Bologna
Sassuolo| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H43%D29%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H30%D36%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H43%D30%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 0–1 | H29%D27%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H35%D33%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H36%D28%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H39%D31%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 0–1 | H25%D30%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H34%D35%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H30%D37%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H34%D29%A37% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Bologna are home favourites on paper but have started the season pointless under Tedesco, with poor home form and blunt attack after losing Rowe and Castro, while Sassuolo look settled and competitive early on. That points to a tight, low-scoring derby where the draw carries unusually high value.
Bologna are goalless and struggling under Tedesco, while Sassuolo arrive in better attacking form, but the visitors' long winless away run and Bologna's recent edge in this derby make a tight draw the most likely outcome.
Bologna have struggled for goals after consecutive 1-0 defeats to open the season, while Sassuolo are disciplined enough to test their regional rivals and secure a point in a tightly contested Emilian derby.
Bologna are pointless after 1-0 losses to Lazio and Atalanta with just seven shots on target and key forwards Rowe and Castro out, compounding only six home wins last season. Sassuolo, promoted but sitting mid-table and only narrowly beaten late at Lazio, have superior current form and cohesion for a low-scoring away win.
Bologna's form is catastrophically poor (0 points, just 7 shots on target, lost key forwards Rowe and Castro, and only 6 home league wins last season), but home advantage still counts. Sassuolo sit comfortably in mid-table and are surpassing expectations, making them slight form favorites despite the away trip, which points toward a tight, low-scoring draw as the most likely outcome.
Bologna's poor recent form, lack of attacking cohesion, and struggles at home contrast with Sassuolo's solid mid-table stability and resilience, making this a tightly contested Emilian derby with a high chance of a draw.
Bologna have opened the Tedesco era with two 1-0 defeats and just seven shots on target after losing key forwards Rowe and Castro, while newly promoted Sassuolo have settled quickly with attacking threats like Thorstvedt, Volpato and Laurienté. With Bologna's home form also poor last season, this Emilian derby profiles as tight and low-scoring, with the draw very much live.
Bologna have lost their opening two matches 1-0 with only seven shots on target and key attackers departed; Sassuolo appear more settled despite a narrow loss to Lazio. Early-season derby dynamics and Bologna's poor home form last season (six wins) point to a tight, low-scoring draw as the most likely outcome.
Bologna retain a modest home and overall quality edge, but attacking departures and an unsettled lineup reduce confidence in a win. Sassuolo have enough threat to capitalize, making a low-scoring draw the likeliest scoreline.
Bologna's catastrophically poor start, lack of attacking threat, and home struggles contrast sharply with Sassuolo's impressive form, making the visitors favorites. A narrow away victory is the most probable outcome given Bologna's inability to create clear chances or score so far this season.
Bologna are scoreless and pointless after two narrow defeats with key attackers gone and dire home form, while Sassuolo sit mid-table after a win but remain winless in six H2H meetings and poor away; a tight low-scoring derby draw is the clearest outcome.
Bologna are stuck on zero points after two 1-0 defeats, have lost key forwards Rowe and Castro, managed only seven shots on target across those games, and are missing Orsolini to injury—leaving them toothless at home where they won just six times last season. Sassuolo are flying with three wins from four under Aquilani and rank joint-second for shots and high turnovers, but their seven-game winless away run and the derby context make a tight, low-scoring stalemate the single most likely outcome.
Bologna have lost their opening two matches without scoring, lost key forwards, and show dire home form, while newly promoted Sassuolo sit comfortably in mid-table and are tipped to get a result in this Emilian derby. A tight, low-scoring affair is most likely given Bologna's attacking struggles.
BolognaSassuolo