul, while Venezia arrive boosted by a shock win over Napoli after a managerial change. The projected goal totals (1.54 vs 1.20) point to a tight, low-scoring affair where a 1-1 draw is the most likely single scoreline, though Genoa remain marginally more likely to win outright.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeGenoa
2.18
DrawLevel at 90′
3.25
AwayVenezia
3.73