Genoa
Napoli| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–2 | H20%D25%A55% | Correct | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 0–1 | H23%D26%A51% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H22%D26%A52% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 0–2 | H15%D24%A61% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 0–2 | H20%D26%A54% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 0–2 | H18%D26%A56% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 0–2 | H22%D26%A52% | Correct | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 0–2 | H20%D26%A54% | Correct | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H23%D27%A50% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H25%D28%A47% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–2 | H20%D25%A55% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H19%D26%A55% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H18%D24%A58% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 0–1 | H20%D27%A53% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H20%D23%A57% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H22%D26%A52% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H25%D25%A50% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H19%D24%A57% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Napoli finished 2nd last season and have vastly superior quality, an excellent opening-day record (8 wins in last 9 openers), and a strong head-to-head (Genoa won just 1 of last 26 meetings); Napoli's defensive injuries and Genoa's home advantage keep a draw plausible, but the visitors should edge it.
Napoli, last season's runners-up with Hojlund now permanent and Allegri installed, carry far more quality than a Genoa side that shipped 51 goals en route to 16th, though opening-day rust and a typically pragmatic Allegri setup point to a tight, low-scoring away win rather than a rout.
Napoli have the stronger squad after finishing second last season and adding Hojlund permanently, while Genoa were defensively poor in 16th place. Genoa's home opener and the typical opening-week uncertainty keep the draw and home probabilities honest.
Napoli finished as Serie A runners-up last season and boast superior attacking quality under new manager Massimiliano Allegri, led by Rasmus Hojlund. Genoa struggled to a 16th-place finish last term and are likely to be outmatched despite having home advantage.
Napoli enter the campaign as strong title contenders under Massimiliano Allegri after finishing second last season and securing Rasmus Højlund on a permanent deal. Facing a Genoa side that struggled near the bottom of the table last term, the visitors possess superior overall quality to control the game and secure an opening-day victory.
Napoli bring superior attacking firepower and defensive solidity into their season opener against a Genoa side that narrowly avoided relegation last term. The visitors' quality in transition and control in midfield should allow them to secure a comfortable opening victory.
Napoli enter as league runners-up with a strong attacking core including Hojlund and McTominay, while Genoa struggled defensively last season, conceding 51 goals. Napoli's historical dominance over lower-table sides and Genoa's poor recent form make an away win the most likely outcome.
Runners-up Napoli (Allegri, Højlund retained after productive loan, McTominay) dominated lower-half sides last term (14 wins in 17) while 16th-placed Genoa shipped 51 goals and have one win in last five; Colombo yet to score, so Napoli's control and superior attack makes an away win to nil the most likely at Marassi despite opening-day variance.
Napoli finished as league runners-up last season with a far superior squad featuring Hojlund and McTominay, while Genoa conceded 51 goals en route to a 16th-placed finish and arrive with just one win in their last five matches; even accounting for a new-look side under Allegri and opening-day unpredictability, Napoli are clear favourites, though Genoa's home advantage and the typical Matchweek 1 variance keep the draw probability meaningful.
Napoli, as a stronger side with superior attacking options and recent dominance in matchups against lower-ranked teams, are favored to edge this opener. However, Genoa's defensive resilience and direct counter-attacking threats, combined with Napoli's susceptibility on transitions, make a draw a realistic outcome. The most likely scoreline reflects Napoli's attacking prowess breaking down Genoa's stubborn defense.
Napoli’s superior squad and attacking firepower after finishing runners-up last season give them the edge against a Genoa side that shipped 51 goals in a 16th-placed finish and has shown patchy pre-season form, though an opening-day home draw for De Rossi’s men remains a realistic possibility.
Napoli (last season's runners-up, now under Allegri with Højlund signed permanently and McTominay in form) have dominated lower-table opposition (14 wins in 17) and face a Genoa side that finished 16th, conceded 51 goals, and has won just one of its last five outings. Opening-day home edge for De Rossi's Genoa keeps the draw live, but Napoli's clear quality gap makes an away win the most likely outcome.
Napoli finished runners-up last season, have added Hojlund permanently and appointed Allegri, and hold a dominant 14-2-1 record against lower-half sides; Genoa conceded 51 goals in a 16th-place finish, managed only one win in five pre-season friendlies, and are adjusting to new manager De Rossi.
Napoli enter as the stronger side after finishing second last season, with Højlund and McTominay offering proven attacking output against a Genoa defence that conceded 51 goals. Genoa's home advantage and opening-day uncertainty keep the draw plausible, but Napoli should edge a tight contest.
Napoli arrive as strong favorites following a second-place finish last season and the permanent acquisition of Rasmus Højlund, facing a Genoa side that conceded 51 goals and sits in poor form. Despite Daniele De Rossi's Genoa likely setting up in a disciplined block at home, Napoli's superior attacking quality should secure a narrow away victory in the season opener.
Napoli finished runners-up last season with far superior quality and a dominant H2H (1 Genoa win in 26), while Genoa barely survived in 16th and look fragile after a poor pre-season; Allegri's side should edge a tight opener despite defensive absences.
Napoli finished 2nd last season and have strengthened with permanent signing Hojlund (€44m) plus Badiashile and Alisson Santos under new coach Allegri, giving them a clear quality edge. Genoa, 16th last term under De Rossi who rescued them mid-season, are organized at home but conceded 51 goals last campaign, and Napoli won this fixture 3-2 last season; the opening-day context and Allegri's new tenure slightly temper expectations but not enough to overcome the gulf.
Napoli's significant quality advantage and dominant H2H record (1 Genoa win in last 26 meetings) make them clear favourites, but a full-blown defensive emergency — Buongiorno, Beukema and Marianucci all unavailable — combined with opening-day unpredictability under new coach Allegri tempers confidence and keeps the draw and a Genoa upset in play. Genoa's own defensive frailties (51 goals conceded last term, 10-1 pre-season loss to Bournemouth) should ultimately allow Napoli's attack, led by Hojlund and McTominay, to edge a narrow away win.
GenoaNapoli