Genoa
Frosinone| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H37%D28%A35% | Missed | Exact |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–0 | H46%D28%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–0 | H47%D28%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–0 | H47%D27%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H48%D27%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H48%D28%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H37%D27%A36% | Missed | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H44%D30%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–0 | H44%D28%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–0 | H46%D27%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H45%D27%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Genoa are pointless after three rounds with just one goal scored and seven conceded, and the 1-4 loss at Como exposed both their blunt attack (Osmajic/Colombo) and a shaky back line, while promoted Frosinone have six points, seven goals and a hot Raimondo. Home advantage at Marassi and the pressure on De Rossi keep Genoa marginally ahead, but this looks close enough that a tight draw is a very live outcome.
Genoa's home advantage and more settled squad give them the edge, while Frosinone's away form is a concern. A tight, low-scoring contest is likely, with a narrow Genoa win the most probable outcome.
Genoa boast superior defensive stability and home advantage, which should give them the edge against a newly promoted Frosinone side relying heavily on young talent.
Genoa at home with near-full squad and De Rossi's 3-5-2 finding a spark through Osmajic/Colombo should edge a promoted Frosinone side overly reliant on Raimondo and showing an alarming rate of conceding 3+ goals early on.
Genoa have home advantage and a settled 3-5-2 under De Rossi, while Frosinone are newly-promoted and have historically struggled on the road; Genoa's defensive record (not conceding more than two since the opening day) and Frosinone's reliance on Raimondo for goals tilt this toward a tight home win, with a draw still a meaningful possibility given Serie A's draw frequency.
Genoa hold a slight edge due to home advantage and defensive solidity, though Frosinone's attacking threat and recent form make them dangerous. The draw is a realistic outcome given Serie A's typical parity.
A genuine coin-flip: Genoa are pointless after three rounds but faced a brutal Napoli-Lazio-Como schedule and still field the stronger squad (Ostigard, Frendrup, Baldanzi, Colombo, Osmajic) at a desperate Marassi crowd. Frosinone, though newly promoted, are flying with wins over Fiorentina (3-0) and Venezia (3-2), powered by Raimondo (4 league goals) and Kvernadze — with Genoa creating almost nothing and keeping no clean sheets, the visitors' form offsets home advantage, so I give the draw full weight in a near-even match.
Genoa's solid home defense under De Rossi and Frosinone's poor away record (one point from last five road trips) tilt the match toward the hosts, though Raimondo's goal threat keeps the visitors dangerous.
Genoa's home advantage, healthier squad and potentially improved Osmajic-Colombo attack give them a modest edge. Frosinone remain capable of keeping this close, so a draw carries substantial probability.
Genoa's defensive solidity under De Rossi (conceding no more than two since opening day, Dragusin a key presence) combined with Frosinone's poor away form (just one point from their last five on the road) gives the hosts a clear edge at home. Frosinone's young attacking unit can threaten, but Genoa's organisation and home advantage should produce a narrow win.
Early-season home edge for Genoa under De Rossi with a near-full squad and Osmajic in form; Frosinone remain dangerous on the counter via Raimondo but have shown limited away cutting edge after three matches, making a low-scoring home win the most likely single outcome while the draw stays honestly probable.
Genoa's home advantage and a relatively healthy squad under De Rossi, with in-form Osmajic leading the line, give them a slight edge against a Frosinone side that has been conceding at an alarming rate through the opening weeks. Frosinone's attacking threat under Alvini keeps them competitive, but their defensive fragility on the road should prove costly.
Genoa enjoy home advantage under De Rossi with a near-full squad and in-form Osmajic up front, while Frosinone have been conceding at an alarming rate through three rounds with Raimondo their only consistent goal threat. Frosinone's attacking setup could still nick a goal, but Genoa's superior defensive solidity and home edge make them the likelier winners.
GenoaFrosinone