Genoa
Fiorentina| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H29%D29%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H26%D30%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H31%D34%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H41%D27%A32% | Correct | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H40%D32%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H37%D30%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H33%D32%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H31%D30%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–0 | H41%D28%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H34%D28%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H30%D33%A37% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H28%D32%A40% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Genoa are in crisis with one point from five games, just three goals scored and ten games without a league win, while Fiorentina have steadied under Paolo Vanoli with a win and a draw against Napoli since his return. Both defences are porous and Genoa's attack is toothless, so the Viola are modest favourites in a tight game where a low-scoring draw is almost equally likely.
Genoa have just one point and a leaky open-play defence, while Fiorentina are unbeaten under Vanoli and have more match-winning quality even with Mastantuono likely starting on the bench. A desperate home effort makes a draw live, but Fiorentina's improving form points to a narrow away win.
Fiorentina possess superior individual quality in attack but have shown defensive vulnerabilities early this season. With Genoa organized under Daniele De Rossi and boosted by key returns at Marassi, a tightly contested score draw is the most likely outcome.
Genoa at home with De Rossi's 3-5-2 boosted by returns of Messias, Baldanzi and Vasquez from injury/ban, facing a Fiorentina side that has already conceded 12 goals (joint-worst since 1992-93, only Venezia worse). Expect a scrappy, foul-heavy game where Genoa's shot volume via Vitinha can exploit that defensive fragility.
Genoa at home in De Rossi's 3-5-2 get a slight edge with Vitinha and top scorer Lorenzo Colombo up front, but the absences of Baldanzi and Messias plus Fiorentina's historically draw-heavy profile keep this tight, favoring a low-scoring home win.
Both teams exhibit defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistent form, with Fiorentina struggling for goals and Genoa relying on individual quality over structure. A scrappy, even contest is likely, with the draw a genuine possibility.
Fiorentina arrive with one of the league's leakiest defenses (12 conceded, their worst start since 1992-93) but retain superior individual quality (Fagioli, Ndour, Mastantuono), while Genoa are reinforced by the returns of Messias, Baldanzi and Vasquez yet struggle to create chances in De Rossi's 3-5-2. Home advantage and Fiorentina's fragility roughly balance the visitors' technical edge, pointing to a tight, low-scoring contest.
Genoa return key players (Messias, Baldanzi, Vasquez) and play a 3-5-2 at home with Vitinha as primary threat, but Fiorentina's superior individual quality (De Gea, Gudmundsson, Fagioli) should edge a scrappy, foul-heavy contest despite Viola's leaky defence (12 goals conceded).
Fiorentina have the stronger technical squad, but their defensive vulnerability makes an away win far from secure. Genoa’s returning players and compact 3-5-2 should help them keep this close, with a low-scoring draw the likeliest exact score.
Fiorentina's leaky defense (12 goals conceded, worst since 1992-93 at this stage) gives Genoa a tangible edge at home, especially with captain Vasquez returning from suspension and key attackers resuming training. The match is projected as a scrappy, foul-heavy affair where Genoa's organized 3-5-2 under De Rossi can exploit Fiorentina's fragility in a low-scoring contest.
Fiorentina's leaky defence (12 conceded already) meets a Genoa side regaining key attackers and captain Vasquez, pointing to a tight, low-scoring scrap; draw is the single most likely result with 1-1 the modal scoreline.
Fiorentina's upward trajectory under Vanoli and superior individual quality make them slight favorites, but Genoa's home advantage, returning players, and desperation for points — combined with Vanoli's record of 4 draws in 5 meetings with Genoa — point to a tight, cagey contest likely ending level.
Fiorentina are unbeaten under returning coach Vanoli and possess more match-winning quality, while Genoa sit 19th with just 1 point and 3 goals in 5 games despite getting key players back. However, Mastantuono's absence from the Fiorentina XI and Genoa's home desperation with De Rossi's job on the line keep this close and elevate the draw probability.
GenoaFiorentina