Cagliari
Lecce| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–0 | H45%D29%A26% | Correct | Exact |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H36%D30%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H42%D31%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H42%D30%A28% | Correct | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–0 | H46%D27%A27% | Correct | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–0 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H39%D31%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H36%D32%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–0 | H40%D28%A32% | Correct | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H37%D35%A28% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Cagliari have a solid home record at the Unipol Domus and are defensively organised with Caprile in good form, but their lack of cutting edge in attack points to a tight, low-scoring game against a Lecce side that travels compactly and is similarly goal-shy.
Two evenly matched sides likely to be fighting relegation, with Cagliari missing key forwards and Lecce without Geubbels; Cagliari's home edge is offset by Lecce's strong recent away form, making a low-scoring draw the most likely outcome.
Both sides are closely matched early in the campaign with structured setups and limited scoring efficiency, making a low-scoring stalemate at the Unipol Domus the most probable outcome.
Cagliari have slight home advantage at Unipol Domus but are without Mina/Idrissi/Trepy and have lost back-to-back games, while Lecce arrive on three straight away wins but lose focal striker Geubbels to an ankle injury; two survival-level sides with modest scoring point to a tight, low-scoring draw.
Cagliari's home advantage and defensive solidity (2 clean sheets in last 5, with Caprile making 10 saves) give them a slight edge, while Lecce's uneven away form and a recent Roma defeat exposing defensive spacing issues suggest they will struggle to break Cagliari down. A tight, low-scoring home win is the most likely outcome, though Lecce's resilience keeps the draw and upset both well within range.
Cagliari show defensive solidity but lack consistent attacking firepower, while Lecce struggle with defensive spacing and away form. The draw is a likely outcome given both teams' uneven recent performances and the historical tendency for closely contested matches in early-season Serie A fixtures.
Cagliari hold the edge at the Unipol Domus: they have been defensively solid (two clean sheets in their last five, Caprile in strong form) and beat Lecce 4-1 in the last meeting, while Lecce arrive with uneven away form and defensive spacing problems exposed by Roma. Cagliari's own absences and inconsistent attack keep this tight and low-scoring, so a narrow home win with the draw very much live.
Cagliari's home advantage and defensive solidity (two clean sheets in five, Caprile in strong form) give them a slight edge over a Lecce side that showed defensive spacing issues against Roma, though Cagliari's notable absences and early-season unpredictability keep the draw probability honest.
Home advantage gives Cagliari a narrow edge, but notable absences and inconsistent attacking output reduce confidence. Lecce appear organised enough to keep this low-scoring and closely contested.
Cagliari have home advantage and won the last meeting 4-1, but their recent 1-2 home loss to Verona and inconsistent attacking output temper expectations. Lecce exposed defensive spacing issues against Roma but remain organized enough away to frustrate opponents, making a tight, low-scoring draw the most likely single outcome.
Both sides sit on 3 points after mixed starts (Cagliari beat Parma then lost to Inter; Lecce beat Venezia then lost heavily to Roma) and are evenly matched survival candidates. Historical H2H at this venue favours neither strongly and recent meetings include a Lecce 2-0 win here, while key absences (Geubbels for Lecce, Mina for Cagliari) and low-scoring tendencies point to a tight 1-1.
Cagliari's defensive solidity at home and Lecce's likely absence of Geubbels (their main attacking threat, a major doubt) give the hosts a slight edge, though Lecce's strong recent away record in Sardinia (unbeaten in 4 of 5 trips) keeps this very tight. Both teams sit on 3 points from mixed starts, and a low-scoring contest is expected.
Two evenly matched survival candidates sit level on three points after two rounds; Cagliari hold a slight home edge but are weakened by defensive absences (Mina, Idrissi, Trepy) and have a poor historical home record against Lecce (7 wins in 22), while Lecce's 4-0 thrashing by Roma dents confidence despite their strong recent away form. The remarkably even H2H (6-6-6 all-time) and low-scoring profiles of both sides point to a tight draw as the most likely single outcome.
CagliariLecce